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In 2005, researchers from four Australian universities and CSIRO joined forces with environmental managers from three state agencies and six regional catchment management authorities to answer the question: Can we detect the influence of public environmental programs on the condition of our natural resources?

This was prompted by a series of national audits of Australia's environmental programs that could find no evidence of improvement in the condition of waterways, soils and native vegetation despite major public programs which had invested more than $4.2 billion in environmental...