Quantitative Approaches to Political Intelligence: The CIA Experience

ISBN-13: 9780367284893 / Angielski / Twarda / 2019 / 194 str.

Richards Heuer

Opis

Bridging the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist, this book reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts. Quantitative Approaches to Political Intelligence reports on a concerted effort by the CIA to apply modern social science methods to problems confronted by political intelligence analysts and bridges the gap between the scientific approach to international relations and the intuitive analysis of the government foreign affairs specialist.

Spis treści

Other Titles of Interest -- Preface -- Adapting Academic Methods and Models to Governmental Needs -- Bayesian Analysis: Estimating the Probability of Middle East Conflict -- Cross-Impact Analysis: Forecasting the Future of Rhodesia -- Regression Analysis: Impact of Economic Conditions on Left Voting in France -- Operationalizing a Theoretical Model: Profiles of Violence in Argentina, Ethiopia, and Thailand -- Content Analysis: Measuring Support for Brezhnev -- An Events Data Base for Analysis of Transnational Terrorism -- Multidimensional Scaling of UN Voting Behavior

O autorze

Richards J. Heuer, Jr., is chief of the Methods and Forecasting Division of the CIA’s Office of Regional and Political Analysis. He has had over twenty-seven years of experience with the CIA and received his M.A. in international relations from the University of Southern California.