Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges

ISBN-13: 9780792394662 / Angielski / Twarda / 1994 / 294 str.

Sixto Rios; Sixto Rmos; Sixto Ros

Opis

Decision Theory and Decision Analysis: Trends and Challenges is divided into three parts. The first part, overviews, provides state-of-the-art surveys of various aspects of decision analysis and utility theory. The second part, theory and foundations, includes theoretical contributions on decision-making under uncertainty, partial beliefs and preferences. The third section, applications, reflects the real possibilities of recent theoretical developments such as non-expected utility theories, multicriteria decision techniques, and how these improve our understanding of other areas including artificial intelligence, economics, and environmental studies.

Spis treści

Preface. I: Overviews. 1. The Prescriptive Orientation of Decision Making: a Synthesis of Decision Analysis, Behavioral Decision Making, and Game Theory; H. Raiffa. 2. A Perspective on Recent Developments in Utility Theory; S. French, Zhigang Xie. 3. Decision Influence Diagrams and Their Uses; J.W. Smith. 4. A Pyramid of Decision Approaches; P.J.H. Schoemaker, J.E. Russo. II: Theory and Foundations. 5. Direct Decision Making; Y. Coignard, J.-Y. Jaffray. 6. On Some Conditions for the Ellsberg Phenomenon; A. Montesano. 7. On the Foundations of Robust Decision Making; D. Ríos Insua, J. Martín. 8. Rational Comparisons and Numerical Representations; G. Regoli. 9. Robust Decision Making as a Decision Making Aid under Uncertainty; L.F. Escudero. 10. Topological Characterizations of Posets; R. Isler, G. Bosi. 11. Inference in Multidimensional Gaussian Processes; P. Ibarrola, R. Velez. III: Applications. 12. An Explanation and Characterization for the Buying of Lotteries; H. Fennema, P. Wakker. 13. Stochastic Dominance for Elliptical Distributions: Applications in Bayesian Inference; F.J. Girón. 14. The Nearly Perfect Auctioneer: Cryptographic Protocols for Auctions and Bidding; H. Nurmi, A. Salomaa. 15. Optimal Hypothesis Testing with a Vague Prior; J.-Y. Jaffray, T. Saïd. 16. Multiple Criteria Decision Making: Some Connections with Economic Analysis; E. Ballestero, C. Romero. 17. Experiments in Robust Decision Making; S.Ríos, S. Ríos-Insua, D. Ríos Insua, J.G. Pachón. 18. Heuristic Solving of NP-Complete Job-Shop Scheduling Problems by Multicriteria Optimisation; R. Straubel, B. Holznagel, A. Wittmüss, U. Bärmann. 19. Multiple Choices in an Oligopolistic Market: Explicative Models and Neural Networks; P. Gianoglio, A. Ostanello. 20. Expert-Based Value Functions for Soil Pollutants: Assessment and Aggregation of Responses; E. Beinat, P. Rietveld.