Handbook of Anticipation: Theoretical and Applied Aspects of the Use of Future in Decision Making

ISBN-13: 9783319915531 / Angielski / Twarda / 2019 / 1758 str.

Roberto Poli

Opis

The Handbook uses the anticipatory viewpoint as a unifying framework able both to stop the progressive fragmentation of the human and social sciences and begin a process aimed at progressively closer integration, mutual knowledge and dialogue among the human and social sciences.

Spis treści

INTRODUCING ANTICIPATION.- Anticipation: An Introduction.- Time and Temporality.- Complex Systems.- Ontological Expansions (includes emergent and their stabilizers).- UNDERSTANDING ANTICIPATION.- Human History.- Counter-factualism as anticipation.- Cultural Study.- Linguistics.- Anticipation in natural languages.- Anticipatory Processes in Sentence Processing.-  Anticipation during language processing and simultaneous interpreting.- Literature.- Anticipation and Narratology.- Science Fiction as Anticipation.- Arts.- Anticipation in music.- Anticipation in the movies.- Philosophy.- Philosophy and the future.- Ethics.- Anticipatory ethics.- Responsible anticipations.- The future orientation of the capability approach.- Religion.- Anticipation and Eschatology.- Pannenberg’s ontology of anticipation.- Rahner’s vision of the future.- Muslim’s theology and the future.- SOCIAL SCIENCES.- Geography.- Preemption, precaution and preparedness: anticipatory action and future geographies, Geopolitics.- Anthropology.- Psychology.- Microgenesis and Perception.- Bottom up and top-down anticipations.- The End of History Illusion.- Future self-continuity.- Non-predictive anticipatory management.- Political Science.- Political anticipation.- Genealogies of the unknown.- Sociology.- Social Acceleration.- Dimensions of social time.- Social futures.- .- Group and Class Anticipations.- Real Utopias.- Utopias as Method.- Radical Democracy and critical futures – anticipation and social movements.- Indigenous Knowledge Systems & Anticipation.- Gender studies / queer theory.- Feminist anticipations.- Queer Theory and anticipatory practice, Judith Halberstam (on ‘queer time’ and ‘queer space’).- Critical Theory - critiques of anticipatory politics and governance.- Critical Theory, receptivity, anticipation and possibility.- Regimes of Anticipation.- Regimes of Anticipation/ Politics of Possibility.- NATURAL SCIENCES.- Physics.- Entropic and synthropic systems.- Quantum Physics.- Backward Causation.- Hyperincursive systems.- Chemistry.- Hypercycles and Feedforward cycles in chemistry.- Biology.- Relational biology.- Evolution and self-organization.- System biology.- Evolutionary ecology of developmental plasticity in plants.- Plant behavior.- Microorganism behavioural, epigenetic and evolutionary processes.- Invertebrates.- Animal anticipation.- THE PART ON HIGHER ORDER ANIMALS IS LACKING.- Ecology.- Anticipation and the management of complex ecological systems.- Anticipation and resilience.- Environmental risk assessment and management.- System ecology.- FORMAL SCIENCES.- Mathematics.-  Anticipation in mathematics.- Artificial and augmented reality.- Anticipatory games.- Logic.- The logic of abduction.- Statistics.- Time Series Analysis.- Robust Modeling.- System science.- Dynamical systems.- Anticipation in MES-Memory Evolutive Systems.- CONTEXTS OF ANTICIPATORY PRACTICE.- Agriculture: Anticipatory agriculture.- Architecture and design.- Anticipating world city risks.- Anticipatory and Smart City.- Advanced design.- System engineering.- Critical infrastructures.- Environmental studies.- Family therapy: Anticipation in family therapy.- Law: Anticipation in Common Law.- Military science.- Auftragstaktik and its practical refinements.- Distinguishing anticipation from planning.- Gaming as an anticipatory method.- Public administration.- Anticipatory Governance.- Anticipatory Intelligence.- Medicine and Health care.- Urban studies and planning.- ENHANCING ANTICIPATION.- Overview of future-based methods.- Assessing anticipation (FMM-Foresight Maturity Model, etc).

O autorze

Roberto Poli (Ph.D. Utrecht) was awarded the first UNESCO Chair in Anticipatory Systems, is fellow of WAAS – World Academy of Art and Science, and STIAS – Stellenbosch Institute for Advanced Study. Poli is editor-in-chief of Axiomathes (Springer) and editor of the series Categories (De Gruyter) and Anticipation Science (Springer). Poli heads the master’s programme in social foresight. Poli’s research interests include:

• Anticipatory systems, i.e., systems able to take decisions according to their possible future development (R. Poli, Introduction to Anticipation Studies, Springer 2017).

• Ontology, in both its traditional philosophical understanding and the new, computer-oriented, understanding (Alwis. Ontology for Knowledge Engineers, PhD Thesis, Utrecht, 2001; Theory and Applications of Ontology, 2 vol. Springer 2010).

Poli has published 6 books, edited or co-edited more than 20 books or journal special issues, and published more than 250 scientific papers.