Soon as from earth I go
what will become of me?
Eternal happiness or woe
must then my portion be.

Charles Wesleys words from his moving hymn, Idumea, seem to encapsulate the traditional Evangelical standpoint on the afterlife. And it is in response to such a conservative sheep and goats eschatology, as found in the Evangelical Alliances Report on the Nature of Hell (2000), that the Reverend David Clayton has penned this sensitive yet carefully argued work.

From a pastoral point of view, preaching hell today is a thankless task. Punishment is an alien concept to a whole generation. Criminals...

This self-contained account of the statistical basis of epidemiology has been written specifically for those with a basic training in biology, therefore no previous knowledge is assumed and the mathematics is deliberately kept at a manageable level. The authors show how all statistical analysis of data is based on probability models, and once one understands the model, analysis follows easily. In showing how to use models in epidemiology the authors have chosen to emphasize the role of likelihood, an approach to statistics which is both simple and intuitively satisfying. More complex problems...