Particle Emission Concept and Probabilistic Consideration of the Development of Infections in Systems: Dynamics from Logarithm and Exponent in the Inf

ISBN-13: 9783030694999 / Angielski / Miękka / 2021 / 110 str.

Marcus Hellwig

Spis treści

Trends in the spread of infections, distribution and contact rates.- Addition of the 4th parameter kurtosis to the density Eqb.- Prediction using the density function and continuous adjustment of the parameters.- Basics for exponential propagation, the logarithm of historical data.- Developments in the USA.- Incidence under probabilistic aspects.- On the percolation theory COVID.- Examples of percolation effects.

O autorze

​Marcus Hellwig is quality manager according to qualification by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of reference books.

Blurb

The book describes the possibility of making a probabilistic prognosis, which uses the mean n-day logarithm of case numbers in the past to determine an exponent for a probability density for a prognosis, as well as the particle emission concept, which is derived from contact and distribution rates that increase the exponent of the probable development to the extent that a group of people can be formed. 

The content

Trends in the spread of infections, distribution and contact rates

Addition of the 4th parameter kurtosis to the density Eqb

Prediction using the density function and continuous adjustment of the parameters

Basics for exponential propagation, the logarithm of historical data

Developments in the USA

Incidence under probabilistic aspects

On the percolation theory COVID

Examples of percolation effects   

The target groups

Management of health resources and services, virology, students, statisticians

The author

​Marcus Hellwig is quality manager according to qualification by the German Society for Quality DGQ and author of reference books.