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Global Trends 2015 should be seen as a work-in-progress, a flexible framework for thinking about the future T]he judgments flow from our best efforts to produce a comprehensive picture of the world in 2015. This] analysis will help leaders better cope with, for example, the uncertainties involved with the decline of Russia, the emergence of China, or the political, economic and societal dynamics in the Middle East. Originally issued by the Central Intelligence Agency in July 2001, Global Trends 2015: A Dialogue About the Future identifies the factors that will be central in shaping the...

Iraq has continued its weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs in defiance of UN resolutions and restrictions. Baghdad has chemical and biological weapons as well as missiles with ranges in excess of UN restrictions; if left unchecked, it probably will have a nuclear weapon during this decade. Baghdad hides large portions of Iraq's WMD efforts. Revelations after the Gulf war starkly demonstrate the extensive efforts undertaken by Iraq to deny information. Since inspections ended in 1998, Iraq has maintained its chemical weapons effort, energized its missile program, and invested more...