Modeling to Inform Infectious Disease Control

ISBN-13: 9780367377687 / Angielski / Miękka / 2019 / 208 str.

Niels G. Becker

Opis

This book shows how to take advantage of mathematical models when developing strategies to mitigate infectious disease transmission. It presents a way of modeling as well as modeling results that help to guide the effective management of infectious disease transmission and outbreak response. It discusses the requirements for preventing epidemics and ways to quantify the impact of preventative public health interventions on the size and dynamics of an epidemic. The book also illustrates how data are used to inform model choice.

Spis treści

Introduction. Minor outbreaks when infectives are homogeneous. Minor outbreaks in a community of households. Minor outbreaks when individuals differ. Transmission intensity function. Partially effective vaccines. Social distancing. Reducing epidemic size. Dynamics of infection incidence. Using data to inform model choice. Terminology and notation. References. Subject index.

O autorze

Niels G. Becker is an emeritus professor of biostatistics at the Australian National University, where he was the director of the National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health from 2007 until 2011. Dr. Becker has published more than 150 peer-reviewed articles. His research interests include the control of infectious diseases, triggers of adverse health events, and the analysis of foodborne disease data.