safety and reliability: methodology and applications

ISBN-13: 9781138026810 / Angielski / Twarda / 2014 / 408 str.

Tomasz Nowakowski;Marek Mlynczak;Anna Jodejko-Pietruczuk

Opis

This text contains the proceedings of the 24th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2014, Wroclaw, Poland, 14-18 September 2014), and discusses theories and methods and their applications in the areas of risk, safety and reliability. The book will be of interest to researchers and practitioners, academics and engineers working in academic, industrial and governmental sectors.

Spis treści

Preface Acknowledgements Conference organization Introduction METHODOLOGY AREAS Accident and incident investigation and modelling Aeronautics and aerospace An incident reporting support system for airline cabin crew K. Furuta, K. Okano, T. Kanno, T. Mori & S. Shimizu Chemical process industry The effect of the environment conditions on the prediction of flammable cloud dispersion A.M. Schleder, M.R. Martins, E. Pastor & E. Planas Scenario identification in oil and gas industry: A case in the Middle East Z. Rezvani, P. Swuste & P. Hudson Civil engineering Analysis of roadside safety barrier using numerical model P. Hradil, J. Kala & V. Salajka Critical infrastructure Developing a framework for characterising cascading failures in past events to inform emergency response decisions H. Hassel, A. Cedergren, L. Svegrup & J. Johansson A critical evaluation of risk assessment methodology for natural gas pipeline J. Kraus An ontology-based approach to vulnerability and interdependency modelling for Critical Infrastructure systems P. Trucco & B. Petrenj Electrical engineering Renewable sources impact on power system reliability and nuclear safety A. Volkanovski & B. Gjorgiev Maritime transportation Titanic viewed from different perspectives on major accidents H. Kim & S. Haugen Usability of accident and incident reports for evidence-based risk modeling of ship grounding A. Mazaheri & J. Montewka Winter navigation at the Baltic Sea: An analysis of accidents occurred during winters 2002–2003 & 2009–2013 O.A. Valdez Banda, F. Goerlandt, J. Montewka & P. Kujala Rail transportation Structuring contributors to successful operation J. Vatn Road transportation Country Safety Performance Function and the factors affecting it K. Jamroz Method of dynamic identification of hazardous driver behaviour by traffic parameters detection M. Sumiła & M. Siergiejczyk Waterborne transportation The method of risk management of accidental oil spills at sea K. Łazuga & L. Gucma Other reliability and safety areas The impact of new technologies on the safety level of air traffic in Poland K. Krzykowska & M. Siergiejczyk Black swan accidents: Predicting and preventing the unpredictable D.J. Winfield Analytical methods in system safety and reliability Aeronautics and aerospace Studies of the jet engine control quality based on its response to the disturbance inflicted on the object, designated from its response to the set point inflicted to the controller K. Golak, P. Lindstedt & R. Grądzki The mathematical formula of safety of aircrafts J. Lewitowicz, S. Rutkowski, R. Tomaska & A. Żyluk The reliability analysis of the satellite’s driving system based on the IABCBLT method W. Peng, J. Zhang & L.J. Kan The effectiveness of the FMEA technology in the process of the aerospace product development J. Shuyuan, L. Fuqiu, W. Jinjing & L. Meinan Reliability modeling method of space mechanism considering dynamical cascading effects C.L. Tan, J.G. Zhang, P. Wang & L.J. Kan Chemical process industry Comparative analysis of calculation methods of pressure drops for two-phase flow through pipelines G. Boccardi, R. Trinchieri, R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta Critical infrastructure Empirical Bayes inference with nonlinear homogenizations and correlated intensity functions: Use in asset degradation modelling G. Blair, J. Quigley & L. Walls Dependence of the gas supply system criticality indicator(s) on the system elements’ reliability B. Jokšas, I. Žutautaitė, J. Augutis & T. Rekašius Comparing societal consequence measures of outages in electrical distribution systems F. Landegren, J. Johansson & O. Samuelsson On the resilience analysis of interconnected systems by a set-theoretic approach X. Liu, I. Prodan & E. Zio A brief note on the ratio of the rectilinear and shortest distance between two arbitrary points on the 3-sphere M.A. Odijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder A game-theoretical model to allocate security resources in a multi-modal transportation system facing adaptive adversaries L. Talarico, K. Sörensen & G. Reniers Electronic industry Assessment of the critical events sequences of systems by means of probabilistic languages D. Ionescu, N. Brînzei & J.F. Pétin Energy production and distribution RAM analysis applied to decommissioning phase: Comparison and assessment of different methods to predict future failures E. Calixto & Y. Bot Reliability indices computation for a flow network with a series-parallel-reducible structure J. Malinowski Information technology and telecommunication Minimal cut sets and direct partial logic derivatives in reliability analysis M. Kvassay, E. Zaitseva & V. Levashenko On the probability of escaping a cell—in wireless networks C. Tanguy Maritime transportation Reliability analysis of ship-rope transporter with dependent components A. Blokus-Roszkowska & K. Kołowrocki Maritime traffic flow simulation in the Intelligent Transportation Systems theme A. Blokus-Roszkowska & L. Smolarek Modeling of event trees for the rapid scenario development M.K. Gerigk The influence of screw propellers manufacturing accuracy on conditions of the propulsion system operating E. Skupień Mechanical engineering Contribution to oil data assessment for system condition determination D. Vališ & L. Žák Rail transportation Dependability and safety analysis of ERTMS level 3 using analytic estimation T. Babczyński & J. Magott Streamlining architectures for integrated safety analysis using Design Structure Matrices (DSMs) K. Höfig, J.Z. Guo & A. Kazeminia The Markov reliability and safety model of the railway transportation system F.J. Restel Reliability analysis of rail teleinformation system M. Siergiejczyk Road transportation Premises of evaluation of the technical object suitability with including the quality of its maintenance and operation, and their initial conditions R. Grądzki, P. Lindstedt & K. Golak Bivariate reliability analysis of driving profiles in automobile fleets T. Köttermann, M. Grabert, S. Kempe & S. Bracke Attempt to apply the theory of reliability to assessment of signalised lane operation K. Ostrowski Reliability-exploitation analysis of power supply in transport telematics system A. Rosiński Reliability-maintenance analysis of highway emergency communication systems M. Siergiejczyk, J. Chmiel & A. Rosiński Hierarchical random models in road transport safety J. Wachnicka, K. Jamroz & L. Smolarek Other reliability and safety areas Overall regional risk analysis of four Norwegian municipalities R. Flage, Ø. Amundrud & H.S. Wiencke Modeling reliability of complex port transportation system K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny Reliability optimization of complex port transportation system K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny Involvement of expert judgement in dynamic model R. Krikštolaitis, A.E. Lutynska, S. Pečiulytė & I. Žutautaitė Anthropo-technical systems reliability D. Laskowski, P. Łubkowski, E. Pawlak & P. Stańczyk Cost-benefit analysis of surveillance technologies P.-H. Lin & C. van Gulijk Integrated estimation of pipeline failure probability I. Žutautaitė, G. Dundulis, S. Rimkevičius & R. Janulionis Reliability and safety management Aeronautics and aerospace Reliability engineering interactions in aerospace products E.N. Çetin & A.Ş. Temiz An influence of the lifetime assessment in aviation technology K. Kustroń & J. Lewitowicz Chemical process industry How managers should think about risk—a case study from the oil and gas industry T. Bjerga & T. Aven Balancing safety and performance through QRA and RAM analyses V. Borges & C. Hickey Public risk perception towards chemical process industry: Comprehension and response planning D. Botheju & K. Abeysinghe Risk assessment system for verifying the safety guards system based on the HAZOP analysis information A. Nakai, K. Isshiki & K. Suzuki Development of the Safety Requirements Specification (SRS) in oil and gas industry E.H. Park, K.P. Chang & S.T. Kim Civil engineering Development of functional safety standards for civil engineering E. Nachtigall & V. Shcherbina Mechanism design for risk allocation and benefit sharing in the development of a Geological Disposal Facility for nuclear radioactive waste O. Nieto-Cerezo, E. Patelli, J. Wenzelburger & M. Beer Optimization of the drinking water coagulation and filtration system as a result of reliability analysis and Life Cycle Costing J. Szymik-Gralewska & I. Zimoch Critical infrastructure Methods of visualizing the risk of lack of water supply I. Piegdoń & B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak Electrical engineering Concept for development of safety-related filters O. Krini, J. Krini & J. Börcsök Energy production and distribution Heat Supply System reliability management B. Babiarz Uncertainty in the regulation systems of temporary organizations: A challenge for improving the organizational reliability F. Mazzorana-Kremer, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo Solutions and safety barriers: The holistic approach to risk-reducing measures A. Sevcik & O.T. Gudmestad A multi-criteria decision model to mitigate the operational risks of offshore wind infrastructures M. Shafiee & A. Kolios Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Evaluation of operational reliability of the supply chain in terms of the control and management of logistics processes I. Jacyna-Gołda Effectiveness of national transport system according to costs of emission of pollutants M. Jacyna, K. Lewczuk, E. Szczepański, P. Gołębiowski, R. Jachimowski, M. Kłodawski, D. Pyza, O. Sivets, M. Wasiak, J. Żak & I. Jacyna-Gołda Experiments for PHM: Needs, developments and challenges X.-Y. Li, L. Liu, R. Kang, D. Xu, F. Sun & J. Lee Maritime transportation Effects of external audits on safety management systems: A case study of the Norwegian-managed maritime industryJ.F. Aae, A.K. Sydnes & C. Heggøy Review of acceptable risk levels of bridge collapse in respect of ships collisions L. Gucma A new approach for evaluating the disruption risks of a seaport system A. John, R. Riahi, D. Paraskevadakis, A. Bury, Z. Yang & J. Wang Methodology for evaluation of barriers for rig move operations E. Okstad, S. Hauge, B.A. Mostue & H. Skår Natural resources and environment Performance of skimmers in the Arctic offshore oil spills M. Naseri & J. Barabady Nuclear engineering Rethinking nuclear safety management: Injunction as a meta-concept S. Agulhon, D. Pécaud & F. Guarnieri Using IRIDM & VTA to support the risk management of the research reactor Maria M. Borysiewicz, K. Kowal & S. Potempski Evaluation of risk impact of equipment ageing and asset management for LWR Gen II and III NPPs in the horizon 2020 S. Martorell, I. Martón, S. Carlos & A.I. Sánchez Rail transportation Safety of the new control command European System M. Siergiejczyk, M. Pawlik & S. Gago Software systems All swept up: An initial classification of NSA surveillance technology M. Cayford, C. van Gulijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder Study of the security of processes running in computer operating systems I.J. Jóźwiak & A. Szleszyński Control-in-the-loop Model Based Safety Analysis P.-Y. Piriou, J.-M. Faure & J.-J. Lesage Developing a shared information surface for offshore work permits S. Sarshar, G. Rindahl, C.S. Olsen, J.M. Røsok, M. Eskerud, O.G. Nedrebø, P.J. Berg & G. Misund Other reliability and safety areas Graphical technique for practical dependability management L. Barberá, A. Crespo, K. Kobbacy & P. Viveros A discussion of the risk-management and the rule-compliance regulation regimes in a security context S.H. Jore & A. Moen Risk management in anchor-handling operations: The balance between control and autonomy J. Røyrvik, K. Skarholt, G.M. Lamvik & J.R. Jonassen Safety and environmental control of industrial activities in France: A negotiated relationship V. Sanseverino-Godfrin Risk assessment methods for improving urban security C. Schoppe, J. Zehetner, J. Finger, D. Baumann, U. Siebold & I. Häring Abstract representation of power system networks as a function of regularity properties A.B. Svendsen, T. Tollefsen, R.F. Pedersen, K.P. Petursson, D. Patel & O.D. Lampe Drinking water quality aspect in ensuring the safety of water supply systems I. Zimoch, E. Łobos & T. Żaba Dynamic reliability Aeronautics and aerospace Using dynamic risk modelling in Single European Sky Air Traffic Management Research (SESAR) N. Fota, M.H.C. Everdij, S.H. Stroeve, T. Kråkenes, I. Herrera, J. Quiñones, T. Contarino & A. Manzo Civil engineering Modification of response spectra by probabilistic approach V. Salajka, J. Kala, Z. Cada & P. Hradil Maritime transportation Dynamic Positioning systems with emphasis on harsh climate conditions T. Li, O.T. Gudmestad & A. Barabadi Mechanical engineering Wear time-dependent reliability analysis using Bayesian inference J. Feng, J. Zhang, J. Si & P. Wang Nuclear Engineering RAVEN and dynamic probabilistic risk assessment: Software overview A. Alfonsi, C. Rabiti, D. Mandelli, J. Cogliati, R. Kinoshita & A. Naviglio Integrated Deterministic Probabilistic Safety Analysis (IDPSA) of a fire scenario M. Kloos, J. Peschke & B. Forell Dynamic reliability models for multiple dependent competing degradation processes Y.H. Lin, Y.F. Li & E. Zio Expert methods in system safety and reliability Aeronautics and Aerospace Development of a new algorithm for optimal multi-level redundancy allocation M.A. Farsi Aircraft crew escape system assistant N. Grzesik & R. Czapla A fuzzy system for evaluation of baggage screening devices at an airport J. Skorupski & P. Uchroński Energy production and distribution Quantification and modelling of epistemic uncertainties for availability risk of future offshore wind farms using expert judgment A. Zitrou, T. Bedford & L. Walls Maritime transportation Expert method and real time simulation in navigational safety analysis T. Abramowicz-Gerigk Mechanical engineering Causal modeling in industrial Reliability and Maintenance Management Y. Pang & G. Lodewijks Other reliability and safety areas The application of risk and reliability techniques to acquire knowledge in the development of expert system for fault diagnosis E.M.P. Hidalgo & G.F.M. de Souza Failure identification and degradation processes Aeronautics and aerospace Life and reliability evaluation of tuner by Constant-Stress Accelerated Degradation Testing method F. Sun, X. Li & T. Jiang Estimation of lifetimes of components that operate under ageing-attributable wearing conditions H. Tomaszek, M. Zieja & M. Ważny A Physics-of-Failure-based approach for failure behavior modeling: With a focus on failure collaborations Z. Zeng, R. Kang & Y. Chen Electrical engineering Fault diagnosis method for circuit board based on BP neural networks Y. Peng & J. Shi Electronic industry Physics of Failures (POF) version B for MTBF prediction Y. Bot & J.B. Bernstein An adaptive fault detection threshold hardware circuit design to reduce False Alarms Y. Cui, J. Shi, L. Chen, K. Liu & W. An Energy production and distribution MUSTADEPT: A tool for the analysis of industrial equipment degradation M. Compare, L. Legnani & E. Zio Information technology and telecommunication Provision of the reliable video surveillance services in heterogeneous networks P. Łubkowski, D. Laskowski & E. Pawlak Maritime transportation Identification of degradation processes of seabed protection in ports T. Abramowicz-Gerigk Mechanical engineering The use of Self-Organizing Maps for diagnosing faults in motor bearings S. Al-Dahidi Selected safety aspects of polymer composites with natural fibres A. Krzyżak & D. Vališ Application of selected diffusion processes on system state assessment D. Vališ & O. Pokora Nuclear engineering A modified Auto Associative Kernel Regression method for robust signal reconstruction in Nuclear Power Plant components P. Baraldi, F. Di Maio, P. Turati & E. Zio Experimental design for the evaluation of Critical Heat Flux of small-scale pressurized nuclear reactors J.P. Duarte, J.R.C. Piqueira & M.E. Taqueda Road transportation The stochastic approach in road network vulnerability analysis M. Bíl & R. Vodák Analysis of brake testing methods in vehicle safety A. Bojko, A.I. Fedotov, W.P. Khalezov & M. Młyńczak Hilbert-Huang Transforms for fault detection and degradation assessment in electrical motors M. Rigamonti & S. Rantala Other reliability and safety areas Volatility regime switching and jump-diffusion process for prognosis: Case of equity price modeling H. Ghamlouch, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall Performance evaluation of Emergency Response Plans using a Multi-State System approachC. Girard, E. Piatyszek, P. David & J.-M. Flaus Human factors and human reliability Aeronautics and aerospace The model of a pilot competency as a factor influencing the safety of air traffic J. Skorupski & M. Wiktorowski Human Dependability Model for space application—the HuDeM project T.M. Stene, S.O. Johnsen & S. Ophof Towards safer air traffic: Optimizing ATC controller workload by simulation with reduced set of parameters B. Számel & G. Szabó Human reliability test and identification of HCR model basic parameters for multi-factor “Meta-Operation” Y. Yang, X. Chen, J. Zhang & R. Kang Chemical process industry Statistical analysis of past accidents and a methodology (MEDIA) for Human and Organizational Factors assessment in process industries M. Ahmad, M. Pontiggia & M. Demichela Predictive Human Error Analysis in Permit To Work system in a petrochemical plant M. Jahangiri, F. Zare Derisi & N. Hobobi Critical infrastructure Anticipating impacts of change on individual behaviors within a perspective of safety management T. Côte, E. Rigaud & E. Garbolino Modeling and assessment of Performance Shaping Factors in construction Y. Xenidis & K. Giannaris Energy production and distribution The impact of the use of subcontracting on organizational reliability and safety C. Guers, C. Martin & J.L. Wybo Human error analysis: Review of past accidents and implications for improving robustness of system design R. Moura, M. Beer, E. Patelli, J. Lewis & F. Knoll Operational and organizational barriers as means of enhancing safety and learning T.J. Steiro, E. Hansson Blix, J. Seljelid, T.S. Johansen, R.J. Bye,H.N. Hansen & A. Doumit Natural resources and environment Presumptions of culture: Applications and safety implicationsF. Størseth Nuclear engineering Coding scheme to measure the operator’s workload in advanced Main Control Room S. Kim, Y. Kim & W. Jung A survey of Bayesian Belief Network Applications in Human Reliability Analysis L. Mkrtchyan, L. Podofillini & V.N. Dang Aggregating expert-elicited error probabilities to build HRA models L. Podofillini, L. Mkrtchyan & V.N. Dang Other reliability and safety areas Organizational factor inclusion in Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) tools N. Balfe & S. Cromie Design methods of reducing human error in practice M. Butlewski, M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek, A. Misztal & M. Sławińska Maintenance modelling and optimisation Chemical process industry A hierarchical framework for the measurement of maintenance efficacy and efficiency using performance indicators G.M. Galante, R. Inghilleri & C.M. La Fata Civil engineering State of the art in Operation and Maintenance planning of offshore wind farms M. Asgarpour & J.D. Sørensen Critical infrastructure Maintenance of power systems considering time-dependent uncertainty T. Iesmantas & R. Alzbutas Energy production and distribution Decision-making support for maintenance optimisation of natural gas compressor stations J. Blondel, L. Marle, O. Mozar, A. Abdesselam & F. Brissaud Optimization of maintenance and operational policies of an offshore wind farm subject to stochastic wind conditions B. Castanier, C. Pehlivan & T.G. Yeung An age-based preventive maintenance for offshore wind turbines F.P. Santos, A.P. Teixeira & C. Guedes Soares Availability modelling and analysis of an offshore wind turbine using Extended Coloured Stochastic Petri Nets P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Maintenance in availability of weapon systems under combat operation—optimization possibilities T. Smal Maritime transportation Optimum CTV fleet selection for offshore wind farm O&M activities Y. Dalgic, I. Dinwoodie, I. Lazakis, D. McMillan & M. Revie Mechanical engineering Practical aspects of the application of RCM to select optimal maintenance policy of the production line M. Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek Hidden Markov Models for diagnostics and prognostics of systems under multiple deterioration modes T.T. Le, F. Chatelain & C. Bérenguer Nuclear engineering Application of the Maintenance Rule to Nuclear Power Plant systems through Bayesian Networks D.P. Dionizio, P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo Experience on risk-informed approach to Allowed Outage Time changes due planned maintenance P.L.C. Saldanha & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo Rail transportation Expert system for means of transport maintenance processes performance. A comparative analysis for various types of rail vehicles T. Nowakowski & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska A Colored Petri Net model for railway track maintenance with two-level inspection H. Shang & C. Bérenguer Analysis of the process of unloading containers at the inland container terminal M. Zając & J. Świeboda Return logistics/waste management Reliability based model of the cost effective product reusing policy A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & M. Plewa Other reliability and safety areas Asset maintenance optimization: The case-study of an offshore wind farm Y. Bot & D. Azoulay Maintenance planning for drum shearer machine based on its reliability characteristics and economical sensitivity analysis S.H. Hoseinie, B. Ghodrati & U. Kumar A guide for Block Inspection Policy implementation A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska Availability model of technical objects—block inspection policy implementation A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska Condition-based maintenance policies for multi-component systems with Lévy copulas dependence H. Li, L. Dieulle & E. Deloux Application of standards in reliability prognosis of braking system of moving walks E. Rogova, G. Lodewijks & Y. Pang Occupational safety Electrical engineering A Bayesian population variability analysis for estimation of the work time loss distributions due to occupational accidents M.C. Moura, R. Azevedo, E.L. Droguett, L. Rego, W. Jorge & R. Vilela Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Continuous monitoring of at-risk behaviours: A risk-based statistical control method D. Masi & P. Trucco Enhancing the implementation of Occupational Health and Safety interventions through a design of the socio-technical interaction D. Masi, E. Cagno, P. Hasle & S. Farnè Return logistics/waste management A risk-based approach to manage the Occupational Hazards in the Arctic drilling waste handling practices Y.Z. Ayele, A. Barabadi & J. Barabady Other reliability and safety areas Estimating individual occupational risk using registration data P.H.G. Berkhout & M. Damen Quantification of risk rates of occupational accidents I.A. Papazoglou, O. Aneziris, L.J. Bellamy, M. Damen, B.J.M. Ale, H.J. Manuel & J.I.H. Oh Quantitative risk assessment Aeronautics and aerospace Reliability assessment method for Ion thruster based on competing failure analysis and performance degradation data Z. Zheng, S. Dong, L. Zhang, D. Xu, H. Tian & T. Zhang Chemical process industry Comparison of risk profiles for chemical process plants using PLATYPUS C. van Gulijk, B.J.M. Ale, D. Ababei & M. Steenhoek The use of the combination of indexing and semi-quantitative methods in audits for individual risk assessment in the field of fire and explosion protection A. Leksin, U. Barth, D. Adeulov & R. Mock Estimation of the impact probability of fragments produced by explosions of vessels: A case study M.F. Milazzo, R. Lisi, G. Consolo & G. Maschio Dynamic risk assessment: Development of a basic structure N. Paltrinieri & P. Hokstad Joint applicability test of software for laboratory assessment and risk analysis D.N. Pluess, Th. Meyer, J. Mašin, P. Mikulášek & M. Ferjenčik Is a QRA-based method suitable to guide Land Use Planning decisions in India? A. Sengupta, D. Bandyopadhyay, C.J. van Westen & A. van der Veen Civil engineering The effect of maintenance on inflation correction in Dutch PPP projects D.S. Vervoort Handling dependencies in Probabilistic Risk Assessments using Evidential Networks D. Wang, Z.J. Cheng, P. Jiang & B. Guo Critical infrastructure The use of geoevents in the risk management of Wastewater Treatments G. Ancione, M.F. Milazzo & G. Maschio Utilizing knowledge-to-number-processes in smaller and less resource intensiverisk assessments T. Askeland & R. Flage Risk assessment of ground water sources for emergency supply F. Bozek, L. Jesonkova, A. Pawelczyk, Z. Malek & J. Dvorak Study of volcanic Na-Tech risks in primary Waste Water Treatments M.F. Milazzo, G. Ancione, E. Salzano & G. Maschio Optimum concept of management and trade-off with risks D. Prochazkova Possibilistic risk analysis of failure in water supply network B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak, K. Boryczko & I. Piegdoń Electrical engineering Multidimensional risk to networks of distributed systems T.V. Garcez & A.T. de Almeida Mathematics of PRA applied to Distributed Generation curtailment in saturated grids P.E. Labeau, F. Faghihi, J.C. Maun, V. De Wilde & A. Vergnol Energy production and distribution Priorities assignment for actions in a pipeline: A decision model to evaluate multiple objectives M.H. Alencar, M.F. Marsaro & A.T. de Almeida Risk assessment in heat supply system B. Babiarz Vulnerability of Energy Infrastructure to intentional attacks—the interplay of resource, conflict and securityP. Burgherr, J. Giroux & M. Spada Solar storm impact on critical infrastructure O. Sokolova, P. Burgherr & W. Collenberg Accident risk assessment for deep geothermal energy systems M. Spada, E. Sutra, S. Wolf & P. Burgherr Information technology and telecommunication Enhancement of IT Risk Assessments by UML R. Mock, B. Truninger, P. Brunner & T. Hruz Maritime transportation Quantitative risk assessment of new ship designs in damage conditions M.K. Gerigk Review of risk concepts and perspectives in risk assessment of maritime transportation F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka Risk based assessment on increased gas safe machinery spaces of liquefied natural gas fuelled ship X.J. Li & R.P. Zhou Semi-qualitative method for ship collision risk assessment W. Zhang, J. Montewka & F. Goerlandt Mechanical engineering RAPP method: Failure analysis and risk determination in automobile fleets within the case study electric actuator S. Bracke & S. Sochacki Natural resources and environment Composite methodology for tsunami vulnerability assessment based on the numerical simulation of 1755 Lisbon tsunami—application on two Portuguese coastal areas J.L. Barros, A. Emídio, A. Santos & A.O. Tavares Monte Carlo simulation and Bayesian Evidence Synthesis U. Sahlin & Y. Jiang Nuclear engineering Amendments of the existing guidance on PSA application to nuclear power plants in Germany H.P. Berg, M. Krauß & M. Röwekamp Focus areas for a Level 2 PSA that supports a site NPP risk analysis D.M. Helton, M. Zavisca & M. Khatib-Rahbar A PSA Level-1 method with repairable components: An application to ASTRID Decay Heat Removal systems R. Kumar, S. Bechta, P. Kudinov, F. Curnier, M. Marquès & F. Bertrand Effect of human factor in the analysis of changes to Limiting Conditions for Operation (LCO) applied to Residual Heat Removal System S. Martorell, I. Martón, P. Martorell & M. Saiz Application of PSA for design optimization of VVER 440/213 P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, J. Cech, P. Baumeister & J. Prochaska Rail transportation Deriving a distribution for accident severity from an F-N curve J. Braband & H. Schäbe Geospatial modelling of rail safety hazards D.J.K. Griffin Comparing the two methods for judging changes in European railways and in European nuclear safety N. Petrek & H.P. Berg Road transportation Combination of technological and economical risk assessment using the Monte-Carlo-Simulation F. Plinke, D. Althaus, A. Braasch & A. Meyna The results of a systematic study of the risks associated with the transportation of hazardous substances D. Prochazkova, J. Prochazka & H. Patakova Preference risk assessment of hazardous substances road transportation D. Rehak, A. Bernatik & P. Novotny Other reliability and safety areas Quantifying MSD risks through Job Hazard Analysis L. Dement Handling epistemic uncertainty in the Fault Tree Analysis using interval-valued expert information M. Francese, G.M. Galante, C.M. La Fata & G. Passannanti Expressing and communicating uncertainty and bias in relation to Quantitative Risk Analysis F. Goerlandt & J. Montewka Safety analysis and CFD dispersion simulation of cryogenic release in a deep underground large scale cryogenic installation E.C. Marcoulaki, A.G. Venetsanos, M. Konstandinidou & I.A. Papazoglou Reliability and safety based system design Aeronautics and aerospace European survey on safety methods application in aeronautic systems engineering A. Berres, H. Schumann & H. Spangenberg Semi-formal static and dynamic modeling and categorization of airport checkpoints P. Renger, U. Siebold, R. Kaufmann & I. Häring Chemical process industry Achieving safe designs through evaluation of options at the conceptual level of safety system design E. Alijagic & V.N. Dang Civil engineering Conventional correlation factors in the safety analysis of stochastic systems O. Lukoševičienė & A. Kudzys Safety-based approach in multifunctional building design A. Taraszkiewicz & M.K. Gerigk Electrical engineering Management of controls of fire protection systems in Switzerland E. Nachtigall & S. Metzger Electronic components with time-dependent failure rates—reasons, values and consequences P. Zeiler, O. Koller & B. Bertsche Electronic industry Availability and reliability evaluation of systems periodically maintained N. Hu, J. Huang, Ch. Yang, Y. Zheng & O. Dong Maritime transportation Reliability and safety based design of lifesaving appliances systems Z. Burciu Nuclear engineering Nuclear power plant safety improvement with new system for safety injection B. Gjorgiev & A. Volkanovski Rail transportation A systematic approach for defense against transient failures H. Schäbe & I. Shubinski Reliability allocation for a system with complex redundancy Z. Vintr & T. Vintr Other reliability and safety areas Effective searching process used in obtaining Pareto solutions of two-objective network design problem N. Takahashi, H. Yamamoto, T. Akiba & K. Shingyochi Reliability and safety data collection and analysis Aeronautics and aerospace SYMBAD—Artificial Neural Networks in furtherance of managing aircraft testing W. Kosiński, J. Wójcik & M. Zieja Accelerated Life Test method for satellite electronic instrument D. Shu, Z. Liang, Z. Zhiteng & M. Haibo Reliability of the airlines operations system A. Słodownik & J. Żurek Quantitative evaluation on storage reliability of pyrotechnics based on thermodynamic characteristic of dynamite and performance degradation data Z. Wan, W. Hang & C. Hai Long Agriculture and food industry Telematics used in the campaigns machinery safety management systems J. Napiórkowski, P. Szczyglak & K. Kołakowski Chemical process industry Collection and analysis of failure data for pressure equipment P.A. Bragatto, S. Ansaldi, C. Delle Site & P. Agnello Reliability analysis of prototypes based on small and heterogeneous test data volumes. Case study: Organic fibre prototype analysis A. Lücker, M. Hinz, S. Bracke & G. Knübel How to present and understand uncertainty of production assurance analyseswith respect to data quality C. Persskog-Lundtofte, S. Isaksen & L.M. Pedersen Critical infrastructure Universal method of battery life prediction Y. Hanyu, T. Yamamoto, T. Ezawa & A. Itakura Electronic industry Reliability prediction of electronic boards by analyzing field return data S.V. Comert, H. Yadavari, M. Altun & E.N. Erturk Energy production and distribution A double-loop Monte Carlo approach for Part Life Data Base reconstruction and scheduled maintenance improvement F. Di Maio, M. Compare, S. Mattafirri & E. Zio Using field experience in the treatment of Common Cause Failures in reliability assessment S. Hauge, S. Håbrekke & M.A. Lundteigen A geometric test for the analysis of contingency tables J. Quigley & K.J. Wilson Assessment of a remaining working life of energetic devices using service data M. Sykora, M. Holicky, J. Marková & K. Presl Information technology and telecommunication Model for Information Quality determination of teleinformation systems of transport M. Stawowy Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems A framework proposal to analyse the performance of assets under complex system T. Grubessich, E. Johns, P. Viveros, R. Stegmaier & F. Kristjanpoller Proven in use in the machine tool industry for demonstrating the quantitative functional safety according to EN ISO 13849-1 B. Günnel, A. Meyna, M. Schlummer, H. Mödden & A. Broos Mechanical engineering Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 1: Risk profiling and farmer matrix A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden Probabilities in safety of machinery—Part 2: Theoretical and practical design A. Bornemann, Y. Froese, L. Landi & H. Mödden Research on reliability qualification test design by considering inheritance factor Y. Wang, D. Xu & L. Liu Optimal design on Accelerated Degradation Testing with Gamma process for reliability demonstration C. Zhang, X. Lu, X. Chen & Y. Wang Road transportation One producer, two brands: A comparison of car operating conditions M. Jadwinska, T. Siekierka & M. Zając Waterborne transportation Ship voyage characteristics in Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway Y.-P. Zhou, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu Other reliability and safety areas Fleet-level reliability estimation of repairable units A.H.S. Garmabaki, A. Ahmadi & J. Block Reliability and safety education and training Nuclear engineering Learning from failures: The case of Deepwater Horizon disaster A.W. Labib The representation of nuclear power in cinema: The contribution of a filmic analysis to understanding the public debate A. Portelli, C. Martin & F. Guarnieri Road transportation On designing educational aids for users’ safety in road tunnels K. Chatzoglou, E. Rokou, I.P. Tatsiopoulos & K. Kirytopoulos Other reliability and safety areas Public buildings safety: Addressing a pilot evacuation exercise A. Santos & M. Queirós Simulation methods in system safety and reliability Aeronautics and aerospace A safety analysis via minimal path sets detection for object-oriented models C. Schallert The use of on-board flight recorder in the modeling process of aircraft landing operations P. Stańczyk & A. Stelmach Reliability analysis for Runway Overrun using subset simulation K. Zwirglmaier, L. Drees, F. Holzapfel & D. Straub Chemical process industry A meta model framework for risk analysis, diagnosis and simulation H. Kanj & J.-M. Flaus Critical infrastructure Proposing a multi-layer modeling framework for complex infrastructure systems C. Nan & G. Sansavini Hybrid modeling and simulation approach selection to the reliability and vulnerability analysis of Critical Infrastructures G. Sansavini, C. Nan & W. Kröger Energy production and distribution Time dependent gas transmission network probabilistic simulator: Focus on storage discharge modeling V. Kopustinskas & P. Praks Information technology and telecommunication Weekly availability changes of web applications implemented in virtualized environment T. Walkowiak Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Dynamic approach to modeling MTBF/MTTR in industrial and logistics systems P. Hoffa & P. Pawlewski Maritime transportation A new Monte Carlo method for environmental contour estimation A.B. Huseby, E. Vanem & B. Natvig On multistate technical system operation process influence on its reliability K. Kołowrocki, E. Kuligowska & J. Soszyńska-Budny Mechanical engineering Uncertainty improving in importance sampling: An integrated approach with fuzzy-cluster sampling M. Nadjafi, M.A. Farsi & A. Najafi Medicine and health service Conversion of a based risk model into a simulation model for simulation and analysis K. Negrichi, J.-M. Flaus & M. Di Mascolo Nuclear engineering Common cause failures modelling by means of Coloured Petri Nets for dependability assessment of a control system of nuclear power plant N. Brînzei, G. Deleuze, N. Villaume & J.F. Pétin Propagation of aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in quantification of systems failure probabilities or safety margins M. Marquès Road transportation Safe level of redundancy in Discrete Transportation Systems D. Caban & T. Walkowiak Using Petri-Net analysis for advanced reliability analysis of polymer electrolyte membrane fuel cells M. Whiteley, J. Leigh, A. Fly, L.M. Jackson & S.J. Dunnett Waterborne transportation Analysis of ship navigation behaviors in the Wuhan Yangtze River Bridge waterway X. Chen, L.-Z. Sang, Z. Mao & Q. Wu Other reliability and safety areas A novel methodology for availability assessment of complex load sharing systems F. Kristjanpoller, P. Viveros, A. Crespo, R. Mena & R. Stegmaier Structural reliability and safety Aeronautics and aerospace Life distribution and P-S-N curve analysis of TC21 titanium alloy joint with Electron Beam Welding in ultra-high cycle fatigue regime Z. Zhiteng, D. Shu, Z. Liang & X. Danjun Civil engineering Optimal design of ground-mounted solar systems R. Boccara, D. Diamantidis & M. Sykora Approximate quantification of the robustness index of concrete beams subjected to deterioration W. Botte, R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe A condition-based deterioration model for the crack propagation in a submerged concrete structure B. El Hajj, F. Schoefs, B. Castanier & T. Yeung Reliability assessment of cast-iron heritage structures J. Marková, M. Holicky, K. Jung, A. Podstawka & V. Bures Reliability of structures in national codes to Eurocodes J. Marková & M. Holicky On climatic actions combinations for probabilistic calibrations Z. Sadovský In-plane buckling behaviors of shear-deformable columns with variable cross sections L. Su & M.M. Attard Lateral buckling of varying arbitrary cross-section beams with shear effects L. Su & M.M. Attard Methodology for the quantitative risk assessment of road bridges exposed to accidental events M. Sykora, M. Holicky & P. Maňas Point estimate of dynamic reliability considering parameter uncertainties Y.G. Zhao & Z.H. Lu Critical infrastructure The reliability analysis of welded tanks for oil storage Z. Kala Mechanical engineering Determination of design load for a pile-guide system for large floating installations considering Life-Cycle Cost and probabilistic load distribution S.-Y. Lee, C. Jo, P. Bergan, D. Chang & B. Pettersen Road transportation Analysis of reliability and retaining levels of safety barriers K. Jung & J. Marková Other reliability and safety areas Safe reliability assessment through probabilistic constraint reasoning E. Carvalho, J. Cruz & P. Barahona Structural reliability for containment of VVER 440/213 type J. Králik, P. Picca, F. Pierro, M. Giovannini, N. Zaccari & P. Baumeister Reliability updating based on monitoring of structural response parameters B.J. Leira Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis Chemical process industry Comparative analysis of rapid calculation methods for physical explosions of pressure vessels R. Bubbico & B. Mazzarotta A study of determination of the design accidental fire load based on the quantitativeFire Risk Assessment with the treatment of uncertainty B. Chu & D. Chang Civil engineering Sobol’s sensitivity analysis of stability problems of steel beams Z. Kala & J. Kala Energy production and distribution Quantitative vs. qualitative treatment of uncertain assumptions in risk assessment C. Berner & R. Flage Information technology and telecommunication Comparison of uncertainty models of impact of teleinformation devices reliability on information quality M. Stawowy Nuclear engineering Sensitivity analysis of geological parameters having impact on nuclear waste deep geological repository safety J. Chudoba Processes reliability and safety modelling Aeronautics and Aerospace An impact of the operators and passengers behavior on the airport’s security screening reliability A. Kierzkowski & T. Kisiel Risk analysis of the point on aging aircraft structure M. Woch Chemical process industry Risk assessment of a bulk cryogenic tank: Beyond the Leak-Before-Break criterion M. Compare, L. Legnani, M. Buldrini, G. Sansavini, E. Zio & L. Beretta Civil engineering Modeling of a degradation path set with a Gamma process mixture—application to a maintenance decision rule E. Grall-Maës, A. Grall & P. Beauseroy Reliability of the delivery in the last 100 meters K. Lewandowski Manufacturing and supply chain/logistic systems Risk analytics within high-precision dental tool manufacturing: Multidimensional failure probabilities and validation S. Bracke & M. Pospiech A unified model of systems dependability and process continuity for complex supply chains L.A. Bukowski & J. Feliks Using quantitative stochastic model checking tool to increase safety and improve efficiency in production processes L. Herbert, Z.N.L. Hansen & P. Jacobsen Research on information system and its impact on distribution process of supply chain E. Pawlak Availability and reliability of resources in an agile manufacturing systems A. Stachowiak Rail transportation Initial FMEA analysis of the container transport chain M. Zając & J. Świeboda Other reliability and safety areas On prudent activities in a complex system I. Årstad & T. Aven Parallel computing for system availability and applications R. Briš & S. Domesová Author index

O autorze

Nowakowski, Tomasz ; Mlynczak, Marek ; Jodejko-Pietruczuk, Anna ; Werbinska-Wojciechowska, Sylwia