This book provides a self-contained account of periodic models for seasonally observed economic time series with stochastic trends. Two key concepts are periodic integration and periodic cointegration. Periodic integration implies that a seasonally varying differencing filter is required to remove a stochastic trend. Periodic cointegration amounts to allowing cointegration paort-term adjustment parameters to vary with the season. The emphasis is on useful econrameters and shometric models that explicitly describe seasonal variation and can reasonably be interpreted in terms of economic...
This book provides a self-contained account of periodic models for seasonally observed economic time series with stochastic trends. Two key concepts a...
In this modern study of the use of periodic models in the description and forecasting of economic data the authors investigate such areas as seasonal time series, periodic time series models, periodic integration and periodic cointegration.
In this modern study of the use of periodic models in the description and forecasting of economic data the authors investigate such areas as seasonal ...
This book considers periodic time series models for seasonal data, characterized by parameters that differ across the seasons, and focuses on their usefulness for out-of-sample forecasting. Providing an up-to-date survey of the recent developments in periodic time series, the book presents a large number of empirical results. The first part of the book deals with model selection, diagnostic checking and forecasting of univariate periodic autoregressive models. Tests for periodic integration, are discussed, and an extensive discussion of the role of deterministic regressors in testing for...
This book considers periodic time series models for seasonal data, characterized by parameters that differ across the seasons, and focuses on their us...