The material contained in this book originated in interrogations about modern practice in time series analysis. - Why do we use models optimized with respect to one-step ahead foreca- ing performances for applications involving multi-step ahead forecasts? - Why do we infer 'long-term' properties (unit-roots) of an unknown process from statistics essentially based on short-term one-step ahead forecasting performances of particular time series models? - Are we able to detect turning-points of trend components earlier than with traditional signal extraction procedures? The link between 'signal...
The material contained in this book originated in interrogations about modern practice in time series analysis. - Why do we use models optimized with ...