There's a well-known quote that states that "prediction is hard, especially about the future." Well, it's equally as true, if considerably less clever, to state that complexity is hard, especially about the real world. It's somewhat ironic that a discipline that draws so much on real world phenomena, arguing against the oversimplification of models, has had limited impact on business/social modeling. While many of the more beguiling concepts have embedded themselves in everyday language, complexity thinking, as a formal discipline, is clearly much less widespread. There are islands of...