Perilous Prospects: The Peace Process And The Arab-israeli Military Balance

ISBN-13: 9780813330747 / Angielski / Miękka / 1996 / 336 str.

Dr Anthony H. Cordesman

Opis

Nobody understands the delicate and dangerous balance of power in the Middle East better than Anthony Cordesman. In Perilous Prospects, he supplies the first account of the military and security concerns arising out of the Israeli-Palestinian peace process and the recent assassination of Prime Minister Rabin.Cordesman considers a number of possible futures for the region, and their effects on the peace process, ranging the outbreak of a new intifada, to war between Israel and Syria over the Golan Heights. He also provides an analysis of the internal security requirements of both Israel and a new Palestinian state, which are the key to any lasting settlement.Offering hard-headed analysis combined with hope for the future, Perilous Prospects is both timely and provocative.

Spis treści

Introduction -- Military Expenditures and Arms Sales -- Quantitative Comparisons: Comparing Military Forces by Country -- The Impact of Qualitative Factors and the “Revolution in Military Affairs” -- Possible War Fighting Outcomes: A Dynamic Net Assessment -- Case One: the Peace Process Fails and a New “Intifada” Takes Place -- Case Two: a Syrian Grab for the Golan -- Case three: the Collapse of the peace Process and Conflict Between Israel and Jordan -- Case Four: A Jordanian-Syrian Alliance—the Eastern Front -- Case Five: Islamic Upheaval—Egyptian Crisis with Israel -- Case Six: A Broad Islamic Upheaval—Egypt, Jordan, and Syria are Joined by Other Arab States -- Case Seven: Libyan, Iranian, and Iraqi Conventional Forces -- Case Eight: Deterrence Fails—A Major use of Weapons of Mass Destruction -- Analytic and Policy Implications -- Sources and Methods -- About the Book and Author

O autorze

Anthony H Cordesman