Business Risk Analysis and Prediction

ISBN-13: 9786203196757 / Angielski / Miękka / 256 str.

Vojo Bubevski

Opis

This practical book presents the Business Risk Analysis and Prediction for experienced risk managers, risk analysts, financial risk managers, and the relating subject's degree students. The book offers models for Risk Analysis and Prediction using simulation, optimisation, and Neural Networks to control risks and improve Risk Assessment & Management. The chapters demonstrate risk models for Predicting Price Evolution with Markov Chain; Financial Forecasting for Businesses; Oil Pipelines Risk Analysis; Risk Analysis of Customer Loyalty with Incentive; Risk Analysis of Launching New Product; Gold Mine Risk Analysis with Optimisation; House Prices Prediction with Linear Regression; Predicting Churn for Mobile Phone Providers. The applied Sensitivity & What-If Analysis provides for essential improvements. Bernstein stated, "the risk will always be there, so we must explore many interesting tools that can help us to control risks we cannot avoid taking" (Bernstein and Damodaran 1998). The methods presented are one such tool.

O autorze

Bubevski, Vojo The author has a Computer Science degree from the University of Zagreb and backgrounds in Information Systems Analysis & Design, Mathematics, Operations Research, Modelling & Simulation, and Risk & Decision Analysis. Published papers on eminent international conferences and journals, and seven Risk Assessment & Management books across fields.