Wicked Problems - Social Messes: Decision Support Modelling with Morphological Analysis

ISBN-13: 9783642196522 / Angielski / Twarda / 2011 / 106 str.

Tom Ritchey

Opis

This book presents the history and theory of General Morphological Analysis (GMA) and describes how it is used to develop interactive, non-quantified inference models. It features case studies that illustrate the application of GMA.

Spis treści

Introduction.- General Morphological Analysis (GMA).- Wicked Problems and Genuine Uncertainty.- Modelling Complex Policy Issues with Morphological Analysis.- Strengths, Limitations and Advanced Topics.- On the Formal Properties of Morphological Models.- Facilitating GMA Workshops.- GMA Case Studies.- About Fritz Zwicky.- Glossary.- References and Further Reading.

O autorze

Tom Ritchey is a former Research Director for the Institution for Technology Foresight and Assessment at the Swedish National Defence Research Agency (FOI) in Stockholm. He is the founder of the Swedish Morphological Society, is director of Ritchey Consulting Inc. and a founding partner in the U.K. based Strategy Foresight Partnership LLP.

Blurb

This is the first dedicated book to be published on computer-aided General Morphological Analysis (GMA) as a non-quantified modelling method. It presents the history and theory of GMA and describes how it is used to develop interactive, non-quantified inference models. Eleven case studies are presented out of more than 100 projects carried out since 1995, illustrating how GMA has been employed for structuring complex policy and planning issues, developing scenario and strategy laboratories, and analysing organisational and stakeholder structures. Also discussed are the concepts of “wicked problems” and “social messes”, their characteristics and treatment, and problems concerning the facilitation of morphological analysis workshops.