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This thoroughly revised second edition of an upper-level undergraduate/graduate text describes many major techniques of forecasting used in economics and business. This is the only time series book to concentrate on the forecasting of economic data and to cover such a broad range of topics. Its key features are: gives a complete description, with applications, of the Box-Jenkins single series modeling techniques; extends the Box-Jenkins techniques to multivariate cases; compares forecasts from purely statistical and econometric models; pays careful attention to such problems as how to...

This excellent introduction to stochastic parameter regression models is more advanced and technically difficult than other papers in this series. These models allow relationships to vary through time, rather than requiring them to be fixed, without forcing the analyst to specify and analyze the causes of the time-varying relationships. This volume will be most useful to those with a good working knowledge of standard regression models and who wish to understand methods which deal with relationships that vary slowly over time, but for which the exact causes of variation cannot be identified.

This thoroughly revised second edition of an upper-level undergraduate/graduate text describes many major techniques of forecasting used in economics and business. This is the only time series book to concentrate on the forecasting of economic data and to cover such a broad range of topics. Its key features are: gives a complete description, with applications, of the Box-Jenkins single series modeling techniques; extends the Box-Jenkins techniques to multivariate cases; compares forecasts from purely statistical and econometric models; pays careful attention to such problems as how to...