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In a time of unprecedented economic uncertainty, this book provides empirical guidance to the economy and what to expect in the near and distant future. Beginning with a historic look at major contributions to economic indicators and business cycles starting with Wesley Clair Mitchell (1913) to Burns and Mitchell (1946), to Moore (1961) and Zarnowitz (1992), this book explores time series forecasting and economic cycles, which are currently maintained and enhanced by The Conference Board. Given their highly statistically significant relationship with GDP and the unemployment rate, these...

Portfolio construction is fundamental to the investment management process. In the 1950s, Harry Markowitz demonstrated the benefits of efficient diversification by formulating a mathematical program for generating the "efficient frontier" to summarize optimal trade-offs between expected return and risk. The Markowitz framework continues to be used as a basis for both practical portfolio construction and emerging research in financial economics. Such concepts as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), for example, provide the foundation for setting...

This volume, inspired by and dedicated to the work of pioneering investment analyst, Jack Treynor, addresses the issues of portfolio risk and return and how investment portfolios are measured. In a career spanning over fifty years, the primary questions addressed by Jack Treynor were: Is there an observable risk-return trade-off? How can stock selection models be integrated with risk models to enhance client returns? Do managed portfolios earn positive, and statistically significant, excess returns and can mutual fund managers time the market?

Since the publication of a pair of...

Portfolio construction is fundamental to the investment management process. In the 1950s, Harry Markowitz demonstrated the benefits of efficient diversification by formulating a mathematical program for generating the "efficient frontier" to summarize optimal trade-offs between expected return and risk. The Markowitz framework continues to be used as a basis for both practical portfolio construction and emerging research in financial economics. Such concepts as the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT), for example, provide the foundation for setting...

Forecasting the art and science of predicting future outcomes has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening...

This book provides a rigorous introduction to the principles of econometrics and gives students and practitioners the tools they need to effectively and accurately analyze real data. Thoroughly updated to address the developments in the field that have occurred since the original publication of this classic text, the second edition has been expanded to include two chapters on time series analysis and one on nonparametric methods. Discussions on covariance (including GMM), partial identification, and empirical likelihood have also been added. The selection of topics and the level of...

Forecasting the art and science of predicting future outcomes has become a crucial skill in business and economic analysis. This volume introduces the reader to the tools, methods, and techniques of forecasting, specifically as they apply to financial and investing decisions. With an emphasis on "earnings per share" (eps), the author presents a data-oriented text on financial forecasting, understanding financial data, assessing firm financial strategies (such as share buybacks and R&D spending), creating efficient portfolios, and hedging stock portfolios with financial futures. The opening...

Quantitative Corporate Finance is designed to be an advanced graduate corporate financial management textbook. The book will address several problems in contemporary corporate finance: optimal capital structure, both in the US and in the G7 economies, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Model (APT) and the implications for the cost of capital, dividend policy, sales forecasting and pro forma statement analysis, leverage and bankruptcy, and mergers and acquisitions.

The book addresses several problems in contemporary corporate finance: optimal capital structure, both in the US and in the G7 economies; the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Arbitrage Pricing Model (APT) and the implications for the cost of capital; dividend policy; sales forecasting and pro forma statement analysis; leverage and bankruptcy; and mergers and acquisitions. It is designed to be used as an advanced graduate corporate financial management textbook.