Emerging Economies, Risk and Development, and Intelligent Technology: Proceedings of the 5th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Resp

ISBN-13: 9781138027459 / Angielski / Twarda / 2015 / 572 str.

Opis

Emerging Economies, Risk and Development, and Intelligent Technology contains all the papers presented at the 5th International Conference on Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, June 1-3, 2015, Tangier, Morocco. Contributions cover the following topics: Islamic Banking and Crowdfunding: Risk and development, Economic and Financial risk, Intelligent Technology risk assessment, Supply chain and logistic risk management, Environmental risk assessment, public health and social safety, and Terrorism and political risk. This volume will be of interest to all professionals and academics in the field of risk analysis, crisis response, intelligent systems and technology and emerging economies.

Spis treści

ForewordAcknowledgments Organization A paradigm to construct Internet of intelligences for risk assessment C. Huang Research on the urban emergency shelter system planning: A case study of Guangzhou, China G. Zhai, W. Chen, W. Jin & Y. Xie Modeling causality of financial investment decisions in R&D on economic yields F. James Islamic banking and the limits of interest practices: Evidences from bootstrapping methodology B. Nesrin, C. Ikram, E. Mohammad & L. Abdelouahid Credit evaluation for SEMs in inventory financing mode based on combination weighting method H. Zhu, M. Zhang & H. Zhang The measure of data aggregation bias for crop production risk assessment Q. Zhang, Y. Li, K. Wang & W. Sun The acceptable risk criteria of mining industry in China S. Zhang, C. Wu, X. Shi, X. Li & S. Yao Enterprise legal risk management implementation in China—a case study X. Gao, D. Lu & Y. Cui Simulation of the policy effect of technological SMEs loan risk compensation based on SD model X. Liu, M. Zhang & L. Song Trust in the government in emergency management—from the perspective of procedural justice X. Su & P. Yang Credit evaluation for technological SMEs in inventory financing mode based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method Y. Sun, M. Zhang & H. Zhang Credit risk under two-track system of rural finance in China L. Zhao, B. Song, S. Zhao & Q. Zhang Comparison of two algorithms for retrieving land surface temperature from Landsat-8 TIRS data B. Wei & S. Yin Health risk assessment of exposure to Polycyclic Aromatic Hydrocarbons (PAHs) in garden vegetables in Southern Jiangsu, China H. Cao, Q. Li & S. Chao Study on the optimal layout of GIS-based fire station points in Jiaonan of Qingdao City P. Chen, J. Zhang, L. Zhang & Y. Sun The utility assessment of rainstorm early warning based on Monte-Carlo simulation: A case study of Beijing C. Niu, H. Zhao, F. Wang, T. Zhang, H. Hu & W. Cao Inventory mapping of landslides caused by the 2013 Lushan, China Mw 6.6 earthquake C. Xu Analysis of desertification feature of typical steppe grassland based on fractal theory: A case study of Xilin GOL League C. Li, R. Hu, S. Yin, Y. Bao & Y. Li Natural hazards crisis: Disaster prediction, mitigation and prevention D. Liu, G. Liu, F. Wang & Z. Chen Eutrophication risk assessment: A hybrid cloud approach D. Liu, D. Wang, Y. Wang, L. Wang & L. Zhang Simulating the adaptive measures of soybean production to climate change in China: Based on cross-scale model coupling D. Fan, Q. Ding, Z. Tian, L. Sun & F. Guenther A study in recognizing weather-yield risk relationship of paddy planting in Hunan Province by data mining technology E. Chen & S. Zhao The return period analysis of dust storm disaster based on joint distribution of three hazards J. Feng & N. Li Study on the risk of probable maximum storm surge disaster in coastal area of Tianjin Z. Gao, S. Wu, M. Dong, J. Zhang, M. Chen & Y. Qi An exit optimization modeling within evacuation simulation statistics in dense urban open space G. Zhao, Y. Zhao, Q. Zhang & H. Wang Research of cigarette sales quantity forecast based on multiple linear regression model H. Zhang, Y. Chen & T. Li Some preliminary results on children’s earthquake risk perception of a highly seismic region of Mexico S.-R. Jaime, S.-R. Galdino & G. Tatiana The integrated risk assessment and zoning of meteorological disaster on maize production in China J. Zhao & Q. Zhang Study on extreme risk measurement of vegetable oil futures market using the ARMA-GARCH approach G. Li & Z. Li Earthquake-induced landslide susceptibility evaluation based on fuzzy logic and Shannon’s entropy integrated information value models in the 2013 Minxian, China earthquake-affected area L. Shen, L. Liu, J. Wang & C. Xu Risk identification for children’s sport suits based on product lifecycle X. Liu, W. Tang & Y. Yang Fuzzy risk assessment of entropy-weight coefficient method applied in large public building fires J. Luo & J. Sun Evaluation of Fire Brigade Disasters Response Capacity by Analytical Hierarchy Process in Yunnan Province M. Fan, L. He, B. Liu, S. Chen & H. Li Study on the characteristics variation of deep ocean currents in China’s offshore based on China Ocean Reanalysis L. Xu, J. Yang, G. Wang & S. Xing Research on the evaluation system of construction risks based on catastrophe progression methodQ. Wu, T. Zhang & Y. Zong Efficiency evaluation of financial support on the biological medicine industry in China based on DEA Q. Tang, M. Zhang & H. Zhang Spatial-and-temporal risk assessment of crops caused by flood in Northeast China S. Zhao & Q. Zhang A dynamic PD-HL model with various penalty parameters T. Zhang, H. Zhao & X. Bai The study of drought and its impact analysis for tourism in western Jilin Province W. Cai Study on social risk evaluation and mechanism of major projects X. Zhang, Y. Xu, L. Lv & Y. Wang The study of agricultural drought disaster risk early warning system X. Liu, J. Zhang & D. Ma Assessment of rainstorm risk in Chinese civil aviation system X. Guo, X. Hu, H. Li & Z. Xu The study of grassland fire early warning based on SVM X. Liu, J. Zhang & Z. Tong The GREEN model for comprehensive severity of QAR exceedance with associated event X. Zhang, X. Luo & H. Chi Improving urban master plan by fire risk assessment—in case of Shantou City, China X. Huang, G. Zhai, Y. Liu & Z. He Landslide susceptibility assessment at the Suichuan area (China) using support vector machine model H. Hong, P. Biswajeet, D.T. Bui & C. Xu Ratio bias and sensitivity to probability in individuals’ WTP for risk reduction of natural disasters Z. He & G. Zhai Example application of risk assessment technology based on acute poisoning accident dispersion simulation D. Huang, Q. Zhang, M. Li & M. Liu Assessment on spatial vulnerability of network systems under spatially local hazards H. Li, X. Hu, X. Guo & Z. Xu The study of public acceptance of nuclear power in China with quantitative model J. Li, Y. Liu, Y. Yang & C. Fang Disaster risk evaluation of old industrial buildings Q. Wu, X. Wu, Y. Zong & D. Zheng Risk and crisis communication about nuclear accidents: A study with psychological methods Y. Yang, L. Jin, J. Li & C. Fang Spatial distribution analyses of pre-earthquake and coseismic landslides related to the 2014 Ludian Ms 6.5 earthquake of China Y. Tian, C. Xu & J. Chen Drought risks evaluation in different periods in low latitude plateau based on fuzzy information distribution theory Y. Liu, G. Peng & N. Zhao Evolution characteristics of droughts during winter wheat growth in Shandong province since 1960 based on standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index J. Zhao, Q. Zhang, Z. Song & W. Sun Case study: Financial indicators of the Mafia in the Montreal municipality infrastructure M.N. Maillette A scenario puzzle method for dynamic regional disaster risk assessment F. Zeng, C. Huang & S. Guo Dip angle and dissimilar materials in the Longmen Shan: Insights from numerical models Q. Yao, H. Xing, C. Xu & W. Zhang Rainfall threshold analysis for the initiation of landslides in Sichuan Province of China L. Shen, L. Liu, W. Yang, C. Xu & J. Wang Landslides caused by the Mw 6.1 Ludian, China earthquake of August 3, 2014 C. Xu Experimental study on evacuation behavior of crowds in emergency situation W. Zhu, Y. Wang, Y. Ma, Y. Kong, X. Zhou & B. Du Comparisons of methods of goodness of fit tests in hydrologic analysis X. Zeng, D. Wang & J. Wu Analysis of risk perception and decision-making behavior: An empirical case study of poultry industry L. Xu, Q. Zhang, L. Zhao, S. Zhao, J. Zhang, Y. Li, W. Sun, S. Tao, J. Wu, Z. Song, F. Zhang & S. Song A dynamic decision support system based on Geographical Information and Mobile Social Networks: A model for tsunami risk mitigation in Padang, Indonesia F. Ai, L.K. Comfort & T. Znati Analysis on mortgage risk of the right to use sea area in ChinaS. Liu, J. Zhang, W. Xu & M. Zhao Analysis of old steel mill renovation project’s investment risk based on the real option of the BOT mode Q. Wu, Y. Zong, X. Wu, T. Zhang & J. Liu The index system of ecological risk assessment based on the industrialization development of Coal-Bed Methane W. Sun, Y. Xu & X. Ren Case study on snow disaster evaluation based on the directed and weighted complex networks W. Zhu & Q. You A case study of regional ecological risk assessment based on landscape structure X. Liu, J. Dong, K. Zhong & J. Zhang Research on an earthquake-induced landslide probability of occurrence model based on the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake J. Shang & J. Liu A survey of recent research regarding risks to marine W. Su & F. Zeng A preliminary study on time characteristic of natural disaster risk J. Guo, Z. Sijian & C. Huang Risk assessment of disaster caused by heavy rainfall: A case study in Beijing W. Cao, C. Huang & H. Zhao Butterfly effect and medical risk management F. Zhang, J. Kong & X. Hu Assessment on the effectiveness of suppressing premixed fuel-air explosion by ultra-fine cold aerosol C. Ren,Y. Zhang, X. Sun, J. Wang & J. Li The role of NGOs in natural disaster governance: A case study on the One Foundation in Ya’an earthquake G. Wu & M. Gao Simulation of the rainfall-runoff process using HEC-HMS model in the Meghougha river basin in Tangier city (Northern Morocco) K. Iliasse & H.A. Adil Author index

O autorze

Prof. Chongfu Huang, President of Society for Risk Analysis - China, Editor-in-Chief of Journal of Risk Analysis and Crisis Response, is a full professor of Beijing Normal University. He received his Ph.D. in Applied Mathematics from Beijing Normal University in 1993. As an advisor, he served the Beijing Municipal Emergency Management Office to assess risks during the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. His significant contributions to science involve the discovery of the principle of information diffusion shown in "Towards Efficient Fuzzy Information Processing" published by Springer in 2002. His most significant contribution to society is his establishing the Risk Analysis Council of the China Association for Disaster Prevention in 2004, which is the unique academic organization authorized by the Chinese government for studying all risk issues. His current research interests include internet of intelligences in risk analysis for online services, dynamic risk analysis, experimental riskology, fuzzy information processing, earthquakes and typhoons. As Mercator Professor, he worked at the University of Dortmund, Germany, during August 2000-August 2001. In recognition of his major national and international contributions to the discipline of risk analysis, the Society for Risk Analysis awarded him the 2014 Fellow Award. Prof. Guofang Zhai is a full professor and Director of Urban Planning and Design, Deputy Dean of Architecture and Urban Planning, Nanjing University. He served as Secretary-General of the Society for Risk Analysis, China (SRA-China) from 2009 to 2013, and the Vice-Secretary-General of Risk Analysis Council, China Disaster Prevention Association (RAC) from 2008_2012. He got Bachelor Degree and Master Degree in Economic Geography and Urban Planning from Nanjing University in 1986 and 1989, respectively, and Master Degree and PhD in urban and regional planningfrom Tsukuba University, Japan in 1997 and 2000, respectively. Professor Zhai once worked at China Nanjing municipal government, Japan National Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED), and Japan National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management (NILIM). He has published more than 100 papers in leading academic journals including Risk Analysis, Journal of Risk Research, China Economic Review, and Journal of the American Water Resources Association. His current research interests include urban risk management, urban disasterprevention planning, urban development and planning, urban modeling and Japanese urban planning.