ISBN-13: 9781138001237 / Angielski / Twarda / 2013 / 758 str.
ISBN-13: 9781138001237 / Angielski / Twarda / 2013 / 758 str.
During the last decade there have been increasing societal concerns over sustainable developments focusing on the conservation of the environment, the welfare and safety of the individual and at the same time the optimal allocation of available natural and financial resources. As a consequence the methods of risk and reliability analysis are becoming increasingly important as decision support tools in various fields of engineering. In this book, the risk and reliability research community looks beyond the horizon. The technology we deploy to fix today s problems is based on research that started more than two decades ago. What we are doing today should make a difference for tomorrow. Developing innovative new knowledge and applications helps engineers to better play the important role they have for society in establishing the basis for decision making.
Safety, Reliability and Risk Analysis: Beyond the Horizon contains the papers presented at the 22nd European Safety and Reliability (ESREL 2013) annual conference in Amsterdam, The Netherlands. The abstracts book (785 pages) + full paper CD-ROM (3426 pages) cover a wide range of topics for which risk analysis forms an indispensable field of knowledge to ensure sufficient safety: Uncertainty Analysis, Accident and Incident Modeling, Human Factors and Human Reliability, System Reliability, Structural Reliability, Safety in Civil Engineering, Quantitative Risk Assessment, Prognostics and System Health Management, Occupational Safety, Mathematical Methods in Reliability and Safety, and Maintenance Modeling and Applications. Applications in different industrial areas are shown: Natural Hazards, Land Transportation, Aeronautics Aerospace, Chemical and Process Industry, Critical Infrastructures, Manufacturing, Security, Nuclear Industry, Energy, Maritime Transportation, and Information Technology.
Plenary lectures Better science does not make decisions easierB.J.M. Ale Deep and shallow uncertainty in messaging climate change R.M. Cooke Reliability assessment of wind turbines J.D. Sørensen Multi layer safety: A generally efficient solution or work for all J.K. Vrijling Reliability based structural design A.C.W.M. Ton Vrouwenvelder 1 Accident and incident modeling 1.1 Aeronautics aerospace On primitives of causality: From the semantics of agonist and antagonist to models of accident causation and system safety L. Brevault, F.M. Favaró & J.H. Saleh Human dependability in space control operations—a HOT perspective S.O. Johnsen, T. Stene & T.Ø. Kongsvik 1.2 Chemical and process industry Safety review process—a methodology for qualitative verification of safety measures E. Alijagic & V.N. Dang Bird’s accident ratio: The validity within the South African fertiliser manufacturing industry J. Anderson & J.K. Visser Thermal behavior of a semibatch reactor during upset conditions as a function of dosing and temperature controller type S. Copelli, V. Torretta, M. Derudi, R. Rota, C.S. Cattaneo & G. Nano Case study of tank explosion caused by wastewater without flash point P. Danihelka, P. Dobes & J. Marek Observability in depth: Novel safety strategy to complement defense-in-depth for dynamic real-time allocation of defensive resources F.M. Favaró & J.H. Saleh Fire and explosion analysis for LNG fuelled ship K.H. Kim, K.P. Chang, G.H. Han, J.M. Kwak & S.T. Kim Towards an understanding of information needed when planning offshore activities S. Sarshar, A.B. Skjerve & S. Haugen Application of emergency planning criteria for the control of major accident hazards—calculation of the consequences of fire accidents J. Skřínský, V. Sluka, J. Senčík, M. Pražáková & S. Malý 1.3 Critical infrastructures Improved nomenclature schemes for Component Fault Trees and State/Event Fault Trees K.B. Jamboti, C. Gómez, O. Mäckel & P. Liggesmeyer 1.4 Energy Subsea gas plumes and dispersion above sea A. Huser, T. Bengherbia, P. Skjetne, J.E. Olsen & W. Postvoll Analysis of causal factors related to three different event types on the Norwegian continental shelf: Hydrocarbon leaks, lifting incidents and fires in electrical installations B.A. Mostue, P.C. Sandvik, A. Steen-Hansen & K. Storesund A new approach to prevention of accidents based on the application of control charts A.P. Sant’Anna, G.B.A. Lima, L. Aizemberg, P.A. de Almada Garcia & V.C. Rios 1.5 Land transportation GIS multicriteria pedestrian crossing risk assessment in bus rapid transit P.P.S. de Souza & I.C.L. Junior 1.6 Maritime transportation Characterization of chemical release from marine accident—experimental analysis of n-butanol behavior in seawater column L. Aprin, M. Fuhrer, F. Heymes, P. Slangen, G. Dusserre & S. Le Floch Comparison of the learning algorithms for evidence-based BBN modeling: A case study on ship grounding accidents M. Arsham, S. Otto-Ville Edvard, H. Noora, M. Jakub & K. Pentti Stochastic Coloured Petri Nets as a modelling language for complex Event Trees O. Nývlt, L. Ferkl & S. Haugen 1.7 Natural hazards Safety of a domestic LPG tank submitted to a forest fire F. Heymes, L. Aprin, S. Forestier & G. Dusserre 1.8 Nuclear industry Application of the Risk-Informed Decision Making process to the moderator subcooling margins issue in a Pressurized Heavy Water Reactor (PHWR) A. Bujor, R. Gheorghe, M. El-Hawary, A. El-Jaby, J. Szymanski & P. Wan 1.9 Security Scenario classes and scenario analyses for chemical disaster emergency planning M. Endregard & T. Grunnan Towards a decision support system for disaster management S. Moehrle 2 Human factors and human reliability 2.1 Aeronautics aerospaceReliable operations in control centers, an empirical study A.B. Mohammad, J.P. Johansen & P.G. Almklov When to worry? The relationship between modeled risk and perceived risk among helicopter pilots R.J. Bye, R. Ekle, B. Heide, B. Aasprang & S. Antonsen Control room training and certification for space operations B.E. Danielsen & T.M. Stene Monitoring human and organisational factors in spaceflight operations K. Fossum, C.H. Berg, T.Ø. Kongsvik, P. Almklov & S.O. Johnsen Tool for collaborative work analysis based on distributed cognition analysis—ATC work case study S. Inoue, M. Brown, K. Shiomi, S. Moran & K. Nakata Improving human resilience in space and distributed environments by CRIOP S.O. Johnsen & T. Stene 2.2 Chemical and process industry Evaluation of risk communication in regard of SEVESO II Directive implementation in Czech B. Baudisova, J. Rehacek, J. Dlabka & P. Danihelka SHERPA: A Systematic Human Error Reduction and Prediction Approach to modelling and assessing human reliability in complex tasks D. Embrey Analysis of organizational factors for Probabilistic Risk Analyses (PRAs) M. Gajdosz, T. Bedford & S. Howick Hunting high and low for resilience: Sensitization from the contextual shadows of compliance T.O. Grøtan Modeling contractor and company employee behavior in high hazard operation P.-H. Lin, D. Hanea & B.J.M. Ale Assessing the quality of collaboration in an Integrated Operations organization A.B. Skjerve, E. Nystad, G. Rindahl & S. Sarshar 2.3 Critical infrastructures Achieving compliance through people: Training leaders and supervisors to tackle procedural non-compliance P. Leach, R. Canham & J. Berman Safety of patient handover in emergency care—results of a qualitative study M.A. Sujan & P. Spurgeon 2.4 Energy Approaches to human error probability data collection: Field studies using expert judgment-based methodologies D. Embrey Human reliability—an analysis of proportional success × fails scenarios for adjusting assessment and management risk to reality—applied to hydroeletrical energy generation C.L.S. Figueirôa, E.M. Assis, G.C. Lima, P.V. Fleming, I. Freitas & A.C. Garcia Lessons from aviation: Applying threat and error management framework to cases from the offshore drilling industry S.A. Kvalheim & S. Haugen Myths and representations in French nuclear history: The impact on decommissioning safety C. Martin, A. Portelli & F. Guarnieri Teamwork competence requirements in nuclear power plant control rooms A.B. Skjerve, M. Kaarstad & L. Holmgren 2.5 Information technology and telecommunications Writing short alarm messages: A matter of education, training and practice H.M. Jagtman 2.6 Land transportation Resilience engineering in railways—results from a systemic accident and event analysis in German railways M. Arenius & O. Sträter Patterns of proactive safety behaviors in the transportation sector C.S. Fugas, S.A. Silva & J.L. Meliá Influential factors on human performance in railways and their interrelations T. Lindner, B. Milius, D. Schwencke & K. Lemmer 2.7 Manufacturing Safety management of safety performance-what factors to measure? L.J. Bellamy, O.N. Aneziris, I.A. Papazoglou, M. Damen, H.J. Manuel, M. Mud & J.I.H. Oh The influence of shift work in the use of hearing protection devices S. Costa & P.M. Arezes Promoting safety during process variability: A multidisciplinary challenge A.S.P. Moraes, P.M. Arezes & R. Vasconcelos 2.8 Maritime transportation The relationship between regulation, safety management systems and safety culture in the maritime industry T.Ø. Kongsvik, K.V. Størkersen & S. Antonsen The RMS Titanic disaster seen in the light of risk and safety theories and models J.I. Håvold Self Rescue Model-SeReMo-a model to determine the effects of human behaviour and safety measures on the consequences of a hazardous material release-development of the new triage injury model and self-rescue for fire and explosion accidents I.J.M. Trijssenaar, M.J. van der Horst, M. Simons & R.P. Sterkenburg Study on the effect of ship-ship communication on anti-collision performance J.F. Zhang, X.P. Yan, D. Zhang & S. Haugen 2.9 Nuclear industry Impact of team characteristics on crew performance: An object based modeling and simulation approach M. Azarkhil & A. Mosleh Proposals for the establishment of an operating experience feedback organisation V. Bringaud Qualitative human event analysis with simulator data by using HuRAM+ and HERA S.Y. Choi & W. Jung Interest of combining two human factor approaches for the evaluation of a future teamwork C. De La Garza, H. Pesme, P. Le Bot & J.-P. Labarthe Different way of looking at the HRA process R. Doležal Human failure event dependency modeling and quantification: A Bayesian network approach N.J. Ekanem & A. Mosleh Diagnostic strategy in APR1400 D.Y. Kim & J. Kim Advanced probabilistic dynamics analysis of fire fighting actions in a Nuclear Power Plant with the MCDET tool M. Kloos, J. Hartung, J. Peschke & M. Röwekamp Leveraging existing human performance data for quantifying the IDHEAS HRA method H. Liao, K. Groth, S. Stevens-Adams & J. Xing Nuclear decommissioning: From case-studies to a proposed typology of risk M.P. de Borde, C. Martin & F. Guarnieri Performance factors for the analysis of crew responses to Nuclear Power Plant simulated emergencies J. Park & V.N. Dang Representation of parameter uncertainty in Bayesian Belief Networks for Human Reliability Analysis L. Podofillini, D. Pandya & V.N. Dang A review of the current status of HRA data S. Prvakova & V.N. Dang A DFM/ATHEANA human failure analysis of a digital control system for a pressurizer J.M.O. Pinto, P.F. Frutuoso e Melo & P.L.C. Saldanha Status and needs on Human Reliability Assessment of complex systems O. Sträter, M. Arenius & M. Jenerich 2.10 Security Anticipating the consequences of change on safety performance: A proposed methodological framework E. Rigaud & T. Cote 3 Maintenance modeling and applications 3.1 Chemical and process industry A framework for selection of inspection intervals for well barriers E.B. Abrahamsen & J.T. Selvik Comparison of strategies for optimal maintenance within utility industries J.I. Ansell, T.W. Archibald, R. Murray & T. Poole An algorithm for root cause analysis integration based on OTSM-TRIZ: Complex problemanalysis C. Nikulin, G. Cascini, P. Viveros, R. Stegmaier & L. Barbera Maintenance optimisation for integrated planning H. Rødseth 3.2 Critical infrastructures Two models of imperfect delayed repair for a continuously monitored system subject to an accumulative deterioration I.T. Castro & S. Mercier Road infrastructures for risk management: From regional to local dynamics S. Freiria, A.O. Tavares & B. Ribeiro Functional and technical end-of-service estimates for hydraulic structures M.J. Kallen, R.P. Nicolai, W.D. van der Wiel, A. Willems, E.L.E. van den Dungen & H.E. Klatter A holistic modelling framework for railway infrastructure asset management D. Rama & J.D. Andrews Components replacement decision by survival analysis based on categories of elevator operational parameters T. Yano, M. Sato & E. Kinoshita Applying RAMSSHEEP analysis for risk-driven maintenance W. Wagner & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder Value of monitoring in road network management M. Zouch, W. Courage & O. Napoles-Morales 3.3 Energy Trading off asset performance and condition to model strategic maintenance decisions E. Barlow, M. Revie, T. Bedford & L. Walls A condition based model using performance data for strategic asset maintenance in a water utility C. Jirsak, T. Bedford, M. Revie & L. Walls Analysis of wind and wave data to assess maintenance access to offshore wind farms J. Dowell, A. Zitrou, L. Walls, T. Bedford & D. Infield A multi-criteria decision model to determine intervals of preventive maintenance with equipment reliability degradation due to imperfect maintenance E.M.P. Hidalgo & G.F.M. de Souza Some contributions of reliability modeling for managerial changes in maintenance policies of physical asset of gas distribution system G.A.C. Lima, M.H. Carvalho, A. Elias Jr. & S. Rodrigues Economic and risk replacement model for physical assets in a natural gas distribution’s system G.A.C. Lima & A.M.T. Filho Multiobjective optimization of preventive maintenance applied to onshore wind turbines A.I. Sánchez, S. Martorell, M. Villamizar, I. Martón & S. Carlos Condition based maintenance for offshore wind turbines: The effects of false alarms from Condition Monitoring systems A. May & D. McMillan Influence of logistic strategies on the availability and maintenance costs of an offshore wind turbine F.P. Santos, A.P. Teixeira & C.G. Soares Modeling the relationship between wind turbine failure modes and the environment G. Wilson & D. McMillan A reactive multi-component maintenance policy for offshore wind turbines W. Zhu, M. Fouladirad & C. Bérenguer 3.4 Information technology and telecommunications Maintenance analysis and optimization of a distribution network from practice R. Briš, R. Goňo & S. Rusek Achieving high availability levels of a deteriorating system by optimizing condition based maintenance policies A.N. Platis, V.P. Koutras & S. Malefaki 3.5 Land transportation Application of advanced programming production tools to maintenance services scheduling C.L.S. Figueirôa A prognostic algorithm based on probabilistic graphical models for a periodically observable system J. Foulliaron, L. Bouillaut, P. Aknin, A. Barros & R. Rozas Genetic algorithm for selective maintenance optimization of multi-mission oriented systems A. Khatab, M. Dahane & D. Ait-Kadi The CoVeR method for the maintenance of a rail corridor N. Lyngby & T. Myklebust A stochastic railway track maintenance model D.R. Prescott, J.D. Andrews & F. De Rozières Road network modelling for maintenance planning C. Yang, R. Remenyte-Prescott & J. Andrews Block inspection policy for non-series technical objects A. Jodejko-Pietruczuk & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska Data gathering problem in decision support system for means of transport maintenance processes performance development T. Nowakowski & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska Decision support system for means of transport maintenance processes performance: A case study of rail busesK. Bojda, I. Dziaduch, T. Nowakowski & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska 3.6 Manufacturing Reengineering defense products through a risk-based framework: How can maintenance go further? G.E.C. Barbosa & G.F.M. Souza Application of data mining in a maintenance system for failure prediction P. Bastos, I. Lopes & L. Pires Development of method failure analysis and risk related to industrial lubrication applied in food industry machinery M. Belinelli & G.F.M. de Souza (MRL, τ) grouping policy for complex structure systems H.-C. Vu, P. Do Van & A. Barros A computerized system for maintenance management of assembly lines R. Costa, I. Lopes, C. Machado & J.M. Cabral A predictive maintenance strategy for multi-component systems using importance measure K.-A. Nguyen, P. Do Van & A. Grall Some results of Bayesian approach on Brown-Proschan model T. Nguyen, Y. Dijoux & M. Fouladirad On the use of predictive information in a joint maintenance and inventory policy A. Van Horenbeek, L. Pintelon, P. Scarf & C. Cavalcante Optimal preventive maintenance schedule for single multi-functional machine using a modified reliability-centered method M. Yu, Y. Zhang, J. Gao & D. Zhang Performance and risk based service development by means of RAMS+C modeling and analysis P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche 3.7 Nuclear industry A practical analysis of the degradation of a nuclear component with field data P. Baraldi, M. Compare, A. Despujols, W. Lair & E. Zio A stochastic process model for life cycle cost analysis of nuclear power plant systems J.A.M. van der Weide & M.D. Pandey 3.8 Security A bivariate delay-time model M.D. Berrade, P.A. Scarf & C.A.V. Cavalcante Exploring the use of the Analytic Hierarchy Process for maintenance policy selection A.J.M. Goossens, R.J.I. Basten & L.A.M. van Dongen An imperfect replacement policy for a periodically tested system with two dependent wear indicators H.H. Pham & S. Mercier Simulation based comparison of predictive maintenance policies T. Tinga & R.H.P. Janssen 4 Mathematical methods in reliability and safety 4.1 Aeronautics aerospace Fatigue Crack Growth in structures under random spectrum loading: Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for parameter identification M. Corbetta, C. Sbarufatti, A. Manes & M. Giglio Fuzzy expert aircraft onboard control systems assistant J. Żurek & N. Grzesik Solar array reliability assessment considering radiation degradation effects L. Yi, X. Hengyan, H. Li & L. Yufeng Reliability assessment of 12N bipropellant thruster system for geostationary satellite L. Fengchun, L. Yi, X. Hengyan & H. Li 4.2 Chemical and process industry A case study of a MCS method vs. a Markov method in a RAM analysis of a FPSO unit C. Lundtofte & S. Solibakke Markov Chain method in dynamic fault tree with reparable components O. Yevkin 4.3 Critical infrastructures Stochastic simulation of AltaRica 3.0 models M. Batteux & A. Rauzy Hierarchical Bayesian model for gas transmission network reliability T. Iešmantas & R. Alzbutas Non-homogeneous degradation models: A review and some new results Ch. Paroissin Water Supply System operation regarding consumer safety using Kohonen neural network K. Pietrucha-Urbanik & B. Tchórzewska-Cieślak AltaRica 3.0 project: Compile Guarded Transition Systems into Fault Trees T. Prosvirnova & A. Rauzy Model-based safety assessment: AltaRica 3.0 project T. Prosvirnova, M. Batteux & A. Rauzy GraphXica: A language for graphical animation of models T. Prosvirnova, M. Batteux, A. Maarouf & A. Rauzy Stochastic shock models for degrading infrastructure systems via Phase-Type distributions J. Riascos-Ochoa, M. Sanchez-Silva & R. Akhavan-Tabatabaei A hierarchical decision making framework for vulnerability analysis T. Wang, V. Mousseau & E. Zio A note on the ratio of the extreme to the root of the sum of squares in sequences of absolute values of Gaussian variables M.A. Odijk & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder 4.4 Energy Availability growth and state-of-knowledge uncertainty simulation for offshore wind farms A. Zitrou, T. Bedford, L. Walls, K. Wilson & K. Bell Critical comparison of two user friendly tools to study Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMP): Season 2 M. Bouissou, H. Chraïbi & I. Chubarova New likelihood based goodness-of-fit tests for the Weibull distribution M. Krit, O. Gaudoin, M. Xie & E. Remy Statistical estimation of a POD function M. Keller & A.-L. Popelin Failure prediction for monitored systems B.H. Lindqvist & V. Slimacek A method of computing the inter-state transition intensities for multi-state series-parallel systems J. Malinowski Stochastic modeling of wind turbine drivetrain components H.M. Rafsanjani & J.D. Sørensen Failure rate of wind turbines modeled by Homogeneous Poisson Process with covariates and unobserved heterogeneity V. Slimacek & B.H. Lindqvist Bounding and estimating failure probabilities in monotonic structural reliability frameworks: First improvements and applications R. Sueur, A.-L. Popelin & V. Moutoussamy Mathematical methods and approaches to PFD-calculation by the PDSTool J. Vatn 4.5 Information technology and telecommunications Regression modeling of survival data from surgery operations K. Janurová, R. Briš & L. Martínek Influence of recovery time on telecommunications network unavailability C. Tanguy & N. Benameur Computational commutative algebra for tight network reliability bounds E. Sáenz-de-Cabezón & H.P. Wynn 4.6 Land transportation Integrated RAMS analysis methodology: The railway case study E. Calixto Methodical approach for analysing different stress factors by means of different usage behaviour on the basis of field data F. Plinke, C. Guennel, A. Meyna & D. Althaus Comparison of compound Poisson processes as a general approach towards efficient evaluation of railway safety J. Braband & H. Schäbe Selected mathematical functions used for operation data information D. Valis, L. Zak, A. Walek & K. Pietrucha-Urbanik Safety measure issues in passenger transportation system performance: Case study A. Tubis & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska A general continuous time and space approach to the evolution of corrosion in pipelines E.P. da Silva 4.7 Manufacturing Interdisciplinarity as a success factor—service and reliability planning integrated in a production model D. Appel, G. Lanza, K.O. Genssler & N. Stricker RAPP: A new approach for risk prognosis on technical complex products in automotive engineering S. Bracke Statistical analysis of step-down stress accelerated life testing W. Luo, C. Zhang, X. Chen & Y. Tan Two sided criteria ranking under uncertainty M. Rajabalinejad 4.8 Maritime transportation A model for evaluating performance and reliability of the voluntary maritime rescue system in the Gulf of Finland F. Goerlandt, F. Torabihaghighi & P. Kujala 4.9 Natural hazards Experimental results about the assessments of conditional rank correlations by experts: Example with air pollution estimates O. Morales-Nápoles, A.M. Hanea & D.T.H. Worm 4.10 Nuclear industry A simple yet efficient acceleration technique for Monte Carlo simulation M. Bouissou Component importance for systems with semi-Markov dynamics at steady state: A numerical case study M. Hellmich & H.-P. Berg Multi-state physics model for the reliability assessment of a component under degradation processes and random shocks Y.H. Lin, Y.F. Li & E. Zio Event trees analysis based on functional decomposition V. Matuzas & S. Contini 4.11 Security The influence of initial uncertainties in stochastic degradation modeling Y. Deng, A. Barros & A. Grall Semi-formal modeling of risk management process and application to chance management and monitoring C.A. Schoppe, I. Häring & U. Siebold Analysis of time evolution of load cycles in steel structures J. Kracík & P. Skalný Deterioration process classification using automatic balance between attributes and covariates X.Z. Wang, E. Grall-Maës & P. Beauseroy 5 Occupational safety 5.1 Chemical and process industry An innovative tool for choosing the most appropriate risk assessment methodologies S. Ansaldi, P. Agnello, M. Monti, O. Arcudi & F. Giannini Bow-tie approach for improved auditing procedures at “Seveso” establishments P.A. Bragatto, S. Ansaldi, F. Antonini & P. Agnello Bayesian tools for the prediction of occupational accident statistics based on safety performance indicators E.C. Marcoulaki, M. Konstandinidou & I.A. Papazoglou A semi-quantitative risk assessment method in process plants: Huntsman tioxide Europe—Ternate plant experience S. Muré, G. Camuncoli, P. Loro, M. Demichela & E. Pilone Economic analysis of occupational risk prevention: A case study in a textile company D.G. Ramos, P.M. Arezes & P. Afonso Application of RFID technology for supporting effective risk management in chemical warehouses P.A. Bragatto, A. Pirone & M.G. Gnoni 5.2 Energy Occupational risk for wind farms O.N. Aneziris, I.A.P.A. Psinias & A. Psinias Safety at the sharp-end: A case study in the gas sector H. Blazsin, F. Guarnieri & C. Martin Alcohol, drugs and their possible effects on human performance and offshore safety A.D. Lauvsnes Slip, trip and fall accidents in a large forest enterprise P.A. Tsioras, C. Rottensteiner, K. Stampfer & A.E. Tamparopoulos 5.3 Information technology and telecommunications The contribution of ontologies to the creation of knowledge bases for the management of legal compliance in occupational health and safety A.J. Vigneron, F. Guarnieri & B.J.M. Rallo 5.4 Manufacturing Managing new recruit safety risks: An integrated model C.D.B. Burt Serious occupational accidents of non-Dutch workers in The Netherlands P.H.G. Berkhout, M. Damen, L. Bellamy, M. Mud, H.J. Manuel & J. Oh Improving OHS through the sharing of knowledge on interventions: Guidelines and future directions for the development of ontology-based theoretical models D. Masi & E. Cagno Barriers to OSH interventions in Small and Medium-sized Enterprises: An overview of the situation and an exploratory study D. Masi & E. Cagno Drivers for OSH interventions in Small and Medium-sized Enterprises: An overview and some exploratory evidence D. Masi & E. Cagno Development of an instrument to analyze the occupational risk acceptance M.A. Rodrigues, P.M. Arezes & C.P. Leão How to balance between compliance to requirements and safe adaption to situations in the construction industry E. Sandberg & E. Albrechtsen Safety in construction? P. Swuste Advances tools for occupational accidents data analysis for prevention purposes M. Demichela, G. Baldissone & R. Luzzi Near-miss and accident event: An integrated analysis in an automotive firm supplier S. Andriulo, M.G. Gnoni & P. Nardone 5.5 Maritime transportation Risk assessments, Key Shipboard Operations and soft barriers in offshore operations B.M. Batalden & A.K. Sydnes No swans in sight—analyzing the resilience in Norwegian water passenger transport K.V. Størkersen & J.P. Johansen 5.6 Natural hazards Probabilistic study of overheating discomfort in residential building Z. Sadovský, O. Koronthályová, P. Mihálka, P. Matiašovský & K. Mikulová 5.7 Security A quantitative analysis of health, safety and environment policy in France A.T. Audiffren, F. Guarnieri, C. Martin & B.J.M. Rallo OHS certification and legal compliance management in France: A quantitative survey A.T. Audiffren, F. Guarnieri & B.J.M. Rallo Alarm detection in noise work environments: The influence of hearing protection devices N. Costa, S. Abreu & P.M. Arezes Weighting Table: A broader view for the ergonomic intervention I.F. Loureiro, C.P. Leão & P.M. Arezes Control of the industrial risks during the technology transfer: The case of the textile industry of Batna, Algeria S. Marref, L. Bahmed, M. Djebabra & A. Benoudjit First overview of the relationship between quantitative dynamic operational resilience and the Dutch Fire Services occupational safety and quality management program Cicero J.M.P. van Trijp & A. Breur 6 Prognostics and system health management 6.1 Aeronautics aerospace Prognosis and health monitoring applications in satellite systems K. Etienne, S. Bosse, T. Laloix & A. Cabarbaye Methodological issues and pitfalls of short safety culture questionnaires H.M. Jagtman, F. Koornneef, R. Akselsson & S. Stewart 6.2 Chemical and process industry Failure vs. deficiency in mechanical systems: Characteristics and clarification of a confusion M. Pourgol-Mohammad & F.S. Oskouyi 6.3 Critical infrastructures Dynamic monitoring of safety barriers in petroleum installations A. Omerovic, A. Refsdal & Ø. Rideng 6.4 Energy On the limits and possibilities of stress testing for assessing system safety performance in the oil and gas industry J.D. Khorsandi, T. Aven & J.E. Skogdalen A stochastic model for competing degradations S. Mercier, L. Bordes, E. Remy & E. Dautrême Monitoring the risk picture by using QRA and barrier based indicators E. Okstad, S. Hauge, R.K. Tinmannsvik & J. Vatn 6.5 Information technology and telecommunications A case study for fleet-wide semantic based predictive diagnostic G. Medina-Oliva, A. Voisin, M. Monnin, N. Kosayyer & J.-B. Léger 6.6 Land transportation Functionality and dependability assurance in massively networked scenarios J.I. Aizpurua & E. Muxika RAMS analysis: How reliability engineer and risk analysis tools can be applied to improve asset management on train life cycle E. Calixto Extreme learning machines for predicting operation disruption events in railway systems O. Fink, U. Weidmann & E. Zio 6.7 Manufacturing A deterioration model for feedback control systems with random environment D.N. Nguyen, L. Dieulle & A. Grall 6.8 Nuclear industry Short-term prediction for Nuclear Power Plant failure scenarios using an ensemble-based approach J. Liu, V. Vitelli, R. Seraoui, F. Di Maio & E. Zio The development of the MFM Editor and its applicability for supervision, diagnosis and prognosis H.P.-J. Thunem 7 Quantitative risk assessment 7.1 Aeronautics aerospace Manual handling operations in an air shipping company: A comparison between risk evaluation methodsC.S. Cattaneo, M. Derudi, G. Nano, R. Rota, S. Copelli, V. Torretta & M. Raboni ATC sector capacity as a measure of air traffic safety J. Skorupski 7.2 Chemical and process industry Further development of a method to calculate frequencies of loss of control including their uncertainty B.J.M. Ale, C. van Gulijk, D. Hanea, P. Hudson, P.H. Lin, S. Sillem, M. Steenhoek & D. Ababei Study on the optimal design for gas detectors using response surface method K. Baek & T. Lee Simulating gas blowout in tropical shallow waters: Comparison with the Northeastern Brazilian coast field experiments F. Leite, M. Silva, M. Araújo, R. Silva & E. Droguett Key Performance Indicators and Bayesian Belief Network based risk model as a management tool-results from the case study M. Gerbec & B. Kontić Left-hand side BBN model for process safety C. van Gulijk, D.H. Hanea, K.Q. Almeida, M. Steenhoek, B.J.M. Ale & D. Ababei Risk-based design for implementation of SIS functional safety in the offshore industry S.T. Kim, K.P. Chang & Y.H. Kim A GIS-tool for the vulnerability mapping of industrial facilities potentially exposed to volcanic Na-Tech events G. Ancione, M.F. Milazzo, E. Salzano & G. Maschio The use of integrals and CFD tools to evaluate the cloud dispersion of flammable and toxic substances leakages A.M. Schleder & M.R. Martins The potential of QRA audit tools in industrial fire and explosion protection A. Leksin, R. Mock & U. Barth Combining dynamic process simulation and Monte Carlo simulation for risk-based design Y. Noh & D. Chang Critical risk factors for LNG regasification terminals L.F. Oliveira, P. Tavares, C. Felcini & F.L. Brutto Towards a dynamic risk and barrier assessment in an IO context N. Paltrinieri, S. Hauge, M. Dionisio & W.R. Nelson PSA applied to the design of non-nuclear plants T. Ruiz-Sánchez, P.F. Nelson, J.L. Francois & M.J. Cruz-Gómez Initial achievements in Norwegian oil and gas industry project to reduce the number of hydrocarbon leaks W. Røed & J.E. Vinnem Performance analysis of inorganic materials for fire protection of industrial equipment F. Argenti, G. Landucci, A. Tugnoli & V. Cozzani A creative risk analysis algorithm to support the spare part decision P. Viveros, R. Tapia, E. Johns, F. Kristjanpoller & C. Nikulin Modelling point-in-time risk: A decision support tool based on work activities and risk influencing events X. Yang & S. Haugen Integrated dynamic decision analysis: A method for PSA in dynamic process system M. Demichela 7.3 Critical infrastructures Contributions to validation of knowledge based risk models T. Askeland & D. Häger Collective water supply systems risk analysis model by means of RENO software K. Boryczko, I. Piegdon & M. Eid A federated model for the critical infrastructure resilience and economic loss for the European Union B. Dorneanu & G. Giannopoulos Integrated resilience and risk analysis framework for critical infrastructures R. Filippini & E. Zio Multidimensional risk assessment of underground electricity distribution systems based on MAUT T.V. Garcez & A.T. de Almeida Comparison of 3D visualization options for quantitative risk analyses R. Kaufmann & I. Häring Societal consequences of critical infrastructure vulnerabilities: Integrating power system and regional inoperability input-output models J. Johansson, L. Svegrup & H. Hassel Presenting a traceability based approach for safety argumentation V. Katta, T. Stålhane & C. Raspotnig Review of computer based approaches for modeling and simulating critical infrastructures as Socio-Technical Systems F. Landegren, J. Johansson & O. Samuelsson Probabilistic model of individual risk considering fire dynamics, controls and failure probabilities of Fire Protection Systems E. Nachtigall Simulation-based characterisation of Critical Infrastructure system resilience: Application to a snowfall scenario B. Petrenj, M. De Ambroggi & P. Trucco Criteria risk analysis of facilities for electricity generation and transmission D. Řehák, P. Danihelka & A. Bernatík Amount of labour of water conduit repair A. Studziński A discussion of Basel II and operational risk in the context of risk perspectives D. Häger & H.B. Vormeland Risk identification and fuzzy system-based risk analysis for airport projects Y. Xenidis & N. Gkoumas 7.4 Energy Multidimensional risk evaluation in natural gas pipelines: Environmental aspects observed through a multicriteria decision model M.H. Alencar, E.M. Krym, M.F. Marsaro & A.T. de Almeida Comparative risk assessment of severe accidents in the energy sector based on the ENSAD database: 20 years of experience P. Burgherr, P. Eckle & S. Hirschberg Forecasting long term jack up vessel demand for offshore wind D. McMillan & I. Dinwoodie An economical FMEA-based risk assessment approach for wind turbine systems F. Dinmohammadi & M. Shafiee Probabilistic risk analysis of distributed generation curtailment in a saturated grid F. Faghihi, P.E. Labeau, J.C. Maun, V. De Wilde, A. Vergnol & F. Dunon Blowout risk caused by position loss during DP drilling operations T. Gjerde, H. Chen & M. Haatuft Power system unit commitment: Probabilistic modeling of generating capacities availability B. Gjorgiev, D. Kančev, A. Volkanovski & M. Čepin Quantitative risk analysis applied in well construction and workover: A methodological overview with real cases C.M.C. Jacinto, P.A. de Almada Garcia & E.A.L. Droguett Comparison of the resistance to disturbances in development scenarios of the electricity system J. Augutis, V. Matuzienė & R. Krikštolaitis Development of a gas transmission network reliability model: A case study P. Praks & V. Kopustinskas From generic to plant-specific reliability indicators: A pragmatic sequential methodology E. Remy, A. Léger, H. Chraïbi, O. Leinen & J.-Y. Ségura Quantitative Risk Analysis of an LNG terminal using two-step Bayesian analysis M.A. Ramos & E.A.L. Droguett A new ‘T-Book’ approach V.H. Swaling & M. Gudmundson Risk analysis of production units in a power station using Bayesian networks M. Sykora, M. Holicky & J. Markova Principles for dynamic updating and visualization of the risk picture with a QRA-basis J. Vatn Modelling systemic risks to inform a repowering decision L. Walls, J. Quigley, T. Houghton, S. Howick & F. Ackermann 7.5 Information technology and telecommunications Workflow fault tree generation through model checking L. Herbert & R. Sharp A second chance for risk assessment in IT system analysis? R. Mock, H. Straumann & A. Fischer 7.6 Land transportation Design-stage QRA for indoor vehicular hydrogen fueling systems K.M. Groth, J.L. LaChance & A.P. Harris Risk-informed safety requirement of Platform Screen Doors for Urban Rail Transit System in a mega city Q. Mahboob, M. Kunze, G. Radczimanowski & J. Trinckauf Comparison of safety-related decision-making processes in nuclear and railways H.-P. Berg, S. Griebel & B. Milius Risk assessment of the road transportation concerning dangerous goods M. Młyńczak Risks analysis for assessing safety in railway tunnel F. De Felice, A. Petrillo & M.G. Gnoni 7.7 Manufacturing EN ISO 13849-1—new quantitative requirements for functional safety in the machine tool industry B. Guennel, F. Plinke, A. Meyna, M. Schlummer & H. Moedden Design of a Human Reliability Assessment model for structural engineering J. de Haan, K.C. Terwel & S.H.S. Al-Jibouri Multivariate manufacturing process validation: Risk minimization within high-precision dental tool manufacturing M. Pospiech, J. Michalski & S. Bracke Method for the monetary quantification of failure risks in production M. Plutz, R. Schmitt & T. Jussen 7.8 Maritime transportation Human fatigue in a ship bridge management team—a Bayesian approach J. Akhtar & I.B. Utne ISPS port risk assessment: Getting the most out of the process? G. Linkmann, E. Holder & F. Motz Setting goals and functional requirements for Goal-Based Standards (GBS) Safety Level Approach (SLA) for ships S.M. John & J.E. Ballesio Safety assessment of alternative to liquid seal in marine vapor control system B.J. Park, M.S. Ki, H.J. Kang, J. Choi & D. Lee Integrated oil spill risk analyses as a decision-making tool for response planning A. Lentz, C. Jürgensen & M. Utko 7.9 Natural hazards New risk monitoring tools for the construction and erection phase of large industrial projects A. Baker, E. Salvador, M. Forte, M. Barison & P. Gaiardelli Non-stationary climatic influence of inter-epidemic periods on Dengue in Brazil M. Araújo, D. Veleda, P.R.G. Barrocas, F.F.M. Moraes, R. Montagne & E. Lopez Emergency plans modeling: Toward an assessment tool C. Girard, E. Piatyszek, P. David & J.M. Flaus Probabilistic assessment of storage facilities involved in flood events: Damage models development and application G. Landucci, A. Necci, G. Antonioni, A. Tugnoli, V. Cozzani, D. Gheorghiuc & A. Ozunuc Model-based risk assessment for schistosomiasis in a Brazilian context H.O. Duarte, E.L. Droguett, M.C. Moura, E. Gomes, C. Barbosa & V. Barbosa Vulnerability of infrastructure to Sea Level Rise: A combined outranking and system-dynamics approach F.N. Tonmoy & A. El-Zein Assessment of the losses due to business interruption caused by large-scale floods J. Vilier, M. Kok & R.P. Nicolai 7.10 Nuclear industry A combination of Gaussian Processes and Principal Component Analysis for prediction of radionuclide migration F. Cadini, D. Avram & E. Zio Licensing criteria for particle accelerators categorization E.L.C. Costa & P.F. Frutuoso e Melo Update of methods and data for fire PSA in Germany M. Röwekamp, S. Einarsson, B. Forell, J. Herb & M. Türschmann Verification of limiting conditions described in technical specification using plant-specific single AOT criteria Sh. Poghosyan, G. Kanetsyan & A. Amirjanyan 7.11 Security Phenomena disturbing the Europe security and tasks for future research D. Procházková Quantitative risk analysis in radiotherapy using Bayesian networks A. Reitz, E. Levrat & J.-F. Pétin 8 Safety in civil engineering 8.1 Aeronautics aerospace PRA based lunar landing buffer risk analysis J. Wang, L. Li, Z. Cheng, Q. Wu & J. Yang 8.2 Chemical and process industry Improving proactive major accident prevention by new technology and work processes E. Albrechtsen, T.O. Grøtan & S. Haugen 8.3 Critical infrastructures Calibrating shaft and base resistance factors for design of drilled shaft foundations D. Bach, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder & M.B. Hudson Risk approach to land reclamation: Feasibility of a polder terminal K.T. Lendering, S.N. Jonkman & D.J. Peters Alternative procedures for the assessment of road safety barriers J. Markova, M. Kalinsky & P. Marek Open problems in protection of live-giving infrastructures and supply chains D. Procházková 8.4 Land transportation On the value of structural health monitoring M.H. Faber & S. Thöns Hazards, accidents and events—a land of confusing terms R. Winther & W. Marsh 8.5 Manufacturing Applying ALARP in a fire safety analysis in an existing building A.H. Arnhus Determining critical factors to avoid failures in the building process G.W. Dijkshoorn, K.C. Terwel & F.W. Guldenmund 8.6 Natural hazards FORM-ARS using finite elements for assessment of reliability of clay slopes M.G. Bverfjord Economic implications of multi-layer safety projects for flood protection V. Tsimopoulou, J.K. Vrijling, M. Kok, S.N. Jonkman & J.W. Stijnen 9 Structural reliability 9.1 Aeronautics aerospace Reliability simulation analysis and experimental validation of spaceborne scanning mechanism T. Liu, N. Zhang & L. Zhang Analysis of structural component’s lifetime distribution considered from the aspect of the wearing with the characteristic function applied J. Żurek, H. Tomaszek & M. Zieja 9.2 Critical infrastructures Optimal production facility allocation for failure resilient critical infrastructures Y.-P. Fang, N. Pedroni & E. Zio Probabilistic assessment of traffic loads on bridges J. Markova, M. Holicky, M. Sykora & J. Kral A tail expectation approach for characteristic values A.E. Tamparopoulos & K. Bergmeister 9.3 Energy Probabilistic fatigue model for reinforced concrete onshore wind turbine foundations S. Márquez-Domínguez & J.D. Sørensen 9.4 Land transportation Comparison of the reliability levels provided by Eurocodes and standards of the Russian Federation M. Sykora, M. Holicky & V. Nadolski Probabilistic model for compressive strength of historic masonry M. Sykora, T. Cejka, M. Holicky & J. Witzany 9.5 Manufacturing On the sampling frequency of random loadings for fatigue damage calculations H.W. Cheng, J.Y. Tao, X. Chen & X.L. Liu Methodology for the lifetime prediction of micro gears dependent on present shape deviations and the material structure G. Lanza, B. Haefner & J. Gibmeier Probabilistic reliability assessment of steel structures exposed to fatigue M. Krejsa 9.6 Natural hazards Environmental design parameters for events with multiple components B.J. Leira The mixed lognormal distribution for a more precise assessment of the reliability of concrete slabs exposed to fire R. Van Coile, R. Caspeele & L. Taerwe 9.7 Security Assessing the vulnerability of SMEs: A qualitative analysis S. Clusel, F. Guarnieri, C. Martin & D. Lagarde Structural reliability of concrete slabs considering tensile membrane action R. Caspeele, D. Gouverneur, R. Van Coile, W. Botte & L. Taerwe 10 System reliability 10.1 Aeronautics aerospace Cost optimization with focus on reliability and system safety C. Johansson, P. Persson, M. Derelöv & J. Ölvander Sensitivity analysis using optimal experimental designs for system reliability study of active systems Y. Li, J. Bös & H. Hanselka Automatic generation of temporal fault trees from AADL models N. Mahmud & Z. Mian 10.2 Chemical and process industry Constant and time-varying failure rates based on field data in a context of Reliability, Availability, Maintainability (RAM) assessments T.V. Alvarenga & G.G.G. de Castro The significance of failure and repair data collection when performing reliability assessment—a practical approach C.S. Bleser, L.M. Chame & T.V. Alvarenga Operability is a key parameter to assess the performance of oil and gas developments V. Borges & C. Hickey Study on production availability for new subsea production systems based on a large-scale seabed storage tank I.-H. Choi, Y. Seo, D. Chang & K. Chang Utilizing supply chain modeling for decision support in the oil and gas industry S.L. Isaksen, T. Lilleheier & C. Wright Further comparisons of PFD results for different types of complex SIS with various assessment methods L.F. Oliveira, F. Brissaud, B. Declerck & S. Eisinger Investigating the power-law distribution of a chemical installations’ network G.L.L. Reniers & K. Sörensen 10.3 Critical infrastructures Assessing software reliability of multistate systems M. Kristiansen, B. Natvig & R. Winther Resource redistribution as a mechanism of resilience: Effects of lack of information V. Lubashevskiy, T. Kanno & K. Furuta A simulation model for the reliability analysis of smart grid communication network P. Luo, G. Sansavini & E. Zio 10.4 Energy Enhanced Fault Tree Analysis and modelling considerations of a Polymer Electrolyte Membrane Fuel Cell M. Whiteley, L. Bartlett & S. Dunnett Estimating common-cause failure parameters within power system reliability analysis Z.B. Rejc, M. Cepin & A. Sitdikova Tackling risk in energy-optimized sensor networks for safety critical applications H. Dahl-Olsen, A. Østdahl & A. Williamsen Two-level blackout probabilistic risk analysis: Application to a test system P. Henneaux, F. Faghihi, P.E. Labeau, J.C. Maun & L. Haarla Optimal load sharing in a binary multicomponent system where the components have constant or increasing failure rates A.B. Huseby & O.N. Breivik Reliable microgrid energy management under environmental uncertainty and mechanical failures: An agent-based modeling and robust optimization approach E. Kuznetsova, C. Ruiz, Y.F. Li & E. Zio Hybrid universal generating function for the reliability assessment of multi-state systems under aleatory and epistemic uncertainties Y.F. Li, Y. Ding & E. Zio Modelling and reliability analysis of energy networks V. Matuzas, R. Alzbutas & T. Iešmantas Optimal sizing and allocation of distributed generation for reliable energy distribution accounting for uncertainty R. Mena, Y. Li, E. Zio, M. Hennebel, C. Ruiz & E. Zio The application of RAMS to analysis life cycle cost on the operation of power generation H. Nugraha & N.I. Sinisuka Predictive control for reliable microgrid energy management under uncertainties I. Prodan & E. Zio 10.5 Information technology and telecommunications The information support model for the transport system operation process K. Bojda Safety-related system-on-chip architecture for embedded computing applications A. Hayek, B. Machmur, M. Schreiber & J. Börcsök Cloud computing service reliability modeling with batch arrivals and retrial queues P. Diamantopoulos, V.P. Koutras & A.N. Platis Syntax and semantics of reliability enhanced activity diagrams M. Kowalski Overview of the reliability model for HDL in safety related systems B. Machmur, A. Hayek & J. Börcsök Deterministic and stochastic dependability analysis of industrial systems using Coloured Petri Nets approach B. Pinna, G. Babykina, N. Brînzei & J.-F. Pétin 10.6 Land transportation Modeling a fault tolerant railway system C. Fecarotti, J.D. Andrews & R. Remenyte-Prescott Dependability assessment of large railway systems G. Buchheit, O. Malassé, N. Brinzei & N. Ammad RAM management for UTO metro line revamping under commercial operation J. Grangé, G. Donélian & P. Gaufreteau Epistemic parametric uncertainties in availability assessment of a Railway Signalling System using Monte Carlo simulation S. Qiu, M. Sallak, W. Schön & Z. Cherfi-Boulanger Train punctuality model for a selected part of railway transportation system F.J. Restel On the definition of functional reliability I.B. Shubinski & H. Schäbe Modification and application of an S-shaped reliability growth model V. Schweizer, J. Juskowiak, M. Bartholdt, P. Zeiler, B. Bertsche & F. Jakob 10.7 Manufacturing Dynamical modelling and stochastic optimisation for the design of launcher integration processes C. Elegbede, D. Berard-Bergery, J. Béhar & T. Stauffer Dynamic reliability analysis of three nonlinear aging components with different failure modes characteristics G. Manno, A. Zymaris, N.M.P. Kakalis, F. Chiacchio, F.E. Cipollone, L. Compagno, D. D’Urso & N. Trapani A small-scale experiment on the Palmgren-Miner linear damage hypothesis U.K. Rakowsky Probabilistic model checking for reliability and safety analysis of a flexible manufacturing cell D. Zhang, Y. Zhang & M. Yu 10.8 Maritime transportation Analysis of operational availability and blowout frequency for offshore drilling system Y.S. Lee, D.J. Chang, S.H. Han & M.C. Ryu Estimation of chain production availability for Korean ship-based CCS Y. Seo & D. Chang 10.9 Natural hazards Storm power outage prediction modeling S.D. Guikema, R. Nateghi & S.M. Quiring 10.10 Nuclear industry Modelling a feed-water control system of a steam generator in the framework of the dynamic reliability G. Babykina, N. Brînzei, J.-F. Aubry & G. Deleuze Probabilistic preferences composition for failure mode prioritization in FMEA P.A.A. Garcia, M.A. Oliveira, I.C. Leal Jr., G.S. Motta & P.F.F. Frutuoso e Melo Application of ageing PSA model for systems’ risk-informed classification Sh. Poghosyan, A. Amirjanyan, M. Nitoi & Z. Simic 10.11 Security Method to determine uncertainty in system reliability estimate based on Bayesian networks F. Han, Y. Liu & J.G. Wang Safety management within Task Force Uruzgan: A report of working with Unmanned Aerial Vehicles M. Moorkamp, E.-H. Kramer, C. van Gulijk & B. Ale A shock and wear system under preventive and corrective repairs R. Pérez-Ocón & D. Montoro-Cazorla 11 Uncertainty analysis 11.1 Aeronautics aerospace Are interval probabilities a viable way for quantifying uncertainties? K. Breitung 11.2 Chemical and process industry Polynomial Chaos Expansion for an efficient uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of complex numerical models E. Baştuğ, A. Menafoglio & T. Okhulkova A study of the treatment of uncertainty in the Quantitative Fire Risk Assessment of offshore installations B. Chu & D. Chang Monte Carlo analysis and fuzzy sets for uncertainty propagation in SIS performance assessment F. Innal & Y. Dutuit 11.3 Critical infrastructures Resilience analysis for engineered and infrastructure systems under deep uncertainty or emergent conditions R.A. Francis & B. Bekera 11.4 Energy Uncertainty modeling in wind power generation prediction by neural networks and bootstrapping R. Ak, V. Vitelli & E. Zio On black swans in relation to some common uncertainty classification systems T. Bjerga & R. Flage Uncertainty analysis of a model of an energy distribution system with solar panel generation by time-varying data analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation and Fuzzy Interval Analysis E. Ferrario & A. Pini An efficient adaptive model for wind speed forecasting R.-D. Albu, I. Felea, F. Popenţiu-Vlădicescu & I.M. Naghiu 11.5 Information technology and telecommunications On the distinction between aleatory and epistemic uncertainty and its implications on reliability and risk analysis F. Aguirre, M. Sallak, W. Schön & S. Qiu On the best learning algorithm for web services response time prediction H. Madsen, R.-D. Albu & F. Popenţiu-Vlădicescu 11.6 Land transportation Automotive door closing effort uncertainty analysis based on Monte Carlo simulation method F.D. Pereira & G.F.M. de Souza 11.7 Maritime transportation A model for evaluating the security level of a port R. Riahi, I. Robertson, I. Jenkinson, S. Bonsall & J. Wang 11.8 Natural hazards A common rationale for global sensitivity analysis E. Borgonovo, G.B. Hazen & E. Plischke Response of rescue system to an extraordinary event K. Chmelikova & V. Adamec Comparison of seismic hazard values calculated according to selected standards K. Demjancukova & D. Prochazkova Line sampling and Fuzzy Interval Analysis for the propagation of aleatory and epistemic uncertainties in risk models E. Ferrario, N. Pedroni, E. Zio & E. Zio Assessment of criteria important to the choice of flood protection measures in the area P. Jezkova & M. Senovsky Prediction of surface meteorological variables in the southwestern tropical Atlantic by support vector machines I.D. Lins, D. Veleda, M. Araújo, M.A. Silva, M.C. Moura & E.L. Droguett Bayesian update of the parameters of probability distributions for risk assessment in a two-level hybrid probabilistic-possibilistic uncertainty framework N. Pedroni, E. Zio, A. Pasanisi & M. Couplet Adaptive design as an answer to climate uncertainty H.G. Voortman & H. van der Kolk 11.9 Nuclear industry Global sensitivity analysis from given data: An application to a model for radionuclide migration in a randomly heterogeneous aquifer E. Borgonovo, F. Cadini & E. Zio Bayesian probabilistic analysis of a nuclear power plant small loss of coolant event tree model with possibilistic parameters C.-K. Lo, N. Pedroni & E. Zio Overall treatment of uncertainties in the context of risk-informed decision-making on Completion Time changes S. Martorell, M. Villamizar, I. Martón, S. Carlos & A.I. Sánchez What about totals? Alternative approaches to factor fixing E. Plischke & E. Borgonovo An uncertainty importance measure for Thermal-Hydraulics calculations M. Pourgol-Mohammad & S.M. Hosseini A preliminary hazard analysis improving the analytical hierarchy process consistency in decision making process for site selection V.B. Martins, A.L. Sousa & P.L.C. Saldanha Operational events groups ranking sensitivity analysis Z. Šimić Uncertainty distributions and probabilistic safety analysis A. Volkanovski, D. Kančev & B. Gjorgiev 11.10 Security Risk management recommendations—an alternative to the 22 July report Ø. Amundrud, H. Veland & T. Aven Author index
R.D.J.M. Steenbergen, P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder, S. Miraglia, A.C.W.M. Vrouwenvelder
1997-2024 DolnySlask.com Agencja Internetowa