Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty

ISBN-13: 9780140297867 / Angielski / Miękka / 2003 / 320 str.

Gerd Gigerenzer

Opis

At the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from television weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of how to reason about uncertainties. Accordingly, a number of books and popular books have marshalled a long roster of cognitive illusions as evidence of humans' fundamental irrationality.