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The contributions by epidemic modeling experts describe how mathematical models and statistical forecasting are created to capture the most important aspects of an emerging epidemic.Readers will discover a broad range of approaches to address questions, such as

• Can we control Ebola via ring vaccination strategies?
  
• How quickly should we detect Ebola cases to ensure epidemic control?
  
• What is the likelihood that an Ebola epidemic in West Africa leads to secondary outbreaks in other parts of the world?
• When does it matter to incorporate...

This book provides a systematic treatment of the mathematical underpinnings of work in the theory of outbreak dynamics and their control, covering balanced perspectives between theory and practice including new material on contemporary topics in the field of infectious disease modelling. Specifically, it presents a unified mathematical framework linked to the distribution theory of non-negative random variables; the many examples used in the text, are introduced and discussed in light of theoretical perspectives.

The book is organized into 9 chapters: The first motivates the...