Water Resources Engineering Risk Assessment

ISBN-13: 9783642769733 / Angielski / Miękka / 2011 / 539 str.

Jacques Ganoulis

Opis

Although many theoretical developments have been achieved in recent years, the progress both in understanding and application of risk and reliability analysis in water resources and environmental engineering remains slow. One of the reasons seems to be the lack of training of engineers with phenomena of statistical nature, including optimum cost and benefit decisions under uncertainty. This book presents, in a unified and comprehensive framework, the various aspects of risk and reliability in bothwater quantity and quality problems. The topics covered include uncertainty analysis of water quantity and quality data, stochastic simulation of hydrosystems, decision theory under uncertaintyand case studies. Methods for risk analysis of extremes in hydrology, groundwater clean-up, river and coastal pollution as well as total risk management are presented.

Spis treści

Preface.- Risk Analysis of Water Quantity and Quality Problems: The Engineering Approach.- 1 - Uncertainty Analysis of Hydrologic Inputs.- Risk Analysis of Hydrological Data Using Gamma Family and Derived Distributions.- Reliability in Regional Drought Studies.- Reliability in Groundwater Recharge and Quality Parameters.- Reliability in Remote Sensing of Oceanographic Characteristics.- On the Sampling Distribution of Exceedance Probabilities.- The Contribution of Long-Term Records of Hydrologic Extremes to Risk Analysis.- Paleoflood Records and Risk Assessment: Examples from the Colorado River Basin.- 2 - Quantification of Risks in Water Quantity and Quality Problems.- Stochastic Dynamic System Theory: A Challenge for Natural Resources Management.- Probabilistic Modelling of Water Quality in Rivers.- Risk in Coastal Pollution.- Probabilistic Simulation for Reliable Solute Source Identification in Heterogeneous Porous Media.- Bayesian Analysis of Robustness of Models in Water and Environmental Sciences.- Reliability with Fuzzy Elements in Water Quantity and Quality Problems.- 3 - Risk Management in Water Resources and Environmental Engineering.- Consideration of Reliability in System Design for Ground Water Remediation.- Risk-Cost Analysis under Uncertainty of the Disposal of Contaminated Dredged Material.- Risk-Cost Aspects of Sea Level Rise and Climatic Change in the Evaluation of Shore Protection Projects.- Optimal Flood Warning Threshold and a Case Study in Milton, Pennsylvania.- Multicriterion Risk and Reliability Analysis in Hydrologic System Design.- Risk Management for Nitrate-Contaminated Groundwater under Imprecise Conditions.- Facing the Risk of Uncontrolled Denitrification in Sewage Treatment Plants.- 4 - Case Studies.- Stochastic Modeling of a Water Resources System: Analytical Techniques versus Synthetic Approaches.- Risk and Reliability in Predicting Droughts: the Use of Prehistoric Tree-Ring Data.- Reliability in Remote Sensing and Numerical Modeling of Coastal Pollution: the Case of the Gambia Estuary.- Water Quality Risks in Istanbul. Past and Present Status.- Decisions with Multiple Environmental Objectives. The Siting of Oil Drilling Wells in Norway.- List of Participants.