The Science and Management of Uncertainty: Dealing with Doubt in Natural Resource Management

ISBN-13: 9780367633400 / Angielski / Miękka / 2020 / 278 str.

Bruce G. Marcot

Opis

This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensive study of concepts, measurements, and applications of uncertainty in ecological modeling and natural resource management.

Spis treści

Preface. What is Uncertainty? Measuring Uncertainty. Modeling Uncertainty. Communicating Uncertainty. Capturing Expert Judgment. Decision-making Under Uncertainty. Fallacies of Logic and Inference. Case Topics. Summary and Conclusions. References. Index.

O autorze

Bruce G. Marcot is a Research Wildlife Biologist with the U.S. Forest Service. He received his Ph.D. from Oregon State University in 1984. His expertise is in ecology and conservation of rare and at-risk species, probabilistic modeling, and application of risk analysis and decision science in conservation. His many international studies include impacts of climate change on wildlife biota, movement dynamics of organisms, and causal modeling of environmental stressors.