Risk Analysis and Human Behavior

ISBN-13: 9781849714426 / Angielski / Twarda / 2012 / 432 str.

Baruch Fischhoff

Opis

The articles collected here are foundational contributions to incorporating behavioural research in risk analysis. On the one hand, they address the questions of how to communicate with the public about risks, learning about the public 's concern and addressing them with responsive risk management and authoritative communications. On the other hand, they address the questions of how to ensure that risk analyses make realistic assumptions about how people will behave, when they are part of risky systems, and what role expert judgment plays in analytical results. Ensuring behaviourally realistic risk analysis has been a central mission of the author 's career and here he achieves the clarity long sought for. These articles touch on each fundamental area, demonstrating the possibilities for collaborative applied research and the basic research that it impels.

Spis treści

Introduction  Section 1: Overview  1. Risk Perception and Communication  2. Cognitive Processes in Stated Preference Methods  Section 2: Behaviorally Realistic Risk Analysis  3. Cost-benefit Analysis and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance  4. Individuals’ Decisions Affecting Radiation Exposure After a Nuclear Event  5. Predicting Emergency Evacuation and Sheltering Behavior: A Structured Analytical Approach  6. An Integrative Approach to Label Design and Evaluation  7. Analyzing Disaster Risks and Plans: An Avian Flu Example  Section 3: Social Context of Behavioral Research  8. Lay Foibles and Expert Fables in Judgments about Risk  9. Risk Perception and Communication Unplugged: Twenty Years of Process  10. Non-persuasive Communication about Matters of Greatest Urgency: Climate Change  Section 4: Risk Communication  11. What Forecasts (seem to) Mean  12. Patients’ Vaccination Comprehension and Decisions  13. Development and Evaluation of an HIV/AIDS Knowledge Measure for Adolescents Focusing on Misconceptions  14. Communicating about Xenotransplanation: Models and Scenarios  Section 5: Aiding Individual Risk Decisions  15. What do Patients Want? Help in Making Effective Choices  16. Giving Advice: Decision Theory Perspectives on Sexual Assault  17. Sticky Decisions: Peanut Butter in a time of Salmonella  Section 6: Aiding Public Risk Decisions  18. A Multi-channel Stakeholder Consultation Process for Energy Deregulation  19. The Science and Practice of Risk Ranking  20. Counting Casualties: A Framework for Respectful, Useful Records.  Postscript: Integrating Risk Analysis and Behavioral Research

O autorze

Baruch Fischhoff is Howard Heinz University Professor, Carnegie Mellon University, US, Department of Social and Decision Sciences, Department of Engineering and Public Policy.