Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software.This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described.A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic...

Bayesian Inference for Probabilistic Risk Assessment provides a Bayesian foundation for framing probabilistic problems and performing inference on these problems. Inference in the book employs a modern computational approach known as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC).The MCMC approach may be implemented using custom-written routines or existing general purpose commercial or open-source software.This book uses an open-source program called OpenBUGS (commonly referred to as WinBUGS) to solve the inference problems that are described.A powerful feature of OpenBUGS is its automatic...