The Climate Demon: Past, Present, and Future of Climate Prediction

ISBN-13: 9781009018043 / Angielski / Miękka / 2021 / 350 str.

R. (Texas A & M University) Saravanan

Opis

An introduction to the complex world of climate models that explains why we should trust their predictions despite the uncertainties.

Recenzje

'This well-written, balanced text, accessible for readers with an extraordinary range of interests and expertise, will be useful to all and should be on the shelf in every academic library … Highly recommended. D. Bantz, Choice

Spis treści

List of figures; Preface; Acknowledgements; Introduction; Part I. The Past: 1. Deducing weather: The dawn of computing; 2. Predicting weather: The butterfly and the tornado; 3. The greenhouse effect: Goldilocks and the three planets; 4. Deducing climate: Smagorinsky's laboratory; 5. Predicting climate: Butterflies in the greenhouse; 6. The ozone hole: Black swan at the polar dawn; 7. Global warming: From gown to town. Part II: The Present: 8. Occam's razor: The reduction to simplicity; 9. Constraining climate: A conservative view of modeling; 10. Tuning climate: A comedy of compensating errors; 11. Occam's beard: The emergence of complexity; 12. The Hansen paradox: The red Queen's race of climate modeling; 13. The Rumsfeld matrix: Degrees of knowledge; 14. Lost in translation; 15. Taking climate models seriously, not literally. Part III. The Future: 16. Moore's law: To exascale and beyond; 17. Machine learning: The climate imitation game; 18. Geoengineering: Reducing the fever; 19. Pascal's wager: Hedging our climate bets; 20. Moonwalking into the future. Epilogue. Glossary. Selected Bibliography. References. Index. Endnotes.