The "NBER Macroeconomics Annual" provides a forum for important debates in contemporary macroeconomics and major developments in the theory of macroeconomic analysis and policy that include leading economists from a variety of fields. The papers and accompanying discussions in "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009" address how heterogeneous beliefs interact with equilibrium leverage and potentially lead to leverage cycles, the validity of alternative hypotheses about the reason for the recent increase in foreclosures on residential mortgages, the credit rating crisis, quantitative implications for...

The NBER Macroeconomics Annual features theoretical and empirical contributions to the study of macroeconomics, addressing central issues within the discipline. These issues range from short-run macroeconomic fluctuations to international economic crises and long-run economic growth. Continuing in this tradition, NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2010 contains six papers that each tackle an important area in macroeconomics and serve to advance discourse within the field. This volume offers papers that reflect upon a variety of topics, including the recent financial crisis and the response of...

The twenty-seventh edition of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual continues a tradition of featuring theoretical and empirical contributions that shed light on central issues in contemporary macroeconomics, pushing the frontiers of macroeconomic research on topics related to both the business cycle and economic growth and addressing important policy-relevant questions. This year s volume features two papers that illuminate two causes of the recent financial crisis: how firms accessed credit during the financial crisis and how the risk in mortgage lending was measured in the UK in the decades...

This year, the NBER Macroeconomics Annual celebrates its thirtieth volume. The first two papers examine China's macroeconomic development. "Trends and Cycles in China's Macroeconomy" by Chun Chang, Kaiji Chen, Daniel F. Waggoner, and Tao Zha outlines the key characteristics of growth and business cycles in China. "Demystifying the Chinese Housing Boom" by Hanming Fang, Quanlin Gu, Wei Xiong, and Li-An Zhou constructs a new house price index, showing that Chinese house prices have grown by ten percent per year over the past decade. The third paper, "External and Public Debt Crises" by Cristina...

The thirty-first edition of the NBER Macroeconomics Annual features theoretical and empirical research on central issues in contemporary macroeconomics. The first two papers are rigorous and data-driven analyses of the European financial crisis. The third paper introduces a new set of facts about economic growth and financial ratios as well as a new macrofinancial database for the study of historical financial booms and busts. The fourth paper studies the historical effects of Federal Reserve efforts to provide guidance about the future path of the funds rate. The fifth paper explores...