In 1983 A. Tversky and D. Kahneman showed that people sometimes tend to believe that a conjunction of events (e.g., It rains and it is cold) is more likely to occur than one of the events at stake (e.g., It rains). This phenomenon is called "conjunction fallacy" as it involves a logical mistake. Researchers in psychology and philosophy have engaged in important controversies around the phenomenon. This work explores three of these debates. First, it addresses the issue of the nature of the conjunction fallacy. Is the conjunction fallacy mainly due to a misunderstanding of the problem by...
In 1983 A. Tversky and D. Kahneman showed that people sometimes tend to believe that a conjunction of events (e.g., It rains and it is cold) is more l...