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"The Outcome Trap - Why success is a terrible teacher of strategy" attacks the fundamental flaw in how we evaluate leadership and choices: Outcome Bias. We tend to judge a decision based solely on its result. If a CEO takes a reckless gamble and wins, he is a genius. If he loses, he is a fool. This book argues that the quality of a decision is independent of its outcome.Strategist Elena Sharp explains that in a probabilistic world, you can make a terrible decision and get lucky (dumb luck), or a perfect decision and lose (bad beat). Focusing only on results prevents learning because it...