From Product Description to Cost: A Practical Approach: Volume 2: Building a Specific Model

ISBN-13: 9781849965491 / Angielski / Miękka / 2010 / 362 str.

Pierre Marie Maurice Foussier

Opis

Parametric cost estimating, when properly used, is a very powerful and cost effective technique. Unfortunately, this technique is often misunderstood and rejected by many potential users for whom it could be a beneficial tool. The development of an agreement on how to use it and how to recognise its limitations is a major benefit to the cost estimating community. From Product Description to Cost: A Practical Approach - presents different ways of parametrically forecasting costs, and the advantages and disadvantages of these methods by using real examples from the mechanical, software and building industries; - discusses most of the mathematical procedures which are useful for parametrically forecasting costs; - introduces the judgement needed to audit the ways in which these forecasting techniques are used, firstly as a process, and secondly as a tool to generate estimates. Volume 2: Building a Specific Model is divided into nine parts and focuses on the building of 'specific' cost estimating models. These models explicitly refer to a 'product family', and, as opposed to 'general' models, any company (if properly organised) can build these models. Understanding the procedures is key in creating successful specific models; for this reason all these procedures are fully described in this volume. Classical methods and new ones (such as the "bootstrap") are described and illustrated.

Spis treści

Part 1: Overview.- The Characteristics of a Distribution.- Standard Distributions.- Part 2: Dealing with One Variable Only.- Dealing with Two Variables.- Dealing with Several Quantitative Variables.- Working with Qualitative Variables.- Part 3:-Defining the Distance Between Two Values: Choosing a Metric.- Using the Differences.- Using the First Type of Ratio.- Using the Second Type of Ratio.- Using the Log of the Ratio.- Using the Biweight.- Conclusion.- Part 4: Using One Parameter.- Using Several Quantitative Parameters.- A Particular Case: The ‘Ridge’ Regression.- Part 5: Introduction.- Defining the Variables.- Part 6: Linearisable Relationships.- Non-linearisable Relationships.- Part 7: Introduction.- The Classical Approach: The Additive Residuals.- The Classical Approach: The Multiplicative Residuals.- The Modern Approach.- Part 8: The Principles.- The Case of One Variable.- The Case of Two Variables.- P Quantitative Variables.- Using Qualitative Parameters.- Part 9: Why Should We Build a Specific Model?.- How Many Variables?.- What Kind of Formula?.- Selecting the Metric.- Quantifying the Quality of the Formula

O autorze

Pierre Foussier is manager of 3f, the company he founded in 1992 dedicated to the improvement of cost-estimating tools. In his job he develops parametric cost models and trains users of these models. As well as training project managers in cost-estimating, he often acts as a consultant for many diverse companies, carrying out independent cost estimates. 

Foussier is a co-founder of AFITEP – a French non-profit organisation specialising in the progress of cost-estimating, planning and project management. He is also the founder of XPAR, a non-profit organisation aiming to promote the parametric method of cost-estimating. XPAR recently merged with AFITEP and is now the working group of this society in the domain of parametrics.

So far in his career, Foussier has been involved in the development and production of some equipment and systems for use in the military industry. He has also been an engineer at the French space agency (CNES) and has nearly twenty years experience of cost estimating for major space projects.

Blurb

Parametric cost estimating, when properly used, is a very powerful and cost effective technique. Unfortunately, this technique is often misunderstood and rejected by many potential users for whom it could be a beneficial tool. The development of an agreement on how to use it and how to recognise its limitations is a major benefit to the cost estimating community.

From Product Description to Cost: A Practical Approach:

• presents different ways of parametrically forecasting costs, and the advantages and disadvantages of these methods by using real examples from the mechanical, software and building industries;

• discusses most of the mathematical procedures which are useful for parametrically forecasting costs; and,

• introduces the judgement needed to audit the ways in which these forecasting techniques are used, firstly as a process, and secondly as a tool to generate estimates.

Volume 2: Building a Specific Model is divided into nine parts and focuses on the building of ‘specific’ cost estimating models. These models explicitly refer to a ‘product family’, and, as opposed to ‘general’ models, any company (if properly organised) can build these models. Understanding the procedures is key  in creating successful specific models; for this reason all these procedures are fully described in this volume. Classical methods and new ones (such as the "bootstrap") are described and illustrated.

The Decision Engineering series focuses on the foundations and applications of tools and techniques related to decision engineering, and identifies their relevance in ‘engineering’ decisions. The series provides an aid to practising professionals and applied researchers in the development of tools for informed operational and business decision making, within industry, by utilising distributed organisational knowledge.