Applied Risk Analysis for Guiding Homeland Security Policy and Decisions

ISBN-13: 9781119287469 / Angielski / Twarda / 2021 / 528 str.

Samrat Chatterjee;Robert T. Brigantic;Angela Waterworth

Opis

Led by a group of highly-qualified editors, this book features a clear connection between risk analysis and homeland policy making and includes international contributions that uniquely highlight the role of risk analysis for informing homeland security policy decisions. Featuring discussions on the various approaches and challenges faced in homeland risk analysis, the editors seamlessly divide the subject of risk analysis for homeland security into manageable chapters, which are organized by the concept of risk-informed decisions, applications and methodology of risk analysis, and relevant examples and case studies. Specifically, the international examples and case studies address systematic risk analysis methods in homeland security policy development and illustrate the applications and methods of risk analysis to provide decision support for homeland security policy makers and risk analysts. In addition, the examples address the ongoing improvements in risk analysis techniques associated with government risk analysis, such as the U.S. Department of Homeland Security's (DHS) decision to adopt an increasingly risk-informed basis for decision-making. The case studies include academic, government, and industrial perspectives and demonstrate the application of risk analysis methods to address challenges faced within the missions of the DHS. The five DHS missions, as described in the 2014 Quadrennial Homeland Security Review, serve as the fundamental basis: 1) prevent terrorism and enhance security; 2) secure and manage borders; 3) enforce and administer immigration laws; 4) safeguard and secure cyberspace; and 5) strengthen national preparedness and resilience. The editors guide the practical art of risk-informed decision as opposed to presenting pure academic exposition. Topical coverage includes: Risks, Policy, and Decisions; Overview of Risk Analysis Methods for Homeland Security; Large-Scale Visual Exploration of Radiological and Nuclear Risk Assessment; Analyzing Uncertainties in Radiological and Nuclear Pathways Analysis; Advances in Risk Analysis for Border Security; Advances in Risk Analysis for Border Security; Techniques for Risk Scoring of Automated National Security Watch List Checks Application; Immigration; Advances in Risk Analysis for Cyber Security; Systems Modeling for Rapid Containment and Casualty Mitigation; and Preparedness and Resilience.

Spis treści

About the EditorsContributorsPreface and IntroductionI. Managing National Security Risk and Policy Programs 101. On the "Influence of Scenarios to Priorities" in Risk and Security Programs 10Heimir Thorisson, James H. Lambert2. Survey of Risk Analytic Guidelines Across the Government 25Isaac Maya, Lily Doyle, Amelia Liu, Francine Tran, Robert Creighton, Charles Woo3. An Overview of Risk Modeling Methods and Approaches for National Security 59Samrat Chatterjee, Robert T. Brigantic, Angela M. Waterworth4. Comparative Risk Rankings in Support of Homeland Security Strategic Plans 80Russell Lundberg5. A Data Science Workflow for Discovering Spatial Patterns Among Terrorist Attacks and Infrastructure 97Daniel Fortin, Thomas Johansen, Samrat Chatterjee, George Muller, Christine NoonanII. Strengthening Ports of Entry 1176. Effects of Credibility of Retaliation Threats in Deterring Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons 117Xiaojun Shan, Jun Zhuang7. Disutility of Mass Relocation After a Severe Nuclear Accident 129Vicki M. Bier, Shuji Liu8. Scheduling Federal Air Marshals Under Uncertainty 153Keith W. DeGregory, Rajesh GanesanIII. Securing Critical Cyber Assets 1719. Decision Theory for Network Security: Active Sensing for Detection and Prevention of Data Exfiltration 171Sara M. McCarthy, Arunesh Sinha, Milind Tambe, Pratyusa Manadhatha10. Measurement of Cyber Resilience from an Economic Perspective 193Adam Z. Rose, Noah Miller11. Responses to Cyber Near-misses: A Scale to Measure Individual Differences 210Jinshu Cui, Heather Rosoff, Richard S. JohnIV. Enhancing Disaster Preparedness and Infrastructure Resilience 22512. An Interactive Web-Based Decision Support System for Mass Dispensing, Emergency Preparedness, and Biosurveillance 225Eva K. Lee, Ferdinand H. Pietz, Chien-Hung Chen, Yifan Liu13. Critical Infrastructure Risk Assessments: Measuring Critical Infrastructure Protection and Resilience in an All-Hazards Environment 243Julia Phillips, Frédéric Petit14. Risk Analysis Methods in Resilience Modeling: An Overview of Critical Infrastructure Applications 269Hiba Baroud5. Optimal Resource Allocation Model to Prevent, Prepare, and Respond to Multiple Disruptions, with Application to the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill and Hurricane Katrina 284Cameron A. MacKenzie, Amro Al-Kazimi16. Inoperability Input-Output Modeling of Electric Power Disruptions 300Joost R. Santos, Sheree Ann Pagsuyoin, Christian Yip17. Quantitative Assessment of Transportation Network Vulnerability with Dynamic Traffic Simulation Methods 314Venkateswaran Shekar, Lance Fiondella18. Infrastructure Monitoring for Health and Security 327Prodyot K. Basu19. Exploring Metaheuristic Approaches for Solving the Traveling Salesman Problem Applied to Emergency Planning and Response 346Ramakrishna Tipireddy, Javier Rubio-Herrero, Samrat Chatterjee, Satish Chikkagoudar, George Muller

O autorze

SAMRAT CHATTERJEE, PhD, is Senior Operations Research/Data Scientist and the Decision Modeling and Optimization Team Lead in the Computing and Analytics Division within the National Security Directorate at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). He is also Affiliate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering with Northeastern University in Boston.ROBERT T. BRIGANTIC, PhD, is Chief Operations Research Scientist and the Statistical Modeling and Experimental Design Team Lead in the Computing and Analytics Division within the National Security Directorate at PNNL. He is also Adjunct Professor of Operations Research with the Carson College of Business at the Washington State University.ANGELA M. WATERWORTH, MS, is Senior Operations Research/Data Scientist in the Computing and Analytics Division within the National Security Directorate at PNNL.