I / Decisions and Games.- Conditional Preference and Causal Expected Utility.- Causal Decision Theory and Game Theory: A Classic Argument for Equilibrium Solutions, a Defense of Weak Equilibria, and a New Problem for the Normal Form Representation.- Consistency and Decision: Variations on Ramseyan Themes.- Powers.- II / Rational Belief Change.- Causation and the Dynamics of Belief.- Ordinal Conditional Functions: A Dynamic Theory of Epistemic States.- The Logic of Evolution, and the Reduction of Holistic-Coherent Systems to Hierarchical-Feedback Systems.- III / Statistics.- Four Themes in Statistical Explanation.- Artificial Intelligence for Statistical and Causal Modelling.