The aim of this graduate textbook is to provide a comprehensive advanced course in the theory of statistics covering those topics in estimation, testing, and large sample theory which a graduate student might typically need to learn as preparation for work on a Ph.D. An important strength of this book is that it provides a mathematically rigorous and even-handed account of both Classical and Bayesian inference in order to give readers a broad perspective. For example, the "uniformly most powerful" approach to testing is contrasted with available decision-theoretic approaches.

This book provides a unified introduction to a variety of computational algorithms for Bayesian and likelihood inference. In this third edition, I have attempted to expand the treatment of many of the techniques discussed. I have added some new examples, as well as included recent results. Exercises have been added at the end of each chapter. Prerequisites for this book include an understanding of mathematical statistics at the level of Bickel and Doksum (1977), some understanding of the Bayesian approach as in Box and Tiao (1973), some exposure to statistical models as found in McCullagh and...

The existence of high speed, inexpensive computing has made it easy to look at data in ways that were once impossible. Where once a data analyst was forced to make restrictive assumptions before beginning, the power of the computer now allows great freedom in deciding where an analysis should go. One area that has benefited greatly from this new freedom is that of non parametric density, distribution, and regression function estimation, or what are generally called smoothing methods. Most people are familiar with some smoothing methods (such as the histogram) but are unlikely to know about...

Advanced Statistics provides a rigorous development of statistics that emphasizes the definition and study of numerical measures that describe population variables. Volume 1 studies properties of commonly used descriptive measures. Volume 2 considers use of sampling from populations to draw inferences concerning properties of populations. The volumes are intended for use by graduate students in statistics and professional statisticians, although no specific prior knowledge of statistics is assumed. The rigorous treatment of statistical concepts requires that the reader be familiar with...

This text is concerned with Bayesian learning, inference and forecasting in dynamic environments. We describe the structure and theory of classes of dynamic models and their uses in forecasting and time series analysis. The principles, models and methods of Bayesian forecasting and time - ries analysis have been developed extensively during the last thirty years. Thisdevelopmenthasinvolvedthoroughinvestigationofmathematicaland statistical aspects of forecasting models and related techniques. With this has come experience with applications in a variety of areas in commercial, industrial,...

In general terms, the shape of an object, data set, or image can be de fined as the total of all information that is invariant under translations, rotations, and isotropic rescalings. Thus two objects can be said to have the same shape if they are similar in the sense of Euclidean geometry. For example, all equilateral triangles have the same shape, and so do all cubes. In applications, bodies rarely have exactly the same shape within measure ment error. In such cases the variation in shape can often be the subject of statistical analysis. The last decade has seen a considerable growth in...

1.1 The DevelopmentofARCH Models Time series models have been initially introduced either for descriptive purposes like prediction and seasonal correction or for dynamic control. In the 1970s, the researchfocusedonaspecificclassoftimeseriesmodels, theso-calledautoregres sive moving average processes (ARMA), which were very easy to implement. In thesemodels, thecurrentvalueoftheseriesofinterestiswrittenasalinearfunction ofits own laggedvalues andcurrentandpastvaluesofsomenoiseprocess, which can be interpreted as innovations to the system. However, this approach has two major drawbacks: 1) it...

The The primary primary aim aim of of this this book book is is to to explore explore the the use use of of nonparametric nonparametric regres regres sion sion (i. e., (i. e., smoothing) smoothing) methodology methodology in in testing testing the the fit fit of of parametric parametric regression regression models. models. It It is is anticipated anticipated that that the the book book will will be be of of interest interest to to an an audience audience of of graduate graduate students, students, researchers researchers and and practitioners practitioners who who study study or or use use...

Exponential families of stochastic processes are parametric stochastic p- cess models for which the likelihood function exists at all ?nite times and has an exponential representation where the dimension of the canonical statistic is ?nite and independent of time. This de?nition not only covers manypracticallyimportantstochasticprocessmodels, italsogivesrisetoa rather rich theory. This book aims at showing both aspects of exponential families of stochastic processes. Exponential families of stochastic processes are tractable from an a- lytical as well as a probabilistic point of view....

The aim of this book is to develop an understanding and treatment of the problems of inference associated with experiments in science. Many textbooks treat inference as principally the reduction of the sample information to estimates and their marginal distribution and supposedly optimal properties. In contrast, this book emphasizes techniques for dividing the sample information into various parts addressing the diverse problems of inference that arise from repeatable experiments. An unusually valuable feature of the book is the large number of practical examples, many of which use data taken...