Natural Time Analysis: The New View of Time, Part II: Advances in Disaster Prediction Using Complex Systems

ISBN-13: 9783031260056 / Angielski

Panayiotis Varotsos; Nicholas Sarlis; Efthimios Skordas

Opis

This monograph contains the advances achieved based on the content of
our previous monograph published in 2011. In other words, the present
monograph can be considered as "Part II" containing new results
accomplished in the last decade. These were published in several reputed
international journals based on the concept of natural time discussed in
detail in our earlier monograph.  The analysis in natural time enables
the study of the dynamical evolution of a complex system and identifieswhen the system enters a critical stage. A wide range of applications
are discussed, such as the cases of environmental extreme
events-disasters and sudden cardiac death. More light is shed on changes
of natural time features before major earthquakes like the 2011 M9
Tohoku earthquake in Japan and the 2017 M8.2 Chiapas earthquake in
Mexico. Hence, natural time analysis plays a key role in predicting
impending catastrophic events in general with a primary audienceResearchers and Academics in Physics, Earth Sciences, and Medicine.

Spis treści

1. The order parameter fluctuations of seismicity are minimized before major earthquakes.- 2. A straightforward experimental fact demonstrating the physical interconnection of a SES activity with seismicity.- 3. The spatiotemporal variations of the minimum of the seismicity order parameter fluctuations may estimate the epicenter of an impending major earthquake.- 4. Temporal correlations in the magnitude time series before and after the minimum of the order parameter fluctuations of seismicity.- 5. Identifying the occurrence time of a mainshock by means of the minimum of the seismicity order parameter fluctuations.- 6. On a unique increase of the seismicity order parameter fluctuations before the ����9 Tohoku earthquake in Japan in 2011.- 7.  Minimum of the seismicity entropy change under time reversal before major earthquakes in natural time analysis.- 8. Fluctuations of the entropy change of seismicity under time reversal before major earthquakes in natural time analysis.- 9. Identifying the occurrence time of a mainshock by means of the fluctuations of the seismicity entropy change under time reversal.- 10. Compatibility of the SES generation model with the precursory phenomena before the Tohoku ����9 earthquake in Japan in 2011.- 11. Recent advances on the estimation of a future earthquake epicenter based on natural time.- 12. Study of the global seismicity using natural time analysis  .- 13. Applications of natural time analysis to disaster prediction in other disciplines.