The Outcome Trap

ISBN-13: 9783565198634 / Angielski / Miękka / 136 str.

Elena Sharp

Opis

"The Outcome Trap - Why success is a terrible teacher of strategy" attacks the fundamental flaw in how we evaluate leadership and choices: Outcome Bias. We tend to judge a decision based solely on its result. If a CEO takes a reckless gamble and wins, he is a genius. If he loses, he is a fool. This book argues that the quality of a decision is independent of its outcome.Strategist Elena Sharp explains that in a probabilistic world, you can make a terrible decision and get lucky (dumb luck), or a perfect decision and lose (bad beat). Focusing only on results prevents learning because it reinforces bad habits that were rewarded by chance."The Outcome Trap" teaches readers to "result-proof" their analysis. It offers a framework for auditing the decision-making process itself, ensuring that you are betting with the odds, not just celebrating a lucky roll of the dice.

Stop judging decisions by their results. Learn why success often hides bad strategy and how to think in probabilities.