Environmental Futures: The Practice of Environmental Scenario Analysis Volume 2

ISBN-13: 9780444532930 / Angielski / Twarda / 2008 / 197 str.

J. Alcamo

Opis

As scientists and policymakers try to come to grips with problems such as climate change and risks to biodiversity, they turn more and more frequently to the method of scenario analysis to better understand the future of these problems. Over the last few years scenario analysis has become one of the key tools for bridging environmental science and policy. This is the first book to sum up the current practice of environmental scenario analysis and to propose directions for improving its quality and effectiveness. Chapters are written by an international group of distinguished scenario experts and provide an excellent starting basis for first-time scenario practitioners, as well as a collection of new ideas on improving scenario practice for experienced scenario analysts.

* Comprehensive coverage and overview on environmental scenario analysis from a team of international experts
* First book to address key contemporary issues involved with environmental scenario analysis
* Gives guidelines for best practices
Benefits:
* Excellent starting base for first-time scenario practitioners
* Helps the reader to interpret scenarios and to place them into the correct context

Recenzje

"A very good and inspiring contribution; opens up new insights and approaches." --Dr. Karl-Heinz Simon, CESR

Spis treści

Preface. 1.Introduction. 2. Towards Guidelines of Environmental Scenario Analysis. 3. Environmental Scenarios. A Survey. 4. Searching for the Future of Land: Scenarios from the Local to Global Scale. 5. Participation in Building Environmental Scenarios. 6. Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Scenarios of the Environment. 7. Scale Issues in Environmental Scenarios Development. 8. Trend Discontinuities and Surprises in Environmental Scenarios. 9. Closing Chapter.