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Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software.This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described.A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic...

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software.This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described.A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic...

There were all the makings of murder at Martin and Lissa Cole's fashionable dinner party on that fatal night. On the surface there were smiles and good cheer, but behind the clever animated expressions that masked the faces of those powerful men and women lay greed and jealously, fear and arrogance and ruthlessness.

Set against the background of the executive offices of a large Fifth Avenue department store, this tale of subtle intrigue and calculated murder moves with swiftness and precision, as deal succeeds deal and death follows death. Readers are immersed in the inner world of...