Expert-Generated Data: Applications in International Affairs

ISBN-13: 9780367172046 / Angielski / Miękka / 2022 / 320 str.

Gerald W. Hopple; James A. Kuhlman

Opis

This volume reflects the most recent and innovative work in the use of data generated by academic, policy and other experts. The authors discuss expert-generated data as a means of data making, data refinement and policy analysis, and present all the major expert-based approaches, offering a variety of methodological and substantive applications.

Spis treści

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS, CONTRIBUTORS, 1 - EXPERT-GENERATED DATA: AN OVERVIEW, 2 - METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES AND PROBLEMS IN EMPLOYING EXPERT-GENERATED DATA, 3 - COMPUTER-BASED BAYESIAN FORECASTING METHODOLOGIES, 4 - APPLICATIONS OF BAYESIAN INFERENCE IN POLITICAL INTELLIGENCE, 5 - DECISION AIDS: ENGINEERING SCIENCE AND CLINICAL ART, 6 - OPEC: A FRAGILE UNITY, 7 - DIVISIONS WITHIN THE CUBAN LEADERSHIP: A SIMULATED POLL, 8 - JUDGMENTS OF COUNTRY SPECIALISTS ABOUT FOREIGN POLICY FORMATION: THE OPERATION OF INTERNAL DECISION PROCESSES, 9 - PROBABILITY FORECASTING IN INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS, 10 - EVENTS DATA AND THE INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS EXPERT: TOWARD A SYNTHESIS?

O autorze

Gerald W. Hopple is senior research analyst, International Public Policy Research Corporation.