Thinking and Deciding

ISBN-13: 9781009263634 / Twarda / 2023 / 550 str.

Jonathan (University of Pennsylvania) Baron

Opis

A thorough introduction to the basic principles of judgments and decisions, emphasizing explanations over simple review of facts.

Recenzje

'For 35 years, Thinking and Deciding has set the intellectual and pedagogical standard for presenting a field that has grown dramatically in importance since the first edition. The new edition maintains these high standards. It is thorough, thoughtful, insightful, clear, and comprehensive. It does not shy away from discussing important issues about which there is disagreement. I cannot imagine a better way to educate students - and their teachers - than to have them read this book.' Barry Schwartz, University of California, Berkeley, USA

Spis treści

Preface; Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?; 2. The study of thinking; 3. Rationality; 4. Logic; Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability; 6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment; 7. Hypothesis testing; 8. Judgment of correlation and contingency; 9. Actively open-minded thinking (AOT); Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Choice under uncertainty: normative theory; 11. Choice under uncertainty: descriptive theory; 12. Risk; 13. Choice under certainty; 14. Utility measurement; 15. Decision analysis and values; 16. Quantitative judgment; 17. Moral judgment and choice; 18. Fairness and justice; 19. Social dilemmas: cooperation v. defection; 20. Decisions about the future; Index.