Modeling cancer parameters using Globocan Russia 2020 estimates

ISBN-13: 9786209487354 / Angielski / Miękka / 140 str.

Noureddine Ouerfelli; Tomasz Cepowski; Zofia Cepowska

Opis

Cancer remains a major public health burden in Russia, requiring quantitative analyses to support prevention and control strategies. Using Globocan 2020 estimates, this study models cancer incidence, mortality, and cumulative risk in the Poland population. In 2020, an estimated 591,371 new cases and 312,122 deaths occurred. The most frequent cancers were Colorectum, Breast, Lung, Prostate, and Stomach, with Pancreas showing the highest lethality (Nd/Nc = 98.4%). The global mortality ratio (slope = 0.5175) suggests that about three-quarters of new cases result in death. Linear and power-law correlations (Eqs. 1-7) describe the causal link between incidence and mortality, while the parameters ( = 1.00946, k = 0.43347, Gammai > 1) express behavioral and severity indices. Gender disparities are evident, with Lung and Prostate cancers dominating in males, and Breast and Colorectum in females. The modeling framework offers predictive insight for evaluating cancer dynamics and improving early detection and public health interventions in Russia.