Transportation Planning and the Future

ISBN-13: 9780471974086 / Angielski / Twarda / 1998 / 312 str.

Niijkamp; Sytze A. Rienstra; Jaap M. Vleugel

Opis

The views of European specialists in transport engineering, policy and planning are collated in this book to discuss how, in the year 2030, European transport infrastructures might look. They create scenarios relating to differing objectives, technological constraints and policy goals in order to give readers an examination of the technological, institutional and political factors that will affect future transport planning.

Spis treści

SETTING THE SCENE.

Transportation in a Conflicting Force Field.

Transport and the Environment.

Major Trends in European Transport.

ANALYSIS OF NEW TRANSPORT SYSTEMS.

New Transport Systems: Success and Failure Factors.

Innovations in Automobile and Aviation Systems.

The Potential of New Collective Transport Modes.

SCENARIOS FOR SUSTAINABLE TRANSPORT SYSTEMS.

Scenarios for Future Sustainable Transport Systems.

The Spider Model for Composing Scenarios.

Expert Views on the Future Transport System.

New Transport Futures Designed by Expert Opinion.

A Segment Analysis of Expert Groups for Transport Scenario Design.

Environmental Impacts: Estimation of CO—2 Emissions.

The Realism of Sustainable Mobility: An Assessment of Policy Options.

References.

Index.

O autorze

Peter Nijkamp is Professor in Regional and Urban Economics and in Economic Geography at the VU University, Amsterdam. His main research interests cover quantitative plan evaluation, regional and urban modelling, multicriteria analysis, transport systems analysis, mathematical systems modelling, technological innovation, entrepreneurship, environmental and resource management, and sustainable development. In the past years he has focussed his research in particular on new quantitative methods for policy analysis, as well as on spatial-behavioural analysis of economic agents. He has a broad expertise in the area of public policy, services planning, infrastructure management and environmental protection. In all these fields he has published many books and numerous articles.
In 1996, he was awarded the most prestigious scientific prize in the Netherlands, the Spinoza award.

Blurb

Current trends in transport, particularly the rise in CO—2 emissions, indicate that major changes in technology, public policy and individual behaviour are necessary to make the transport system more compatible with environmental sustainability. What then are the possible futures for sustainable systems of transport? In this book future scenarios are constructed on the basis of the recently developed ′spider model′. This model constructs an evaluation framework – based along spatial, institutional, economic and socio–psychological axes – which visualises the core factors that influence transport systems. These factors can operate either separately or in combination – this interaction creates scenarios which range from market–oriented to regulatory systems, and from individual to collective modes of transport. Drawing on the work of a range of transport analysts, the book suggests that the current trend away from sustainability and collective systems is likely to continue, but when sound policies are introduced, a sustainable transport system becomes a feasible option.