The Iranian Nuclear Crisis : Avoiding worst-case outcomes

ISBN-13: 9780415466547 / Angielski / Miękka / 2008 / 100 str.

Mark Fitzpatrick

Opis

This Adelphi Paper will explain how Iran’s nuclear programme developed to the point where it threatens to achieve a weapons capability within a short timeframe, and will analyse the Western policy responses aimed at forestalling that capability. In examining Iran’s prospects for nuclear-weapons breakout, the paper will also weigh policy options for keeping this capability latent and not actualised. Key questions will be addressed – will the world have to accept an Iranian uranium enrichment programme? And how we will know when Iran has crossed the threshold?

Spis treści

Introduction  1. Framing the Problem: Iran,s Pursuit of Fissile Material  2. Western Strategy So Far  3. Can Iran's Capability Be Kept Non-Weaponised?  Conclusion

O autorze

Mark Fitzpatrick is Senior Fellow for Non-Proliferation at The International Institute for Strategic Studies and Director of its Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme. He is the editor and principal author of IISS strategic dossiers on Nuclear Programmes in the Middle East: In the shadow of Iran (London: IISS, 2008) and Nuclear Black Markets: Pakistan, A.Q. Khan and the rise of proliferation networks: A net assessment (London: IISS, 2007). He has published articles on the Iranian and North Korean nuclear programmes and other proliferation topics in Survival, the Financial Times, the International Herald Tribune and other publications, and he is a frequent news commentator and international lecturer on these subjects. He was a US diplomat for 26 years, including as Deputy Assistant Secretary for Non-Proliferation.