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wyszukanych pozycji: 29
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Zdrowy umysł w sieci algorytmów
ISBN: 9788378867074 / Polski / miękka / 400 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 1-3 dni roboczych. Wyobraźmy sobie, że pewna kawiarnia pozbyła się całej konkurencji przez to, że oferuje darmową kawę, więc nie mamy innego wyboru niż umawiać się właśnie tam. Podczas gdy rozkoszujemy się miłymi rozmowami z przyjaciółmi, zamontowane w stołach podsłuchy i kamery dokładnie monitorują nasze konwersacje i rejestrują, z kim siedzimy. W pomieszczeniu jest także pełno sprzedawców, którzy płacą za naszą kawę, ale nieustannie nam przerywają, proponując zakup swoich produktów i usług. W istocie klientami kawiarni są ci sprzedawcy, a nie Ty i Twoi przyjaciele. Na...
Wyobraźmy sobie, że pewna kawiarnia pozbyÅ‚a siÄ™ caÅ‚ej konkurencji przez to, że oferuje darmowÄ… kawÄ™, wiÄ™c nie mamy innego wyboru niż umawiaÄ...
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75,11 zł |
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How to Stay Smart in a Smart World: Why Human Intelligence Still Beats Algorithms
ISBN: 9780141995045 / Angielski / Miękka / 2023 / 320 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 8-10 dni roboczych (Dostawa przed świętami) |
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67,06 zł |
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Risk Savvy: How To Make Good Decisions
ISBN: 9780241954614 / Angielski / Miękka / 2015 / 336 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 8-10 dni roboczych (Dostawa przed świętami) This is a fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckoning with Risk. Numbers don't lie - but they often mislead us. From health risks to financial decisions, we often find it hard to make decisions because the statistics have been presented to us by 'experts' who misinterpret the data themselves. Here Gerd Gigerenzer shows how we can all use simple rules to become better-informed, risk-savvy citizens. "Important, Gigerenzer draws valuable lessons...his clear explanations will be a great help to...
This is a fascinating, practical guide to making better decisions with our money, health and personal lives from Gerd Gigerenzer, the author of Reckon...
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56,74 zł |
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Better Doctors, Better Patients, Better Decisions: Envisioning Health Care 2020
ISBN: 9780262518529 / Angielski / Miękka / 2013 / 416 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 13-18 dni roboczych. Contrary to popular opinion, one of the main problems in providing uniformly excellent health care is not lack of money but lack of knowledge -- on the part of both doctors and patients. The studies in this book show that many doctors and most patients do not understand the available medical evidence. Both patients and doctors are "risk illiterate" -- frequently unable to tell the difference between actual risk and relative risk. Further, unwarranted disparity in treatment decisions is the rule rather than the exception in the United States and Europe. All of this contributes to much... Contrary to popular opinion, one of the main problems in providing uniformly excellent health care is not lack of money but lack of knowledge -- on... |
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250,91 zł |
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Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty
ISBN: 9780195328981 / Angielski / Twarda / 2008 / 256 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 30 dni roboczych. Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely influential and has spawned an entire research program. This volume (which follows on a previous collection, Adaptive Thinking, also published by OUP) collects his most recent articles, looking at how people use "fast and frugal...
Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of vie...
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475,83 zł |
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Empire of Chance: How Probability Changed Science and Everyday Life
ISBN: 9780521398381 / Angielski / Miękka / 1990 / 360 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 16-18 dni roboczych. This book tells how quantitative ideas of chance have transformed the natural and social sciences as well as everyday life over the past three centuries. A continuous narrative connects the earliest application of probability and statistics in gambling and insurance to the most recent forays into law, medicine, polling, and baseball. Separate chapters explore the theoretical and methodological impact on biology, physics, and psychology. In contrast to the literature on the mathematical development of probability and statistics, this book centers on how these technical innovations recreated...
This book tells how quantitative ideas of chance have transformed the natural and social sciences as well as everyday life over the past three centuri...
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159,46 zł |
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Klick
ISBN: 9783570554760 / Niemiecki / Miękka / 416 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 10-14 dni roboczych. Risiken erkennen und richtig entscheiden in der digitalen Welt
Was genau zeichnen die smarten Geräte bei uns zu Hause auf? Gehört dem autonomen Fahren die Zukunft? Wo entscheiden Algorithmen besser als der Mensch, wo aber nicht? Und wie groß ist die Chance wirklich, beim Online-Dating den Partner fürs Leben zu finden? Der weltweit renommierte Psychologe und Risikoforscher Gerd Gigerenzer beschreibt anhand vieler konkreter Beispiele, wie wir die Chancen und Risiken der digitalen Welt für unser Leben richtig einschätzen und uns vor den Verlockungen sozialer Medien schützen... Risiken erkennen und richtig entscheiden in der digitalen Welt
Was genau zeichnen die smarten Geräte bei uns zu Hause auf? Gehört dem ... |
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73,42 zł |
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Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart
ISBN: 9780195143812 / Angielski / Miękka / 2000 / 432 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 30 dni roboczych. Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart invites readers to embark on a new journey into a land of rationality that differs from the familiar territory of cognitive science and economics. Traditional views of rationality tend to see decision makers as possessing superhuman powers of reason, limitless knowledge, and all of eternity in which to ponder choices. To understand decisions in the real world, we need a different, more psychologically plausible notion of rationality, and this book provides it. It is about fast and frugal heuristics--simple rules for making decisions when time is...
Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart invites readers to embark on a new journey into a land of rationality that differs from the familiar ter...
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263,30 zł |
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Gut Feelings
ISBN: 9780143113768 / Angielski / Miękka / 2008 / 288 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 10-14 dni roboczych. Why is split second decision-making superior to deliberation? Gut Feelings delivers the science behind Malcolm Gladwell's Blink Reflection and reason are overrated, according to renowned psychologist Gerd Gigerenzer. Much better qualified to help us make decisions is the cognitive, emotional, and social repertoire we call intuition?a suite of gut feelings that have evolved over the millennia specifically for making decisions. ?Gladwell drew heavily on Gigerenzer's research. But Gigerenzer goes a step further by explaining just why our gut instincts are so often right. Intuition,...
Why is split second decision-making superior to deliberation? Gut Feelings delivers the science behind Malcolm Gladwell's Blink Reflection...
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101,41 zł |
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Bauchentscheidungen
ISBN: 9783570554463 / Niemiecki / Miękka / 2021 / 288 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 10-14 dni roboczych. Warum der Bauch oft die besseren Entscheidungen trifft als der Verstand: Der internationale Bestseller jetzt bei Pantheon
Wie wir durch Intuition schneller und effektiver handeln könnenEin Mann verliebt sich in eine Frau, deren »Partnerprofil« eigentlich nicht zu ihm passt. Eine gute Ärztin spürt, wenn mit langjährigen Patienten etwas nicht in Ordnung ist, auch wenn sie nicht immer sofort sagen kann, was ihnen fehlt. Intuition schlägt Vernunft: Der weltweit renommierte Psychologe Gerd Gigerenzer zeigt anschaulich, warum rationales Abwägen in vielen Situationen... Warum der Bauch oft die besseren Entscheidungen trifft als der Verstand: Der internationale Bestseller jetzt bei Pantheon
Wie wir durch ... |
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64,24 zł |
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Simply Rational: Decision Making in the Real World
ISBN: 9780199390076 / Angielski / Twarda / 2015 / 326 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 30 dni roboczych. Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making across the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics. Collectively, the essays demonstrate why the frame in which statistics are communicated is essential for broader understanding and sound decision making, and that understanding risks and uncertainty has wide-reaching implications for daily life. Gerd Gigerenzer provides a lucid review and catalog of concrete instances of heuristics, or rules of...
Statistical illiteracy can have an enormously negative impact on decision making. This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoreti...
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485,71 zł |
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Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty
ISBN: 9780199747092 / Angielski / Miękka / 2010 / 256 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 30 dni roboczych. Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely influential and has spawned an entire research program. This volume collects recent articles, looking at how people use "fast and frugal heuristics" to calculate probability and risk and make decisions. It includes the revised articles and...
Gerd Gigerenzer's influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of vie...
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176,76 zł |
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Gut Feelings: Short Cuts to Better Decision Making
ISBN: 9780141015910 / Angielski / Miękka / 2007 / 280 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 8-10 dni roboczych (Dostawa przed świętami) Short Cuts to Better Decision Making. By explaining how intuiton works and analyzing the techniques that people use to make good decisions - whether it's in personnel selection or heart surgery - the author will show you why gut thinking can change your world.
Short Cuts to Better Decision Making. By explaining how intuiton works and analyzing the techniques that people use to make good decisions - whether i...
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56,74 zł |
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Bounded Rationality
ISBN: 9780262571647 / Angielski / Miękka / 2002 / 394 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 13-18 dni roboczych. In a complex and uncertain world, humans and animals make decisions under the constraints of limited knowledge, resources, and time. Yet models of rational decision making in economics, cognitive science, biology, and other fields largely ignore these real constraints and instead assume agents with perfect information and unlimited time. About forty years ago, Herbert Simon challenged this view with his notion of "bounded rationality." Today, bounded rationality has become a fashionable term used for disparate views of reasoning. This book promotes bounded rationality as the key to... In a complex and uncertain world, humans and animals make decisions under the constraints of limited knowledge, resources, and time. Yet models of ... |
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312,06 zł |
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Reckoning with Risk: Learning to Live with Uncertainty
ISBN: 9780140297867 / Angielski / Miękka / 2003 / 320 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 8-10 dni roboczych (Dostawa przed świętami) At the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from television weather forecasters to the American President, seem to have no idea of how to reason about uncertainties. Accordingly, a number of books and popular books have marshalled a long roster of cognitive illusions as evidence of humans' fundamental irrationality.
At the beginning of the 20th century, the father of modern science fiction, H.G. Wells, predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for ...
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cena:
56,74 zł |
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Calculated Risks: How to Know When Numbers Deceive You
ISBN: 9780743254236 / Angielski / Miękka / 2003 / 320 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 13-18 dni roboczych. |
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100,67 zł |
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Heuristics
ISBN: 9780199744282 / Angielski / Twarda / 2011 / 872 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 30 dni roboczych. How do people make decisions when time is limited, information unreliable, and the future uncertain? Based on the work of Nobel laureate Herbert Simon and with the help of colleagues around the world, the Adaptive Behavior and Cognition (ABC) Group at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in Berlin has developed a research program on simple heuristics, also known as fast and frugal heuristics. In the social sciences, heuristics have been believed to be generally inferior to complex methods for inference, or even irrational. Although this may be true in "small worlds" where everything...
How do people make decisions when time is limited, information unreliable, and the future uncertain? Based on the work of Nobel laureate Herbert Simon...
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760,01 zł |
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Evolution and Cognition Series
ISBN: 9780195153729 / Angielski / Miękka / 2002 / 360 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 30 dni roboczych. Where do new ideas come from? What is social intelligence? Why do social scientists perform mindless statistical rituals? This vital book is about rethinking rationality as adaptive thinking: to understand how minds cope with their environments, both ecological and social. Gerd Gigerenzer proposes and illustrates a bold new research program that investigates the psychology of rationality, introducing the concepts of ecological, bounded, and social rationality. His path-breaking collection takes research on thinking, social intelligence, creativity, and decision-making out of an ethereal...
Where do new ideas come from? What is social intelligence? Why do social scientists perform mindless statistical rituals? This vital book is about ret...
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302,84 zł |
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Experts in Science and Society
ISBN: 9781475787443 / Angielski / Miękka / 2013 / 314 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 20 dni roboczych. Taking the viewpoint that experts are consulted when there is something important at stake for an individual, a group, or society at large, this volume explores expertise as a relational concept. In order to be culturally comparative, this volume includes examples and discussions of experts in different countries and even in different time periods. The topics include the roles of political experts, scientific experts, medical experts, and legal experts. Taking the viewpoint that experts are consulted when there is something important at stake for an individual, a group, or society at large, this vo... |
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389,98 zł |
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The Intelligence of Intuition
ISBN: 9781009304894 / Miękka / 2023 / 280 str. Termin realizacji zamówienia: ok. 16-18 dni roboczych. |
cena:
119,92 zł |
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