Modeling cancer parameters using Globocan Mauritania 2018 estimates

ISBN-13: 9786206749790 / Angielski / Miękka / 164 str.

Ahmedou Tolba; Noureddine Ouerfelli; Jiddou Abdou

Opis

Cancer remains a major public health burden in Mauritania, requiring quantitative analyses to support prevention and control strategies. Using Globocan 2018 estimates, this study models cancer incidence, mortality, and cumulative risk in the Mauritania population. In 2018, an estimated 2733 new cases and 1933 deaths occurred. The most frequent cancers were Cervix uteri, Breast, Liver, Prostate, and Colorectum, with Liver showing the highest lethality (Nd/Nc = 101.9%). The global mortality ratio (slope = 0.69) suggests that about three-quarters of new cases result in death. Linear and power-law correlations (Eqs. 1-7) describe the causal link between incidence and mortality, while the parameters ( = 0.964, k = 0.795, Gammai > 1) express behavioral and severity indices. Gender disparities are evident, with Liver and Prostate cancers dominating in males, and Cervix uteri and Breast in females. The modeling framework offers predictive insight for evaluating cancer dynamics and improving early detection and public health interventions in Mauritania.