Business Planning for Turbulent Times: New Methods for Applying Scenarios

ISBN-13: 9781849710619 / Angielski / Miękka / 2010 / 336 str.

Rafael Ramirez

Opis

The world is increasingly turbulent and complex, awash with disruptions, tipping points and knock-on effects exemplified by the implosion of financial markets and economies around the globe. This book explains how future orientation and, specifically, modern scenario techniques help to address these conditions.

Spis treści

Preface * Part I * Introduction: Why Write This Book and for Whom? * Conceptual and Historical Overview * How Do Scenario Practices and Search Conferences Complement Each Other? * Reflecting on Scenario Practice: The Contribution of a Soft Systems Perspective * New Forms of Coherence for the Social Engagement of the Social Scientist: The Theory and Facilitation of Organizational Change from the Perspective of the Emery-Trist Systems Paradigm and the Ilya Prigogine School of Thought * Part II * Turbulence in the Indian Agricultural Sector: A Scenario Analysis * Swarm Planning: A New Design Paradigm Dealing with Long-Term Problems Associated with Turbulence * Designing More Effective Political Governance of Turbulent Fields: The Case of Healthcare * To What Extent Do Venezuela‘s Causal Textures Allow Scenarios to Work towards Social Dialogue? * Part III * Managing Disruptive Change and Turbulence through Continuous Change Thinking and Scenarios * Scenarios that Provide Clarity in Addressing Turbulence * From Causal Textures to Predetermined Elements to New Realities in Scenario Thinking and Practice * Conceptions of Fairness and Forming the Common Ground * Turbulence and Corporate Social Responsibility: Is There a Role for Scenarios? * Turbulence, Business Planning and the Unfolding 'Crisis': The Canary in the Mind * Part IV * Conclusion: The Conjuncture of Scenarios and Causal Textures - Contributions and Progress * Index