Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best Out of Experts

ISBN-13: 9781107112087 / Angielski / Twarda / 2015 / 214 str.

Mark Burgman

Opis

Even experienced experts can be biased and overconfident. This book explains how to ensure experts provide reliable scientific advice.

Recenzje

'Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts … is very clearly and logically structured … this book is written in easy and enjoyable language and very much oriented toward practical needs.' Pierre L. Ibisch, Conservation Biology

Spis treści

Preface; Acknowledgements; 1. What's wrong with consulting experts?; 2. Kinds of uncertainty; 3. What leads experts astray?; 4. Dealing with individual experts; 5. The wisdom of crowds revisited; 6. Tips to get the best out of experts; Appendix. Sources; References; Index.