The main catalysts for a possible "Central Asian Spring" (in addition to local socio-economic and political distortions) become Afghanistan after the withdrawal ISAF troop of NATO coalition in 2014. Evacuation alliance troops and the coming to power of the Taliban in the Pashtun areas of the Islamic Republic can take depending on the degree of support for President Hamid Karzai's two or three years. While Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan are the weak link in CA already now influence of Islamists and criminal clans, including directly related to Afghan drug trafficking on their territory is extremely...