California Climate Scenarios Assessment

ISBN-13: 9789400791985 / Angielski / Miękka / 2014 / 554 str.

Daniel R. Cayan; Susanne Moser; Guido Franco

Opis

In response toExecutive Order S-3-05, an evaluation of the implications to California of possible climate changes was undertaken using a scenario-based approach. The "Scenarios Project" investigated projected impacts of climate change on six sectors in the California region. The investigation considered the early, middle and later portions of the twenty-first century, guided by a set of IPCC Fourth Assessment global climate model runs forced by higher and lower greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Each of these climate simulations produce substantial impacts in California that would require adaptations from present practices or status. The most severe impacts could be avoided, however, if emissions can be held near the lower end of global greenhouse gas emissions scenarios.Reprinted from Climatic Change, Vol.109: Supplement 1 (2011)

Spis treści

Second California Assessment: Integrated Climate Change Impacts Assessment of Natural and Managed Systems.  Guest Editorial

Projecting long-run socioeconomic and demographic  trends in California under the SRES A2 and B1 scenarios

Current and Future Impacts of Extreme Events in California

Potential increase in floods in California’s Sierra Nevada under future climate projections

Simulating the Cold Season Snowpack: The Impact of Snow Albedo and  Multi-layer Snow Physics

Human-induced changes in Wind, Temperature and Relative Humidity during Santa Ana events

Adapting California’s water system to warm vs. dry climates

Climate change impacts on two high-elevation hydropower systems in California

The Impact of Price on Residential Demand for Electricity and Natural Gas

Simulating California's future residential electricity demand under different scenarios of climate change, electricity prices and population electricity demand.

Effects of Climate Change and Wave Direction Longshore Sediment Transport Patterns in Southern California

Potential Impacts of Increased Coastal Flooding in California Due to Sea-Level Rise

A Methodology for Predicting Future Coastal Hazards due to Sea-level Rise on the California Coast

Estimating the potential economic impacts of climate change on Southern California beaches

Modifying Agricultural Water Management to Adapt to Climate Change in California's Central Valley

California Perennial Crops in a Changing Climate

Effect of climate change on field crop production in California’s Central Valley

Climate Extremes in California Agriculture

Economic Impacts of Climate Change on California Agriculture

Economic Impacts of Climate-Related Agricultural Yield Changes in California

Case study on potential agricultural responses to climate change in a California landscape

 The impact of climate change on California timberlands

Climate Change and Growth Scenarios for California Wildfire

The impact of climate change on California’s ecosystem services

The Climate Gap: Environmental Health and Equity Implications of Climate Change and Mitigation Policies in California - A Review of the Literature

Climate change-related Impacts in the San Diego region by 2050

O autorze

Dr. Daniel R. Cayan is a Research Meteorologist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography (SIO), University of California, San Diego, and is also a Researcher at the U.S. Geological Survey. His work is aimed at understanding climate variability and changes over the Pacific Ocean and North America. Specific interests concern impacts of climate changes on water resources and other sectors in western North America.
Cayan heads the California Nevada Applications Program and the California Climate Change Center, climate research programs to improve climate information and forecasts for decision makers in the California region.
Cayan received a BS degree in Meteorology and Oceanography in 1971 from the University of Michigan. He received a Ph.D. in Oceanography in 1990 from the University of California, San Diego. He has been employed by Scripps since 1977 and by the U. S. Geological Survey Water Resources Division since 1991.