Intelligent Systems and Decision Making for Risk Analysis and Crisis Response: Proceedings of the 4th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Cr

ISBN-13: 9781138000193 / Angielski / Twarda / 2013 / 950 str.

Chongfu Huang

Opis

In this present internet age, risk analysis and crisis response based on information will make up a digital world full of possibilities and improvements to people s daily life and capabilities. These services will be supported by more intelligent systems and more effective decisionmaking.

This book contains all the papers presented at the 4th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, August 27-29, 2013, Istanbul, Turkey. The theme was intelligent systems and decision making for risk analysis and crisis response. The risk issues in the papers cluster around the following topics: natural disasters, finance risks, food and feed safety, catastrophic accidents, critical infrastructure, global climate change, project management, supply chains, public health, threats to social safety, energy and environment.

This volume will be of interest to all professionals and academics in the field of risk analysis, crisis response, intelligent systems and decision-making, as well as related fields of enquiry.

Spis treści

The measurement of effective knowledge in multiple Internet of intelligences and application in risk assessmentC. HuangRisk evaluation modeling and revenue impact analysis for multi-tiered supply chainsJ. FogalHumanitarian logistics and information management for natural disaster response J. Montero & B. VitorianoSeismic risk assessment of the Constantine city, Algeria B. Sbartai & M. HamidatouAssessment of the liquefaction risk of soil under seismic solicitations B. Sbartai & F. KamelPoultry purchase in response to avian influenza in Vietnam: A qualitative exploration Q. Liao, W.W.T. Lam, R. Fielding, T.H. Bich & V.T. DangA system of systems approach in responding to events and addressing public health needs E. Akdogan, Y. Peres & A. YaeliFire accident chain evolution and control of Beijing transportation hub P. Sun, W. Zhu, Y. Ma, R. Song, S. He & K. LiuStudy on multi-attribute group decision-making model of construction diversion risk Z. ChenA risk eliminating coordination method for emergency large group decision making X. Xu, Y. Xia & M. WangThe research of quantification of building fire losses base on FDS software Y. TianA fuzzy MCDA framework for safety assessment in the remediation of a uranium mill tailings site in Ukraine A. Jiménez, M.C. Martín, A. Mateos, D. Pérez-Sánchez & A. DvorzhakStudy on flammability ranking of dominant herb communities in Songnen grassland, China Y. Bao, J. Zhang, X. Liu, Q. Zhang, Y. Wang, L. Shen & T. ZouA study on risk early warning of crops caused by floods in Northeast China based on vulnerabilityS. Zhao & Q. ZhangScenario-based risk assessment and zonation of paddy caused by flood in Huai River sub-basin of China S. Zhao, Q. Zhang & C. HuangApplication of capacity spectrum for Wenchuan earthquake damage risk analysis: The Dujiangyan studyJ. Yang, M. Liu & S. JiangDesign and implementation of crop risk assessment and zoning system Z. Song, Q. Zhang & K. WangPredicting agricultural drought disaster loss based on SPI and ANN in Shandong, China X. Liu, J. Zhang, W. Cai & D. YanApplications of health risk classification method in pre-evaluations of occupational disease hazards in construction projects in China D. Huang, M. Liu & M. LiDesign fire risk assessment index system of large public buildings in China Z. Chen, Y. Xie, J. Wang & L. ZouThe risk analysis of fuzzy inversion neural network and crime dark number space K. Zou, X. Li & X. XueComparing the performance of different artificial intelligence based clustering algorithms in healthcare waste disposal location Z. Gergin & Ş. EsnafA survey of fuzzy risk analysis J. Guo & F. AiMinimizing environmental risks using fuzzy TOPSIS: Location selection for ITU faculty of management A. Suder & C. KahramanA fuzzy assessment model for river ecological vulnerability: A case study in Yangtze river basin Y. Wang, D. Wang & J. WuUsing game theory for SAR response after devastating earthquakes and tsunamis C.K. WuAssessing flood disaster risk of urban residential building based on inundated depth J. Zhang, X. Liu, Z. Tong, Y. Zhang & Y. WangA method for extracting and integrating scattered information in internet of intelligences and an application in risk analysis of natural disasterF. Ai, J. Guo, C. Huang, F. Zeng & T. WuUncertainty evaluation of groundwater modeling based on multimodel method X. Zeng, D. Wang, J. Wu, X. Zhu & L. WangAn interactive method of fuzzy probability elicitation in risk analysis E. Vicente, A. Jiménez & A. MateosAn ANFIS model for forecasting risk by Overall Equipment Effectiveness parameter in Total Productive Maintenance E.T. Bekar, M. Cakmakci & C. KahramanA robust hub location model for disaster response via stochastic programming Z. Chen, X. Tan & X. GuanComprehensive risk science education program for undergraduate students; a case in Chiba Institute of Technology K. Shibata, T. Koshiyama, A. Takagi & A. YamazakiResearch on evaluation questionnaire of safety climate for safe communities R. Tong, X. Liu, P. Gao & B. DuResearch on early warning to safety assurance of subway based on mutation theory Y. Xu, Y. Xie, Y. Ge & B. SongSafety—a neglected issue when introducing solid biomass fuel in thermal power plants? Some evidence of an emerging risk F.H. Hedlund & J. AstadApplication of PLR classification guide for accidental potential in Beijing LPG storage and distribution station Q. You, J. Fan, W. Zhu & Y. BaiBroadband statistical Green’s functions based on observed data by strong motion networks and its application to Tonankai earthquake Narenmandula, Baoyintu, H. Kawase, Mantegeer, Buren & Y. BaoReducing urban disaster risk by improving resilience in China G. Zhai, S. Li & J. ChenUpside potential versus downside risk in Chinese agriculture under climate change Z. Tian, Z. Liang, H. Zhong, H. Qiu, L. Sun, G. Fischer, H. van Velthuizen, G. Cao & S. ZhaoMonitoring of drought disaster in Xilin Guole grassland using TVDI model Y. Bao, G. Gama, B. Gang, Yongmei, Alatengtuya, Yinshan & HusiletuCredit risk evaluation of the credit card by grey data mining based on AHP-GRAP S. Li, Y. Shi, Z. Zhong, G. Zhu & B. AiOperation mechanism and interfered information’s screening strategy of internet of intelligence F. Zeng, C. Huang & F. AiResearch about the acceptance level of risks based on multi-agent system C. Fan, G. Zhai, J. Chen, S. Li & L. DingA risk assessment method based on RBF artificial neural network—cloud model for urban water hazard D. Liu & D. WangAn accelerated particle swarm optimization training algorithm for RBF neural network in river stage forecasting in typical Karst area, South China Z. Cao, D. Wang, L. Wang & Y. ShiStudy on typhoon catastrophe risk assessment model framework J. Zhang & C. HuangMultilevel risk assessment of weather disaster S. GuoDo varying patterns with the same trend exist between temperature warming and climate-related natural disasters in China? B. Fan, N. Li & L. GuoRisk assessment of drought catastrophe for grain production at the provincial scale in China L. Xu, Q. Zhang, S. Zhao, K. Wang, Z. Li, F. Kong & X. DongForecasting oil consumption of Turkey using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) O. Senvar, G. Ulutagay & E.T. BekarResearch on natural disaster risk management model in Huangshan scenic area S. Hu, H. Zhu & J. ZhangA justification of investment into railway risks: Use of ALARP criteria in combination with life quality index Q. Mahboob, E. Schöne, U. Maschek & J. TrinckaufStudy on grassland fires disaster emergency spatial decision support system based on case-baseZ. Tong, J. Zhang, X. Luo, Y. Bao & X. LiuThe design of helmet-type multi-source information acquisition and processing platform in search and rescue missions W. Hu, H. Shang, L. Zhao, T. Zhang, G. Shi, J. Wang & L. XuanComparison of risk acceptability on NIMBY facility between Chinese and Japanese college students Y. Wu, G. Zhai, S. Li & C. RenStudy on the statistical method of direct economic losses from work safety accidents N. DengThe safety efficiency of an overhead lines undergrounding of cities cabling project Y. Wang, F. Yao & K. LiuRisk of investing in US industries after global financial crisis H. Sencal & M. OrhanDoes air temperature really affect road traffic accidents?—evidences from China S. Li, G. Zhai, C. Ren & Y. WuPreliminary study on text-to-scene implementation for emergency response plan F. Yang & W. LiHow is risk perception influenced by perceptive approaches in a multi-risk context? F. Yao, G. Zhai, C. Ren & Z. HeHeavy metals in PanaxNotoginseng and the implications for human health risk M. Zhu, Y. Jiang, B. Cui, Y. Jiang, H. Cao & W. ZhangThe study of grassland fire loss assessment method based on remote sensing technology in inner Mongolia Y. Chang, D. Bao, G. Liu, W. Wu & N. AoQuantitative evaluation of drought-flood abrupt alternation during the flood season in Fuyang, China Z. Sun, J. Zhang, X. Liu, Z. Tong, D. Yan & C. WangA study on city infrastructure management-looking from the Beijing rainstorm on July 21, 2012 K. Liu, W. Zhu & Y. WangDrought risk analysis of multi hazard-bearing body based on copula function in Huai river basin Y. Hu, J. Zhang, X. Liu, Z. Tong, Z. Sun, D. Yan & C. WangThe risk analysis of Daqingshan National Nature Reserve of drought disaster C. Li, Y. Bao, W. Zhang & S. YinIn recent 52 years the risk change analysis of Daqingshan National Nature Reserve of drought disaster C. Li, Y. Bao, W. Zhang & S. YinMinimizing the risk factors in a pharmaceutical supply chain by using goal programming B. Özkan, İ. Kaya & H. BaşlıgilThe risk analysis of wind energy investments in Turkey S.C. Onar & T.N. KılavuzComparative study on Beijing residents’ risk perception on incidents of pandemic influenza, subway terrorist scenario and torrential rain M. Fang, H. Chen & Z. WeiClimate change risks on human health and environment: Recent situation in Turkey A. SuderA critical study of tanker oil spills: Going further than statistics N.P. VentikosA new resolution technique to solve a hybrid flowshop scheduling problem in a crisis environment H. Chehade, F. Yalaoui, L. Amodeo & X. LiRisk evaluation of personal credit based on attribute comprehensive coordinate method G. Xu, N. Liu & J. FengVegetable market risk measurement and evaluation based on VaR method—a case study of a vegetable wholesale market in Beijing C. Wang, S. Zhao, A. Zhao & Y. ZhaoThe integrated measurement of carbon finance market risk based on Copula model C. Zhang, Y. Yang & T. ZhangRisk evaluation for ARCH-GARCH vs. RBF NN forecasting and SVR models: Application to high-frequency time series D. MarcekThe study of grassland fire monitoring based on DMSP/OLS night-time imageryWuYunDeJi, Y. Bao, H. Bao, Yinshan & B. GangEmpirical analysis of Shenzhen stock market volatility risks after cancelling the ban on large-sized non-tradable shares based on GARCH-type modelsH. Yan & M. YuSub-pixel fractional area of grassland fire observations based on multi-source satellite dataD. Bao, Y. Chang & G. LiuAn improved image steganalysis using a novel feature selection algorithm based on artificial bee colonyF.G. Mohammadi & M.S. AbadehA decision making approach for post-disaster multi-criteria facility location assignment problemC. Sol & K. KılıçPrediction of firm’s financial crash-evidence from the factor analysis model N. Benhayoun, I. Chairi, A.E. Gonnouni, M. Tanana & A. LyhyaouiA semantic composition of ebXML business processes H. Ouassila & Z. BoufaidaStudy of mobility-disadvantage group psychological need and mental rehabilitation system in coastal rural area of China A. PanWorkers’ risk acceptance level in the furniture sector M.A. Rodrigues, P.M. Arezes & C.P. LeãoRetrieval of soil moisture in Inner Mongolia using MODIS data and Temperature Vegetation Drought Index (TVDI) method C. Zhao & T. AlatengMulti-scale study on the characteristics of precipitation variation in Jarud County in recent 30 yearsH. Chun & T.Y. AlatengDecadal changes of moisture transport in eastern China Y. Zhang & J. ChouA risk analysis of waste collection and disposal in health institutions of Turkey A. Budak & A. UstundagA preliminary study of recent satellite-derived vegetation changes and response to climate change in Inner Mongolia, China Yongmei, Y. Bao, Y. Bao & BiligePre-positioning disaster response facilities and relief items C. Renkli & S. DuranA fuzzy decision making approach to selection among alternative buses M. Erdoğan & İ. KayaMethodology for evaluating the emergency response capability of chemical industry parks W. Chen & S. GeThe effect of environmental risk factors and socio-economic development on city life-cycle: An association rule mining approach E. Isikli, A. Ustundag & E. CevikcanForecasting the return of products in closed-loop supply chain—the case of WEEE in Turkey S. UgurluCrop yield risk assessment: New approach based on data integration K. Wang & Q. ZhangRisk assessment due to electricity demand forecasting under uncertainty E. Bolturk & B. OztaysiFactors affecting food safety perceptions in Japan: An ordered probit analysis X. Yu, M. Boyd & L. PorthThe case study of soft hierarchical model on integrated risk assessment for multiple disaster of multiple risk sources Y. Xue, C. Huang, C. Niu & Y. WangModelling critical infrastructures: The case of the Metro transport system J. Santos-Reyes, D. Padilla-Pérez & A.N. BeardCascading and unprecedented effects of disasters in urban system S. KundakSynthetic prediction of the risk management for cloud computing services composition X. Liang, R. Zhang, B. Tang & C. HuangTime-varying system characteristics and safety guarantee measures of urban operation Z. Zhai, W. Zhu & K. LiuPast explosive outbursts of entrapped carbon dioxide in salt mines provide a new perspective on the hazards of carbon dioxide F.H. HedlundInnovation strategy selection under uncertain conditions O. Surer, S.C. Onar & Y.I. TopcuDeterminants of risk perception towards science and technology A.K. Suerdem, B. Gumus & M. UnanogluEmpirical research on debt risk of local government—a case of Jiangsu Province, China H. Wu & G. ZhaiA study of spatial and temporal dynamic patterns of drought risk for corn by using AVHRR data in the Northwest of Liaoning Province, China X. Liu, J. Zhang, D. Ma, Y. Bao, X. Liu, Z. Tong, D. Yan & C. WangDistribution and ecological risk assessment of heavy metals in sediments of a river in Southwest China B. Cui, M. Zhu, Y. Jiang, Y. Jiang & H. CaoDesertification ecological risk assessment on different types of farmlands in Horqin sand land Y. Wang, J. Zhang, X. Liu, Z. Tong, D. Yan, Y. Bao & Y. BaoEcological security assessment for four counties of Xilingol League using fuzzy mathematics F. Wang, H. Zhao, H. Wang & X. BaiOntology-based disaster information acquisition and intelligent management H. Shang, W. Hu, T. Zhang, B. Ning, P. Xie & N. LiA discussion on using internet of intelligences to improve risk radar T. Wu, C. Huang, F. Ai, F. Zeng & J. GuoEvaluate the pressure-relief capability of high-rise coating workshop by CFD method J. Wang, Y. Li, C. Ren & A. ShiFlood ecological risk assessment: A case study of Bohai Rim L.F. Xu, Y.L. Lu & X.G. XuSelf organizing maps with value at risk similarities for monitoring financial markets M. RestaImproving customer satisfaction via QFD structure for the identification of critical risk factors: An application from computer technology in Turkey A. Erdil & H. ErbıyıkLong-term stream-flow prediction and water risk identification by the data-driven support vector regression with a dynamic stream deficit index L. Cheng, Y. Ding, K. Khorasani, R. Li & Y. ChenModelling of a nuclear emergency plan: Command chain network analysis C.R. Martín, J.L.G. Álvarez, M.R. Ferrero & A.L. ParedesSensitivity analysis of the East China food production on climate change Y. Fu & J. ChouCauses of flood disasters of the costal cities in southeast China—a case study of Putian city J. Ye, M. Zhang, G. Lin & F. DingPrediction of maize production based on the comprehensive assessment of weather hazards: Application on Lishu Country, Jilin Province, China J. Zhao & Q. ZhangThree-dimensional numerical study on internal waves in the Northern South China Sea P. Zheng, X. Li, J. Shi & Q. XuA fuzzy Multi-Criteria Group Decision Making approach to project risk assessment U. Asan, A. Soyer & C.E. BozdağA dynamic balance sheet approach to measuring systemic riskA.K.M. Azhar & V.B.Y. GanReview of emerging risk definitions in literature C. MazriRelationship between the South China Sea Summer Monsoon and precipitation in China X. Gu & N. Li

O autorze

Chongfu Huang, Cengiz Kahraman