Subjective Probability: The Real Thing

ISBN-13: 9780521829717 / Angielski / Twarda / 2004 / 142 str.

Richard Jeffrey

Opis

This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability theory is a mode of judgement. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory, the book is both a summation and a synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with such problems and issues.

Recenzje

'... a well written account of basic subjective probability as a tool for decision making under uncertain observations.' Zentralblatt MATH

Spis treści

1. Probability primer; 2. Testing scientific theories; 3. Probability dynamics; collaboration; 4. Expectation primer; 5. Updating on statistics; 6. Choosing.