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Going Nuclear analyzes how history and hindsight influenced the perspectives and positions of Iran, the P5+1 countries, Israel and the Sunni Arab countries during the negotiations that led to a nuclear deal in March 2015. It considers the potential response by Israel and Sunni Arab nations to keep Iran from developing nuclear weapons. It is part history and part psychology, or more specifically the psychology of decision making, with particular focus on hindsight bias. This is a distinct approach to the negotiations from the traditional philosophical and policy views taken by most foreign...

Decision Making in a Nuclear Middle East-Lessons from the Cold War is a book for all who are concerned about the future of the Middle East, the survival of Israel and the potential for a tragic nuclear conflict in the region. This book opens a window into the early years of the nuclear age, shedding light on decisions that more than once brought the world close, sometimes very close, to a global nuclear war. It describes technical glitches and human failures that triggered false alarms, as well as the courageous decisions that likely prevented an accidental Armageddon. Decision Making in a...